Canada Goose Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| GOOS Stock | CAD 15.17 -0.02 -0.13% |
Momentum 40
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth -0.04 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.409 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.7964 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.0021 | Wall Street Target Price 16.7729 |
The hype view outlines Canada Goose's attention response alongside peer coverage.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Canada Goose Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 15.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.42 and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.00.Canada Goose after-hype prediction price | CAD 15.19 |
The sentiment summary complements forecasting and technical views with analyst estimates and earnings data.
Canada |
Canada Goose Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Canada price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Canada using various technical indicators. When you analyze Canada charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Canada Goose Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 10th of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Canada Goose Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 15.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.42 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.40 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.00 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Canada Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Canada Goose's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Canada Goose Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Canada Goose | Canada Goose Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Canada Goose Forecasted Value
This next-day forecast for Canada Goose Holdings uses model performance to estimate practical downside and upside boundaries rather than a single point target alone. Investors should still remember that no empirical framework consistently proves that one family of forecasting models will outperform all other approaches in live markets.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Canada Goose stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Canada Goose stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.5229 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0746 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4237 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0252 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 25.0 |
Investors who believe in mean reversion view Canada Goose's price extremes not as permanent states but as temporary dislocations that create opportunities for disciplined, contrarian capital allocation.
Canada Goose After-Hype Price Density Analysis
The shape of Canada Goose's price distribution after major news events tends to be skewed, with larger potential moves to the downside than to the upside for established companies like Canada Goose. This asymmetry is a key input for options pricing and risk management.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Canada Goose Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
By studying Canada Goose's historical news reactions, we generate empirical estimates of the price boundaries that follow significant headlines. Canada Goose's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.56 and 18.82, respectively. These estimates are most reliable when Canada Goose's news reaction patterns have been consistent over multiple events.
Current Value
The after-hype framework applied to Canada Goose Holdings assumes a 3 months review window and focuses on post-sentiment normalization rather than raw momentum. This view is most useful when investors want to compare sentiment-driven price extension with a more measured post-news scenario.
Canada Goose Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Canada Goose is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Canada Goose backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Canada Goose, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.22 | 3.63 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 6 Events | 2 Events | In 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
15.17 | 15.19 | 0.00 |
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Canada Goose Hype Timeline
Canada Goose Holdings is currently traded for 15.17on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. Canada is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.22%. %. The volatility of related hype on Canada Goose is about 4905.41%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 15.15. About 67.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Canada Goose was currently reported as 5.82. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in 6 days. Cross-verify projections for Canada Goose using Historical Fundamental Analysis of Canada Goose. The analysis adds historical context for the projection set.Canada Goose Related Hype Analysis
News about regulatory changes, technological disruptions, or macroeconomic shifts can affect Canada Goose's entire competitive landscape simultaneously. Monitoring peer reactions to such events helps investors anticipate Canada Goose's likely response.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LNF | Leons Furniture Limited | -0.26 | 3 per month | 0.00 | -0.05 | 2.07 | -2.19 | 9.71 | |
| TOY | Spin Master Corp | -0.49 | 5 per month | 0.00 | -0.09 | 2.55 | -2.86 | 8.23 | |
| NFI | NFI Group | -0.60 | 8 per month | 1.35 | 0.13 | 4.20 | -2.40 | 16.03 | |
| RCH | Richelieu Hardware | 0.26 | 7 per month | 1.01 | 0.10 | 1.79 | -1.49 | 6.72 | |
| PET | Pet Valu Holdings | 0.59 | 6 per month | 0.00 | -0.09 | 2.67 | -2.50 | 16.09 | |
| WPK | Winpak | 0.43 | 7 per month | 1.27 | 0.09 | 2.47 | -1.42 | 9.55 | |
| IFA | iFabric Corp | -0.05 | 6 per month | 3.01 | 0.18 | 12.64 | -6.70 | 23.68 | |
| AW | A W FOOD | -0.44 | 5 per month | 0.00 | -0.03 | 1.84 | -2.07 | 4.35 | |
| UNI | Unisync Corp | 0.02 | 5 per month | 1.34 | 0.29 | 4.94 | -2.21 | 16.13 | |
| MTY | MTY Food Group | -0.20 | 16 per month | 1.25 | 0.05 | 3.97 | -2.37 | 10.32 |
Other Forecasting Options for Canada Goose
Investors at all stages of experience who consider Canada must develop an understanding of Canada Goose's price dynamics. The noise embedded in Canada Stock price charts can create misleading signals and skew investment decisions.Canada Goose Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Canada Goose stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Canada Goose could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Canada Goose by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Canada Goose Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators applied to Canada Goose stock give investors a structured view of the security's momentum relative to the overall market. Using these indicators, traders can refine their timing when entering or exiting positions in Canada Goose Holdings.
Canada Goose Risk Indicators
Evaluating Canada Goose's risk indicators is an important step in accurately forecasting its price and assessing the suitability of an investment. Understanding the risk profile of Canada Goose's allows investors to make more informed decisions about position sizing and risk.
| Mean Deviation | 2.27 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.55 | |||
| Variance | 12.61 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Canada Goose
Coverage intensity for Canada Goose Holdings matters because narrative visibility can influence sentiment, participation, and volatility around the name. The stronger process compares story flow with performance, theme classification, and the level of short-term market interest.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Story coverage on Macroaxis is built for readers who approach markets from different levels of experience but share the same need for disciplined investment context. Used well, these stories become part of a broader workflow built around idea generation, validation, and risk-adjusted portfolio design.
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Canada Goose Short Properties
Short sentiment tied to Canada Goose Holdings matters because heavier bearish pressure can change how quickly future price expectations become unstable. Used correctly, these measures can help investors decide when hedging or timing discipline may matter more than conviction alone.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 98.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 334.4 M |
More Resources for Canada Stock Analysis
A comprehensive view of Canada Goose Holdings starts with financial statements and ratio context. Ratios and trend metrics help frame Canada Goose's operating context. Highlighted below are reports that provide context for Canada Goose Holdings Stock:Cross-verify projections for Canada Goose using Historical Fundamental Analysis of Canada Goose. The analysis adds historical context for the projection set. Analysis related to Canada Goose should be read together with other portfolio and risk tools before capital is reallocated. That is especially important when the goal is to improve the overall mix of instruments already held. You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.