Guotai Junan Pink Sheet Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| GUOSF Stock | USD 2.00 0.00 0.00% |
The Simple Moving Average forecast shown here for Guotai Junan is reference data produced from its historical price series. The projected value and error measures below serve as reference information.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Guotai Junan Securities on the next trading day is expected to be 2.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Guotai Junan Securities price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Guotai Junan. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future This Simple Moving Average reference page for Guotai Junan presents model-generated projections from historical price data for informational purposes. Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 23rd of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Guotai Junan Securities on the next trading day is expected to be 2.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Guotai Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Guotai Junan's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
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Forecasted Value
For the next trading day, Macroaxis evaluates Guotai Junan's predictive range by looking for statistically meaningful downside and upside boundaries. The current forecast range spans downside near 2.00 and upside near 2.00.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Guotai Junan pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Guotai Junan pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 0.0 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0 |
Other Forecasting Options for Guotai Junan
The distribution of Guotai Junan's daily returns is typically non-normal, with fatter tails than a Gaussian model predicts. This can reveal hidden support and resistance zones in Guotai Junan's chart that simple price charts miss.Guotai Junan Related Equities
These related stocks within the Capital Markets space give benchmarks for judging Guotai Junan's results, margins, and growth trend. Growth rate gaps between Guotai Junan and its peers often explain pricing differences in the market. Peer review is most useful when paired with absolute pricing and trend checks.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Guotai Junan Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators for Guotai Junan give insight into the pink sheet's responsiveness to broader forces. These indicators are useful for traders seeking optimal timing for positions in Guotai Junan Securities.
Story Coverage note for Guotai Junan
The amount of media and story coverage tied to Guotai Junan Securities can signal where market attention is concentrating at the moment. This is most useful when investors want to understand why a security is suddenly drawing more public discussion.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Macroaxis story coverage is designed for a broad investing audience that ranges from self-directed traders to advisers, researchers, and institutional market participants. The content is intended to support people who want a more structured path from headline information to portfolio action.
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Other Information on Investing in Guotai Pink Sheet
The ratio set for Guotai Junan connects key financial figures across reports. All data is sourced from the latest available reporting cycle and presented for reference.