GCI Liberty Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| GLIBA Stock | USD 36.82 0.01 0.03% |
GCI Liberty's Simple Moving Average reference data reflects the model's output when applied to available daily price observations. This page summarizes the model output and key accuracy metrics for reference. The projected value and error metrics are calculated from available daily price observations.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of GCI Liberty on the next trading day is expected to be 36.81 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.55 and the sum of the absolute errors of 32.66.The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of GCI Liberty price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of GCI Liberty. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future The Simple Moving Average reference values for GCI Liberty are derived from publicly available price data and should be used for informational purposes only. Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 25th of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of GCI Liberty on the next trading day is expected to be 36.81 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.55 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.46 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 32.66 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict GCI Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that GCI Liberty's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
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Forecasted Value
The next-day forecast for GCI Liberty focuses on identifying predictive downside and upside bands that can frame a realistic trading range. Used properly, these levels provide context around forecast dispersion rather than certainty about the next closing print.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of GCI Liberty stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent GCI Liberty stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.6674 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.012 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.5536 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0146 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 32.66 |
Other Forecasting Options for GCI Liberty
Relative Strength Index values for GCI measure the speed and magnitude of recent price changes. Recognizing these clusters in GCI Liberty's returns helps calibrate position size and stop-loss levels. Candlestick pattern analysis of GCI Stock daily data can reveal short-term reversal or continuation signals.GCI Liberty Related Equities
GCI Liberty's market space within the Communication Services space is best grasped by looking at the firms listed below. Checking GCI Liberty against peers on P/E, margins, and return on equity helps put its position in context. Peer review is most useful when paired with absolute pricing and trend checks. Tracking GCI Liberty's results against these peers over time helps spot rising trends early.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
GCI Liberty Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators provide a structured view of how GCI Liberty stock is positioned relative to trends. These indicators are valuable tools for identifying when to enter or exit positions in GCI Liberty . These signals help validate or refine position timing for GCI Liberty.
GCI Liberty Risk Indicators
The analysis of GCI Liberty's risk metrics is one of the most important steps in projecting its future price. This process quantifies the risk associated with GCI Liberty's and helps determine how to manage it. A structured analysis of GCI Liberty's risk indicators is one of the most reliable ways to improve forecast accuracy.
| Mean Deviation | 1.41 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.6 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.82 | |||
| Variance | 3.32 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.98 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.55 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -1.52 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for GCI Liberty
Story coverage around GCI Liberty often expands when market conditions, narrative momentum, or risk-adjusted performance make the security more visible to investors. The stronger process compares story flow with performance, theme classification, and the level of short-term market interest.
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GCI Liberty Short Properties
A short-interest review of GCI Liberty provides context for understanding whether skepticism in the market is becoming more influential. Used correctly, these measures can help investors decide when hedging or timing discipline may matter more than conviction alone.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 31 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 424 M |