Huntington Ingalls Stock Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing
| HII Stock | USD 415.71 1.15 0.28% |
Momentum
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.281 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 3.938 | EPS Estimate Current Year 17.3461 | EPS Estimate Next Year 20.3131 | Wall Street Target Price 403 |
The hype perspective for Huntington Ingalls Industries maps headline activity to recent price response and peer coverage. Sentiment context for Huntington Ingalls is drawn from options positioning and short interest patterns.
Short Interest Overview for Huntington Ingalls
When Huntington Ingalls' short interest rises materially month-over-month, it suggests that more market participants are betting against Huntington Ingalls. Monitoring the trend is essential for long holders.
200 Day MA 311.7155 | Short Percent 0.0538 | Short Ratio 3.17 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.3 M | 50 Day MA 411.7712 |
Huntington RSI Reading
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Huntington Ingalls Industries on the next trading day is projected to be 415.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 8.24 and the sum of the absolute errors of 494.26.Headline Hype vs Price - Huntington Ingalls
Behavioral finance research confirms that investor sentiment drives Huntington Ingalls' price in the short term. By quantifying that sentiment from news and social signals, investors can better time entries and exits in Huntington.
Huntington Ingalls' investor sentiment is not always right, but it is always relevant. Understanding the current mood of the market toward Huntington Ingalls helps investors assess whether current prices reflect greed, fear, or rational expectation.
Huntington Ingalls Implied Volatility | 0.53 |
For option buyers, high Huntington Ingalls' implied volatility means paying more for the right to profit from price movements in Huntington Ingalls. For sellers, elevated implied volatility creates opportunities to collect richer premiums.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Huntington Ingalls Industries on the next trading day is projected to be 415.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 8.24 and the sum of the absolute errors of 494.26.Huntington Ingalls after-hype prediction price | $ 413.87 |
Sentiment metrics here complement forecasting and technical views with analyst and earnings context.
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Rule 16 Overview for current Huntington contract - Volatility Context
Rule 16 applies implied volatility to estimate a daily move of roughly 0.0331% across the 2026-06-18 option cycle. With Huntington Ingalls trading near $ 415.71, that translates to about $ 0.14 per day in either direction.
Open Interest Snapshot: Huntington 2026-06-18 Options
Outstanding option contracts for Huntington Ingalls are summarized through open interest, which highlights market participation.
Huntington Ingalls Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Huntington price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Huntington using various technical indicators. When you analyze Huntington charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 15th of March 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Huntington Ingalls Industries on the next trading day is expected to be 415.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 8.24 , mean absolute percentage error of 127.70 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 494.26 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Huntington Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Huntington Ingalls' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Huntington Ingalls | Huntington Ingalls Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
This next-day forecast for Huntington Ingalls Industries uses model performance to estimate practical downside and upside boundaries rather than a single point target alone. Investors should still remember that no empirical framework consistently proves that one family of forecasting models will outperform all other approaches in live markets.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Huntington Ingalls stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Huntington Ingalls stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -1.1685 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 8.2376 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0208 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 494.2553 |
The mean reversion principle applied to Huntington Ingalls' suggests that neither prolonged outperformance nor underperformance is permanent. Investors exploit this by positioning against extremes in price relative to fundamental value.
After-Hype Price Density Analysis
Probability distributions applied to Huntington Ingalls price forecasting provide a more honest representation of uncertainty than single point estimates. The shape of Huntington Ingalls' distribution - whether it is symmetric, skewed, or fat-tailed - carries important information for risk.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
News-driven price analysis for Huntington Ingalls quantifies the historical relationship between headline events and Huntington Ingalls' short-term price response. Huntington Ingalls' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 411.09 and 416.65, respectively. The strength of this signal depends on the consistency of Huntington Ingalls's past reactions to comparable news categories.
Current Value
The after-hype framework applied to Huntington Ingalls Industries assumes a 3 months review window and focuses on post-sentiment normalization rather than raw momentum. This view is most useful when investors want to compare sentiment-driven price extension with a more measured post-news scenario.
Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Huntington Ingalls is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Huntington Ingalls backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Huntington Ingalls, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.43 | 2.78 | 1.84 | 1.32 | 9 Events | 7 Events | In 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
415.71 | 413.87 | 0.44 |
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Hype Timeline
On the 14th of March 2026 Huntington Ingalls is traded for 415.71. The company has historical hype elasticity of -1.84, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -1.32. Huntington is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 413.87. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 64.95%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.44%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.43%. The volatility of related hype on Huntington Ingalls is about 90.58%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 414.39. About 96.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Huntington Ingalls was currently reported as 129.28. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.77. Huntington Ingalls recorded earning per share (EPS) of 15.38. The company last dividend was issued on the 27th of February 2026. The firm completed a 1:2 stock split on 5th of December 2003. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 9 days. Historical Fundamental Analysis of Huntington Ingalls can be used to cross-verify projections for Huntington Ingalls. The view provides historical context for the projection set.Related Hype Analysis
When a direct competitor of Huntington Ingalls experiences a significant news event, the market often re-rates Huntington Ingalls' shares in sympathy or in contrast, depending on whether the news affects the sector broadly or competitively.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ERJ | Embraer SA ADR | -0.31 | 9 per month | 2.08 | 0.09 | 4.08 | -3.91 | 9.21 | |
| TXT | Textron | 0.25 | 8 per month | 1.89 | 0.11 | 2.37 | -2.12 | 11.43 | |
| BLDR | Builders FirstSource | -7.37 | 10 per month | 0.00 | -0.07 | 4.42 | -4.95 | 18.44 | |
| BLD | Topbuild Corp | -2.01 | 9 per month | 0.00 | -0.07 | 4.50 | -4.21 | 10.74 | |
| LECO | Lincoln Electric Holdings | -0.14 | 13 per month | 1.56 | 0.08 | 3.71 | -2.71 | 10.05 | |
| WCC | WESCO International | -3.38 | 10 per month | 0.00 | -0.0021 | 4.21 | -4.31 | 12.28 | |
| STN | Stantec | -3.38 | 17 per month | 0.00 | -0.03 | 2.33 | -2.70 | 14.41 | |
| DRS | Leonardo DRS Common | 0.28 | 7 per month | 2.01 | 0.17 | 4.83 | -3.34 | 18.23 | |
| KRMN | Karman Holdings | -14.16 | 9 per month | 4.41 | 0.16 | 9.21 | -7.73 | 23.28 | |
| AVY | Avery Dennison Corp | -0.47 | 14 per month | 0.00 | 0.01 | 2.41 | -2.22 | 6.45 |
Other Forecasting Options for Huntington Ingalls
Regardless of investment experience, understanding Huntington Ingalls' price movement is essential for anyone considering a position in Huntington. Price charts for Huntington Stock are often filled with noise that can lead to poor investment choices if not properly filtered.Huntington Ingalls Related Equities
The following equities are related to Huntington Ingalls within the Industrials space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing Huntington Ingalls against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Huntington Ingalls Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators for Huntington Ingalls give investors insight into the stock's responsiveness to broader market forces. Tracking these indicators helps investors make informed timing decisions and identify periods where trading Huntington Ingalls is likely to be most rewarding.
| Accumulation Distribution | 10203.93 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.1003 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 412.71 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 413.71 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 3.58 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 1.15 |
Huntington Ingalls Risk Indicators
A thorough review of Huntington Ingalls' risk indicators is an important first step in forecasting its price and managing investment exposure. This analysis helps investors determine the appropriate level of risk to accept when holding Huntington Ingalls'.
| Mean Deviation | 1.93 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.34 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.69 | |||
| Variance | 7.22 | |||
| Downside Variance | 8.43 | |||
| Semi Variance | 5.5 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -2.00 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Huntington Ingalls
Coverage intensity for Huntington Ingalls Industries matters because narrative visibility can influence sentiment, participation, and volatility around the name. The stronger process compares story flow with performance, theme classification, and the level of short-term market interest.
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Huntington Ingalls Short Properties
Short sentiment tied to Huntington Ingalls Industries matters because heavier bearish pressure can change how quickly future price expectations become unstable. Used correctly, these measures can help investors decide when hedging or timing discipline may matter more than conviction alone.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 39.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 774 M |
More Resources for Huntington Stock Analysis
Understanding Huntington Ingalls typically begins with financial statements and long-term trend review. Ratio context helps frame profitability, efficiency, and growth trends for Huntington Ingalls Industries Stock. Outlined below are key reports that provide context for Huntington Ingalls Industries Stock:Historical Fundamental Analysis of Huntington Ingalls can be used to cross-verify projections for Huntington Ingalls. The view provides historical context for the projection set. Analysis related to Huntington Ingalls should be read together with other portfolio and risk tools before capital is reallocated. That is especially important when the goal is to improve the overall mix of instruments already held. You can also try the Global Markets Map module to get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.281 | Dividend Share 5.43 | Earnings Share 15.38 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.157 |
Huntington Ingalls's market price can diverge from book value, the accounting figure shown on Huntington's balance sheet. Huntington Ingalls' market capitalization is 16.31 B. With a P/B ratio of 3.21, the market values Huntington Ingalls well above its book equity. Enterprise value stands at 18.42 B. Intrinsic value reflects what Huntington Ingalls' fundamentals imply about worth, which may differ from both the trading price and the book figure. Analytical frameworks help reconcile those views.
It is useful to distinguish Huntington Ingalls' value from its trading price, which are computed with different methods. For Huntington Ingalls, key inputs include a P/E ratio of 13.44, a P/B ratio of 3.21, a profit margin of 4.85%, and ROE of 12.42%. The quoted price is simply the exchange level where supply meets demand.