Glanbia PLC Pink Sheet Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing

GLAPY Stock  USD 98.24  1.50  1.55%   
Glanbia PLC ADR's Double Exponential Smoothing reference page covers the model's projected value and error measures from recent price data. The forecast output and associated deviation metrics are shown for informational use.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Glanbia PLC ADR on the next trading day is expected to be 98.24 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.35 and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.49.When Glanbia PLC ADR prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Glanbia PLC ADR trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Glanbia PLC observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations. All Double Exponential Smoothing forecast figures shown for Glanbia PLC ADR are reference data reflecting model output based on available historical prices.
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Glanbia PLC works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of March

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Glanbia PLC ADR on the next trading day is expected to be 98.24 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.35 , mean absolute percentage error of 2.09 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.49 .
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Glanbia Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Glanbia PLC's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Forecasted Value

This next-day forecast for Glanbia PLC ADR uses model performance to estimate practical downside and upside boundaries rather than a single point target alone. The current forecast range spans downside near 96.63 and upside near 99.85.
Market Value
98.24
98.24
Expected Value
99.85
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Glanbia PLC pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Glanbia PLC pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.1995
MADMean absolute deviation0.3473
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0036
SAESum of the absolute errors20.49
When Glanbia PLC ADR prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Glanbia PLC ADR trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Glanbia PLC observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Other Forecasting Options for Glanbia PLC

Bollinger Bands applied to Glanbia Pink Sheet price data measure how far Glanbia has deviated from its recent average relative to its own volatility. This distinction drives the choice of forecasting model applied to Glanbia PLC's price data.

Glanbia PLC Related Equities

These firms work in a similar space as Glanbia PLC within the Packaged Foods space and serve as useful points for comparison. Return on equity across these peers shows how well each firm turns capital into profit.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Glanbia PLC Market Strength Events

For investors tracking Glanbia PLC ADR, market strength indicators offer quantitative evaluation of pink sheet behavior. By using these indicators, traders can make more informed decisions about when to buy or sell Glanbia PLC ADR.

Glanbia PLC Risk Indicators

Analyzing Glanbia PLC's basic risk indicators provides investors with a structured view of the risk-return trade-off for glanbia pink sheet. By identifying the level of risk embedded in Glanbia PLC's investment, investors can make informed decisions about position sizing.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Glanbia PLC

Coverage intensity for Glanbia PLC ADR matters because narrative visibility can influence sentiment, participation, and volatility around the name. The practical risk is that faster visibility can increase both interest and skepticism at the same time.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Macroaxis story coverage is designed for a broad investing audience that ranges from self-directed traders to advisers, researchers, and institutional market participants. The content is intended to support people who want a more structured path from headline information to portfolio action.

Glanbia PLC Short Properties

Reviewing short-oriented indicators for Glanbia PLC ADR is useful because long and short participants often create very different signals for timing and volatility. This is most valuable when investors want to know whether bearish pressure is starting to shape the market's reaction function.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding58.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments231 M

More Resources for Glanbia Pink Sheet Analysis

Other Information on Investing in Glanbia Pink Sheet

Financial ratios highlight how financial values interact within Glanbia PLC. Values are based on the latest available financial disclosures and shown as reference data.