Globant SA Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| GLOB Stock | USD 69.04 0.01 0.01% |
Globant Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Globant SA stock prices and determine the direction of Globant SA's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Globant SA's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, The value of RSI of Globant SA's share price is at 54. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Globant SA, making its price go up or down. Momentum 54
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Globant SA hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Globant SA from the perspective of Globant SA response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Globant SA on the next trading day is expected to be 69.19 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.52 and the sum of the absolute errors of 89.47. Globant SA after-hype prediction price | USD 69.04 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Globant SA to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Globant Stock refer to our How to Trade Globant Stock guide.Globant SA Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Globant price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Globant using various technical indicators. When you analyze Globant charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Globant SA Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Globant SA on the next trading day is expected to be 69.19 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.52, mean absolute percentage error of 3.85, and the sum of the absolute errors of 89.47.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Globant Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Globant SA's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Globant SA Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Globant SA | Globant SA Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Globant SA Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Globant SA's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Globant SA's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 66.35 and 72.02, respectively. We have considered Globant SA's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Globant SA stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Globant SA stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.3087 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.5164 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0234 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 89.4673 |
Predictive Modules for Globant SA
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Globant SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Globant SA After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Globant SA at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Globant SA or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Globant SA, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Globant SA Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Globant SA's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Globant SA's historical news coverage. Globant SA's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 66.21 and 71.87, respectively. We have considered Globant SA's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Globant SA is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Globant SA is based on 3 months time horizon.
Globant SA Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Globant SA is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Globant SA backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Globant SA, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.25 | 2.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
69.04 | 69.04 | 0.00 |
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Globant SA Hype Timeline
Globant SA is currently traded for 69.04. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Globant is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.25%. %. The volatility of related hype on Globant SA is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 69.04. About 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.4. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Globant SA has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.31. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 0:1 split on the January 6, 2015. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Globant SA to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Globant Stock refer to our How to Trade Globant Stock guide.Globant SA Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Globant SA's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Globant SA's future price movements. Getting to know how Globant SA's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Globant SA may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CNXC | Concentrix | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 4.06 | (5.11) | 14.93 | |
| DXC | DXC Technology Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.29 | 0.05 | 3.28 | (3.49) | 16.29 | |
| FORTY | Formula Systems 1985 | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| VNET | VNET Group DRC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.98 | 0.03 | 7.68 | (8.09) | 21.08 | |
| BBAI | BigBearai Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 11.19 | (8.09) | 29.89 | |
| ACMR | Acm Research | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.57 | 0.09 | 6.59 | (4.59) | 24.17 | |
| INOD | Innodata | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 7.34 | (7.73) | 25.81 | |
| NATL | NCR Atleos | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 3.08 | (2.76) | 12.49 | |
| CLVT | CLARIVATE PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 4.12 | (5.95) | 13.67 |
Other Forecasting Options for Globant SA
For every potential investor in Globant, whether a beginner or expert, Globant SA's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Globant Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Globant. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Globant SA's price trends.Globant SA Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Globant SA stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Globant SA could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Globant SA by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Globant SA Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Globant SA stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Globant SA shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Globant SA stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Globant SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Globant SA Risk Indicators
The analysis of Globant SA's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Globant SA's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting globant stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.21 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.34 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.83 | |||
| Variance | 8.03 | |||
| Downside Variance | 6.32 | |||
| Semi Variance | 5.47 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.57) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Globant SA
The number of cover stories for Globant SA depends on current market conditions and Globant SA's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Globant SA is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Globant SA's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Globant SA Short Properties
Globant SA's future price predictability will typically decrease when Globant SA's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Globant SA often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Globant SA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Globant SA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 44.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 158.2 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Globant SA to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Globant Stock refer to our How to Trade Globant Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Is Stock space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Globant SA. If investors know Globant will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Globant SA listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Globant SA is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Globant that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Globant SA's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Globant SA's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Globant SA's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Globant SA's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Globant SA's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Globant SA is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Globant SA's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.