Canada Goose Stock Forward View
| GOOS Stock | CAD 14.75 0.02 0.14% |
Momentum
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth -0.04 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.409 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.7964 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.0021 | Wall Street Target Price 16.7729 |
This summary links Canada Goose's attention patterns to recent price behavior and peer context.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Canada Goose Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 13.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.44 and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.93.Canada Goose after-hype prediction price | C$ 14.69 |
Hype signals are presented as complementary context to forecasting, technicals, analyst estimates, earnings, and momentum.
Canada |
Canada Goose Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Canada price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Canada using various technical indicators. When you analyze Canada charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 17th of March 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Canada Goose Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 13.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.44 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.32 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.93 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Canada Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Canada Goose's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Canada Goose | Canada Goose Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
Forecasting Canada Goose Holdings for the next session involves measuring the model's historical ability to define credible downside and upside scenarios. Investors should still remember that no empirical framework consistently proves that one family of forecasting models will outperform all other approaches in live markets.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Canada Goose stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Canada Goose stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.9773 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4415 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0263 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 26.9304 |
Investors who believe in mean reversion view Canada Goose's price extremes not as permanent states but as temporary dislocations that create opportunities for disciplined, contrarian capital allocation.
After-Hype Price Density Analysis
The shape of Canada Goose's price distribution after major news events tends to be skewed, with larger potential moves to the downside than to the upside for established companies like Canada Goose. This asymmetry is a key input for options pricing and risk management.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
By studying Canada Goose's historical news reactions, we generate empirical estimates of the price boundaries that follow significant headlines. Canada Goose's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.10 and 18.28, respectively. These estimates are most reliable when Canada Goose's news reaction patterns have been consistent over multiple events.
Current Value
This after-hype projection for Canada Goose Holdings uses a 3 months horizon to examine how price may behave after short-term sentiment effects dissipate. The practical value is that it frames how far price could retrace or stabilize once the headline cycle loses intensity.
Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Canada Goose is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Canada Goose backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Canada Goose, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.24 | 3.61 | 0.07 | 0.03 | 8 Events | 2 Events | In 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
14.75 | 14.69 | 0.41 |
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Hype Timeline
Canada Goose Holdings is currently traded for 14.75on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The company has historical hype elasticity of -0.07, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. Canada is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 14.69. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.41%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.24%. The volatility of related hype on Canada Goose is about 2865.08%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 14.72. About 67.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Canada Goose was currently reported as 5.82. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90-day trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in 8 days. Historical Fundamental Analysis of Canada Goose can be used to cross-verify projections for Canada Goose. The historical series provides projection context.Related Hype Analysis
News about regulatory changes, technological disruptions, or macroeconomic shifts can affect Canada Goose's entire competitive landscape simultaneously. Monitoring peer reactions to such events helps investors anticipate Canada Goose's likely response.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LNF | Leons Furniture Limited | -0.11 | 3 per month | 0.00 | -0.04 | 1.91 | -2.67 | 9.77 | |
| TOY | Spin Master Corp | 0.18 | 5 per month | 0.00 | -0.03 | 2.55 | -2.45 | 8.23 | |
| NFI | NFI Group | -0.45 | 1 per month | 1.38 | 0.16 | 4.51 | -2.40 | 16.03 | |
| RCH | Richelieu Hardware | -0.77 | 7 per month | 1.03 | 0.13 | 1.79 | -1.49 | 6.72 | |
| PET | Pet Valu Holdings | -0.45 | 5 per month | 0.00 | -0.14 | 2.15 | -2.58 | 16.09 | |
| WPK | Winpak | 0.43 | 6 per month | 1.35 | 0.08 | 2.47 | -1.53 | 9.55 | |
| IFA | iFabric Corp | -0.05 | 6 per month | 3.11 | 0.18 | 12.64 | -6.70 | 23.68 | |
| AW | A W FOOD | 0.74 | 6 per month | 0.00 | -0.02 | 1.83 | -2.07 | 5.97 | |
| UNI | Unisync Corp | 0.01 | 1 per month | 1.45 | 0.26 | 4.94 | -2.21 | 16.13 | |
| MTY | MTY Food Group | -0.79 | 6 per month | 1.27 | 0.05 | 3.97 | -2.37 | 10.32 |
Other Forecasting Options for Canada Goose
Investors at all stages of experience who consider Canada must develop an understanding of Canada Goose's price dynamics. The noise embedded in Canada Stock price charts can create misleading signals and skew investment decisions.Canada Goose Related Equities
The following equities are related to Canada Goose within the Consumer Discretionary space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing Canada Goose against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Canada Goose Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators applied to Canada Goose stock give investors a structured view of the security's momentum relative to the overall market. Using these indicators, traders can refine their timing when entering or exiting positions in Canada Goose Holdings.
Canada Goose Risk Indicators
Evaluating Canada Goose's risk indicators is an important step in accurately forecasting its price and assessing the suitability of an investment. Understanding the risk profile of Canada Goose's allows investors to make more informed decisions about position sizing and risk.
| Mean Deviation | 2.16 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.49 | |||
| Variance | 12.18 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Canada Goose
Story coverage around Canada Goose Holdings often expands when market conditions, narrative momentum, or risk-adjusted performance make the security more visible to investors. A disciplined read of coverage helps investors separate durable relevance from temporary noise.
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Canada Goose Short Properties
Short-interest signals around Canada Goose Holdings can help investors judge whether skeptical positioning is starting to pressure price predictability and market tone. The practical goal is to identify when the balance between long and short participation may be changing the quality of the setup.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 98.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 334.4 M |
More Resources for Canada Stock Analysis
Reviewing Canada Goose Holdings commonly begins with financial statements and performance trends. Key ratios help frame profitability, efficiency, and growth context for Canada Goose Holdings Stock. Outlined below are key reports that provide context for Canada Goose Holdings Stock:Historical Fundamental Analysis of Canada Goose can be used to cross-verify projections for Canada Goose. The historical series provides projection context. With Canada Goose showing P/E 35.84 and ROE 4.19%, investors get more value when this analysis is combined with the diversification and construction tools below. That valuation within Consumer Cyclical invites comparison with Apparel Manufacturing peers using the tools below to judge whether the multiple is justified. You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.