GoPro Stock Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing
| GPRO Stock | USD 0.73 -0.01 -0.68% |
The hype cycle around GoPro can be quantified and compared to historical sentiment baselines. This module uses that comparison to generate price predictions that reflect the sentiment component of market value.
In the current reporting cycle, GoPro posts the RSI momentum reading reading of 35, reflecting mild downside bias. This mild bearish tilt suggests sellers have a slight edge, though the reading is well above levels that would indicate panic.Momentum
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth -0.94 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.05 | Wall Street Target Price 1.3 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.04 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.004 |
This view relates GoPro's headline activity to recent price response context. Options and short interest provide context for sentiment around GoPro in this section.
Short Interest Tracking - GoPro
GoPro short interest relative to sector peers provides additional context. If GoPro's short interest is significantly higher than competitors. the market may perceive company-specific risks that warrant investigation.
200 Day MA 1.411 | Short Percent 0.1412 | Short Ratio 5.19 | Shares Short Prior Month 19.1 M | 50 Day MA 1.1217 |
RSI Oscillator - GoPro
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of GoPro Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 0.72 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.54.Attention-to-Price Pattern - GoPro Inc
The relationship between GoPro's news sentiment and price action reveals how efficiently the market processes new information about GoPro. Persistent sentiment-price gaps create exploitable opportunities for disciplined investors.
Investors who systematically buy GoPro when sentiment is deeply negative and sell when it is excessively positive have historically captured mean-reversion returns not available to purely fundamental or technical investors.
GoPro Implied Volatility | 1.85 |
Implied volatility in GoPro's options does not predict direction - it measures magnitude. An investor expecting a large move in GoPro stock in either direction may benefit from strategies that profit from volatility expansion.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of GoPro Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 0.72 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.54.GoPro after-hype prediction price | $ 0.76 |
The sentiment view is a companion to forecasting, technical studies, analyst estimates, and earnings trends.
Cross-verify projections for GoPro using Historical Fundamental Analysis of GoPro. The view supplies historical context for the projection discussion.Rule 16 Reference for the current GoPro contract - Performance Context
Based on Rule 16, the market-implied daily move for 2026-04-17 options is about 0.12%. This context is informational: with GoPro near $ 0.73500001, the daily move estimate is $ 8.5E-4 .
Open Interest Map for GoPro Options 2026-04-17
The open interest measure summarizes active contracts for GoPro and can be paired with trend context.
GoPro Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine GoPro price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for GoPro using various technical indicators. When you analyze GoPro charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 14th of March 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of GoPro Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 0.72 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.0036 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.54 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict GoPro Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that GoPro's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest GoPro | GoPro Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
This next-day forecast for GoPro Inc uses model performance to estimate practical downside and upside boundaries rather than a single point target alone. Investors should still remember that no empirical framework consistently proves that one family of forecasting models will outperform all other approaches in live markets.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of GoPro stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent GoPro stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0093 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.043 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0406 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.5377 |
Experienced GoPro's investors use mean reversion as a complement to momentum analysis: momentum identifies the trend; mean reversion identifies when that trend has extended beyond sustainable levels.
After-Hype Price Density Analysis
This probability distribution for GoPro is built from Monte Carlo simulations that incorporate GoPro's historical volatility, mean reversion tendencies, and jump risk. The resulting distribution captures a broader range of GoPro outcomes than simple linear.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
The boundaries derived from GoPro's historical news analysis represent the range within which GoPro's price has typically settled after comparable headline events. GoPro's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.04 and 6.49, respectively. Outcomes outside these boundaries are less common but not rare for GoPro.
Current Value
The after-hype framework applied to GoPro Inc assumes a 3 months review window and focuses on post-sentiment normalization rather than raw momentum. This view is most useful when investors want to compare sentiment-driven price extension with a more measured post-news scenario.
Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as GoPro is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading GoPro backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with GoPro, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.08 | 5.73 | 0.02 | 0.10 | 10 Events | 7 Events | In 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.74 | 0.76 | 3.40 |
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Hype Timeline
GoPro Inc is currently traded for 0.74. The company has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.1. GoPro is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.76 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 3.4%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -1.08%. The volatility of related hype on GoPro is about 6161.29%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.84. GoPro Inc currently holds $83.32 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.31, which is broadly in line with comparable companies. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in 10 days. Cross-verify projections for GoPro using Historical Fundamental Analysis of GoPro. The view supplies historical context for the projection discussion.Related Hype Analysis
Understanding GoPro's position within its competitive set helps investors assess whether news affecting a peer is a headwind or tailwind for GoPro. This distinction requires knowledge of the competitive dynamics specific to GoPro's industry.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| VUZI | Vuzix Corp Cmn | 0.21 | 8 per month | 4.88 | 0.02 | 9.61 | -7.98 | 43.23 | |
| OCFT | Oneconnect Financial Technology | 0.06 | 4 per month | 0.52 | 0.18 | 1.55 | -1.11 | 4.57 | |
| ALTS | ALT5 Sigma | 0.07 | 8 per month | 5.94 | 0.03 | 15.07 | -9.13 | 49.03 | |
| TBCH | Turtle Beach | 0.19 | 7 per month | 0.00 | -0.03 | 2.93 | -3.01 | 10.25 | |
| REKR | Rekor Systems | 0.05 | 6 per month | 0.00 | -0.18 | 5.41 | -6.73 | 17.29 | |
| UIS | Unisys | 0.03 | 7 per month | 0.00 | -0.06 | 8.08 | -5.47 | 18.79 | |
| SMRT | SmartRent | -0.06 | 8 per month | 0.00 | -0.04 | 5.62 | -6.17 | 18.47 | |
| FRGE | Forge Global Holdings | -0.08 | 9 per month | 0.14 | 0.27 | 0.36 | -0.31 | 1.21 | |
| PDYN | Palladyne AI Corp | 0.43 | 8 per month | 5.63 | 0.08 | 15.84 | -9.24 | 48.41 | |
| III | Information Services Group | 0.03 | 10 per month | 0.00 | -0.20 | 2.75 | -5.42 | 13.35 |
Other Forecasting Options for GoPro
Understanding GoPro's price movement is a prerequisite for any investor considering GoPro as a position. GoPro Stock price charts are frequently cluttered with noise that can interfere with accurate interpretation.GoPro Related Equities
The following equities are related to GoPro within the Consumer Discretionary space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing GoPro against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
GoPro Market Strength Events
For traders and investors in GoPro Inc, market strength indicators offer a quantitative framework for evaluating the stock's responsiveness to market conditions. These tools help identify when trading GoPro shares is most likely to generate favorable returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.74 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.74 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | -0.01 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | -0.01 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 35.88 |
GoPro Risk Indicators
Analyzing GoPro's risk indicators provides a critical input for price forecasting and investment risk management. By quantifying the risk in GoPro's investment, investors can make more informed decisions about their exposure and hedging strategies.
| Mean Deviation | 3.72 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.63 | |||
| Variance | 31.71 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for GoPro
Coverage intensity for GoPro Inc matters because narrative visibility can influence sentiment, participation, and volatility around the name. The stronger process compares story flow with performance, theme classification, and the level of short-term market interest.
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GoPro Short Properties
Short sentiment tied to GoPro Inc matters because heavier bearish pressure can change how quickly future price expectations become unstable. Used correctly, these measures can help investors decide when hedging or timing discipline may matter more than conviction alone.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 158.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 49.7 M |
More Resources for GoPro Stock Analysis
Reviewing GoPro Inc commonly begins with financial statements and performance trends. Financial ratios provide context for profitability, efficiency, and growth trends. Selected reports below provide context for GoPro Stock:Cross-verify projections for GoPro using Historical Fundamental Analysis of GoPro. The view supplies historical context for the projection discussion. Analysis related to GoPro should be read together with other portfolio and risk tools before capital is reallocated. That is especially important when the goal is to improve the overall mix of instruments already held. You can also try the Cryptocurrency Center module to build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency.
Quarterly Earnings Growth -0.94 | Earnings Share -0.76 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.004 | Return On Assets |
Investors evaluate GoPro Inc using market value and book value, each describing different facets of the business. GoPro's market capitalization is 121.39 M. A P/B ratio of 1.51 indicates the market values GoPro above its accounting book value. Enterprise value stands at 267.89 M. The intrinsic value concept focuses on underlying worth, which can diverge from market price and book value. Valuation work aligns these measures into a single context.
The concept of value for GoPro differs from its quoted price, since each reflects a different lens. For GoPro, key inputs include a P/E ratio of 12.16, a P/B ratio of 1.51, a profit margin of -14.35%, and ROE of -81.92%. Trading price represents the transaction level agreed by market participants.