Great Pacific Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| GPAC Stock | 0.51 -0.05 -8.93% |
This reference page presents Simple Moving Average forecast data for Great Pacific Gold. The projected values and error metrics are presented below as reference information.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Great Pacific Gold on the next trading day is expected to be 0.54 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.29.The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Great Pacific Gold price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Great Pacific. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future This Simple Moving Average forecast data for Great Pacific Gold is sourced from the most recent available trading data and is intended solely as reference information. Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 26th of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Great Pacific Gold on the next trading day is expected to be 0.54 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.0009 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.29 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Great Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Great Pacific's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Great Pacific | Great Pacific Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
This next-day forecast for Great Pacific Gold uses model performance to estimate practical downside and upside boundaries rather than a single point target alone. Used properly, these levels provide context around forecast dispersion rather than certainty about the next closing print.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Great Pacific stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Great Pacific stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 107.444 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0017 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0219 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0444 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1.29 |
Other Forecasting Options for Great Pacific
Great Pacific's daily price returns can be decomposed into trend, seasonal, and residual components. Divergence between short-term and long-term averages in Great often signals an upcoming reversal or acceleration.Great Pacific Related Equities
These firms work in a similar space as Great Pacific within the Gold space and serve as useful points for comparison. Looking at Great Pacific's pricing multiples next to these peers shows if the stock trades at a premium or discount. Falling behind peers on key ratios may signal headwinds or execution issues worth looking into. These checks provide a starting point for deeper study of Great Pacific's strengths and weak spots.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Great Pacific Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors evaluate how Great Pacific stock reacts to evolving market conditions. These indicators help determine optimal entry and exit points for trading Great Pacific Gold.
| Accumulation Distribution | 35178.57 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | -1.00 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.91 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.54 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.53 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | -0.05 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | -0.05 |
Great Pacific Risk Indicators
The analysis of Great Pacific's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. Understanding the risk involved in holding Great Pacific's allows investors to make informed decisions about their exposure.
| Mean Deviation | 4.48 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.22 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.14 | |||
| Variance | 37.67 | |||
| Downside Variance | 26.48 | |||
| Semi Variance | 17.79 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -6.90 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Great Pacific
Story coverage around Great Pacific Gold often expands when market conditions, narrative momentum, or risk-adjusted performance make the security more visible to investors. Used properly, this context can help investors judge whether visibility is reinforcing the thesis or attracting more speculative pressure.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Macroaxis story coverage is designed for a broad investing audience that ranges from self-directed traders to advisers, researchers, and institutional market participants. The content is intended to support people who want a more structured path from headline information to portfolio action.
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