HIVE Digital Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| HIVE Stock | USD 2.20 0.07 3.29% |
This prediction module for HIVE Digital is designed to work alongside - not replace - fundamental and technical analysis. It adds a sentiment layer that captures how the market's story about HIVE Digital Technologies is currently priced.
From the most recent analysis, HIVE Digital reflects the relative strength index (RSI) of 0, indicating compressed downside momentum. Historically, RSI levels this depressed have preceded relief bounces, though the magnitude and duration vary widely.Momentum
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth -1.00 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter -0.09 | EPS Estimate Current Year -0.53 | EPS Estimate Next Year -0.59 | Wall Street Target Price 6.125 |
Hype-based context for HIVE Digital Technologies connects recent headlines with price response and peer activity. Options positioning and short interest are summarized to frame sentiment for HIVE Digital.
HIVE Digital Short Interest Signal
Institutional short sellers typically conduct extensive research before shorting HIVE Digital. High and rising short interest may reflect informed negative views about HIVE Digital's near-term financial performance.
200 Day MA 3.0579 | Short Percent 0.0086 | Short Ratio 2.77 | Shares Short Prior Month 26 M | 50 Day MA 2.575 |
HIVE Relative Strength
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of HIVE Digital Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 2.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.53.HIVE Digital Technologies Hype-Price Mapping
For HIVE, sentiment analysis bridges the gap between reported news and actual price behavior. When HIVE Digital's sentiment is strongly positive but the stock is declining, it may signal distribution by informed sellers.
HIVE Digital's sentiment trend over time - whether improving, deteriorating, or plateauing - provides context for interpreting recent price moves in HIVE Digital.
HIVE Digital Implied Volatility | 4.1 |
Falling HIVE Digital's implied volatility after a period of elevated uncertainty is generally a positive sign for existing option holders - known as a 'volatility crush.' This compression often follows earnings announcements or resolution of major risk events for HIVE Digital.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of HIVE Digital Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 2.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.53.HIVE Digital after-hype prediction price | $ 2.2 |
The sentiment summary complements forecasting and technical views with analyst estimates and earnings data.
Historical Fundamental Analysis of HIVE Digital can be used to cross-verify projections for HIVE Digital. The view supplies historical context for the projection discussion.Rule 16 Overview for current HIVE contract
Based on Rule 16, the market-implied daily move for 2026-03-20 options is about 25.62%. This estimate is a volatility reference; at $ 2.2, it implies a move of about $ 0.56 per day.
Open Interest by Expiration: HIVE 2026-03-20
Open interest on HIVE Digital summarizes how many option contracts remain open and helps frame liquidity and positioning.
HIVE Digital Additional Predictive Modules
Forecasting HIVE Digital's price movement relies on structured analysis of indicator behavior, momentum signatures, and historical volatility patterns. No prediction model eliminates uncertainty; the goal is to identify scenarios with favorable risk-adjusted probabilities.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 18th of March 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of HIVE Digital Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 2.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.02 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.53 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict HIVE Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that HIVE Digital's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest HIVE Digital | HIVE Digital Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
The next-day forecast for HIVE Digital Technologies focuses on identifying predictive downside and upside bands that can frame a realistic trading range. At the moment, the model places downside around 0.02 and upside around 7.29 for the forecasting period.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of HIVE Digital stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent HIVE Digital stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.3344 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0125 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1088 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0423 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 6.53 |
Valuation-driven investors use mean reversion to time HIVE Digital's investments: buying when it trades materially below its historical average valuation multiples and selling when it reaches premium territory.
After-Hype Price Density Analysis
The price distribution chart for HIVE Digital visualizes our statistical uncertainty about HIVE Digital's future price. This uncertainty is inherent in all forecasting, and any model claiming to eliminate it for HIVE Digital should be viewed with skepticism.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
Our news impact model for HIVE Digital estimates the statistical distribution of after-hype price outcomes based on HIVE Digital's historical reactions to comparable events. HIVE Digital's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.11 and 7.28, respectively. The model is descriptive rather than predictive and reflects what has historically happened - not what will.
Current Value
The after-hype framework applied to HIVE Digital Technologies assumes a 3 months review window and focuses on post-sentiment normalization rather than raw momentum. The practical value is that it frames how far price could retrace or stabilize once the headline cycle loses intensity.
Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as HIVE Digital is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading HIVE Digital backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with HIVE Digital, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.19 | 5.09 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 8 Events | 7 Events | In 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
2.20 | 2.20 | 0.00 |
|
Hype Timeline
HIVE Digital Technologies is currently traded for 2.20. The company stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.05. HIVE is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.19%. %. The volatility of related hype on HIVE Digital is about 1924.79%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.15. About 32.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.96. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. HIVE Digital Technologies recorded a loss per share of 0.77. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm completed a 1:5 stock split on 24th of May 2022. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in 8 days. Historical Fundamental Analysis of HIVE Digital can be used to cross-verify projections for HIVE Digital. The view supplies historical context for the projection discussion.Related Hype Analysis
The peer hype summary table for HIVE Digital serves as a competitive intelligence tool, helping investors understand the news sensitivity landscape around HIVE Digital's sector and identify the companies most likely to influence HIVE Digital's near-term performance.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BFC | Bank First National | -2.83 | 9 per month | 1.40 | 0.06 | 2.82 | -1.99 | 9.50 | |
| CNOB | ConnectOne Bancorp | 0.06 | 9 per month | 0.00 | 0.0006 | 2.91 | -2.84 | 10.89 | |
| OCSL | Oaktree Specialty Lending | -0.02 | 10 per month | 0.00 | -0.18 | 2.14 | -2.28 | 6.64 | |
| BY | Byline Bancorp | 0.13 | 9 per month | 1.43 | 0.06 | 2.61 | -2.37 | 8.71 | |
| LU | Lufax Holding | -0.06 | 7 per month | 0.00 | -0.05 | 4.38 | -4.18 | 20.02 | |
| PRA | ProAssurance | -0.24 | 4 per month | 0.11 | 0.18 | 0.53 | -0.41 | 1.39 | |
| WABC | Westamerica Bancorporation | 0.44 | 26 per month | 1.19 | 0.11 | 2.57 | -2.04 | 8.28 | |
| QCRH | QCR Holdings | 0.26 | 10 per month | 0.00 | -0.01 | 2.32 | -3.19 | 8.88 | |
| FSCO | FS Credit Opportunities | -0.12 | 6 per month | 0.00 | -0.15 | 1.77 | -3.63 | 16.01 |
Other Forecasting Options for HIVE Digital
Price movement is the most critical factor for any investor assessing the potential of HIVE as an investment. The noise inherent in HIVE Stock price charts can obscure the underlying direction and make investment decisions more challenging.HIVE Digital Related Equities
The following equities are related to HIVE Digital within the Financials space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing HIVE Digital against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
HIVE Digital Market Strength Events
For investors in HIVE Digital Technologies, market strength indicators provide essential context about how the stock responds to prevailing market trends. These tools support more informed decisions about when to trade HIVE Digital for maximum effect.
| Accumulation Distribution | 625601.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.5385 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.03 | |||
| Day Median Price | 2.24 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 2.22 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.07 |
HIVE Digital Risk Indicators
Identifying and analyzing HIVE Digital's risk indicators provides investors with important context for price forecasting and investment decision-making. By understanding how much risk is embedded in HIVE Digital's investment, investors can make better choices about position sizing,.
| Mean Deviation | 3.85 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.06 | |||
| Variance | 25.62 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for HIVE Digital
A coverage review of HIVE Digital Technologies helps investors see when the security is attracting above-average attention from contributors and market observers. A disciplined read of coverage helps investors separate durable relevance from temporary noise.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
HIVE Digital Short Properties
Short-interest signals around HIVE Digital Technologies can help investors judge whether skeptical positioning is starting to pressure price predictability and market tone. Used correctly, these measures can help investors decide when hedging or timing discipline may matter more than conviction alone.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 127.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 47.5 M |
More Resources for HIVE Stock Analysis
A comprehensive view of HIVE Digital Technologies starts with financial statements and ratio context. Financial ratios provide a structured lens for assessing HIVE Digital's profitability and growth trends. Below are reports that help frame HIVE Digital Technologies Stock in context:Historical Fundamental Analysis of HIVE Digital can be used to cross-verify projections for HIVE Digital. The view supplies historical context for the projection discussion. With HIVE Digital showing P/E 7.93 and ROE -25.17%, investors get more value when this analysis is combined with the diversification and construction tools below. Additional scrutiny through the profitability and balance-sheet tools is warranted. You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.
Quarterly Earnings Growth -1.00 | Earnings Share -0.77 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 2.186 | Return On Assets |
The market value of HIVE Digital Technologies is measured differently than book value, which reflects HIVE accounting equity. HIVE Digital's market capitalization is 539.44 M. A P/B ratio of 0.96 suggests HIVE Digital trades near or below book value. Enterprise value stands at 536.14 M. Value and price for HIVE Digital are related but not identical, and they can diverge across cycles. Trading price represents the transaction level agreed by market participants.
Value and price for HIVE Digital are related but not identical, and they can diverge across cycles. For HIVE Digital, key inputs include a P/E ratio of 7.93, a P/B ratio of 0.96, a profit margin of -48.63%, and ROE of -25.17%. HIVE Digital market price reflects the current exchange level formed by active bids and offers.