Gilat Satellite Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| GILT Stock | USD 16.70 0.45 2.77% |
This reference view applies Simple Exponential Smoothing to Gilat Satellite Networks's historical closing prices. Gilat Satellite Networks's Simple Exponential Smoothing reference page summarizes the forecasted price and model accuracy metrics from daily trading data. Gilat Satellite Networks's forecast reference data is generated from the equity's historical trading prices. Mean absolute deviation and related metrics help quantify forecast uncertainty for Gilat Satellite Networks.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Gilat Satellite Networks on the next trading day is expected to be 16.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.60 and the sum of the absolute errors of 35.72.This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Gilat Satellite Networks forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Gilat Satellite observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations. All forecast values on this page for Gilat Satellite Networks are Simple Exponential Smoothing reference data derived from historical price series. Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Gilat Satellite Networks on the next trading day is expected to be 16.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.60 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.76 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 35.72 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Gilat Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Gilat Satellite's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Gilat Satellite | Gilat Satellite Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
Forecasting Gilat Satellite Networks for the next session involves measuring the model's historical ability to define credible downside and upside scenarios. The current forecast range spans downside near 11.71 and upside near 21.69.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Gilat Satellite stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Gilat Satellite stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.0001 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.067 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.5953 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0364 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 35.72 |
Other Forecasting Options for Gilat Satellite
Volume-weighted price analysis for Gilat Stock gives heavier weight to price levels where trading activity was highest. Crossovers in the MACD line and signal line can identify shifts in Gilat momentum before they appear in raw price. Comparing Gilat Satellite's realized volatility to implied volatility reveals whether the options market expects larger or smaller moves. Readings above 80 or below 20 highlight potential reversal zones in Gilat Stock price action.Gilat Satellite Related Equities
These firms work in a similar space as Gilat Satellite within the Information Technology space and serve as useful points for comparison. Revenue and margin checks across this group help investors set expectations for Gilat Satellite's results.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Gilat Satellite Market Strength Events
Evaluating the market strength of Gilat Satellite stock allows investors to gauge shifts in market momentum. By monitoring these indicators, investors can identify the most opportune moments to trade Gilat Satellite Networks. These metrics are particularly useful when Gilat Satellite stock shows divergence from broader market trends. Regularly reviewing Gilat Satellite Networks strength signals helps maintain a structured approach to position management.
Gilat Satellite Risk Indicators
Understanding Gilat Satellite's risk indicators is essential for any investor seeking to forecast its future price accurately. By identifying how much risk is embedded in Gilat Satellite's investment, investors can decide how to position their exposure. Reviewing Gilat Satellite's basic risk indicators is essential for managing investment risk effectively. The risk-return trade-off for gilat stock becomes clearer when Gilat Satellite's risk indicators are properly assessed.
| Mean Deviation | 3.49 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.96 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.95 | |||
| Variance | 24.48 | |||
| Downside Variance | 31.94 | |||
| Semi Variance | 24.61 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -3.63 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Gilat Satellite
The amount of media and story coverage tied to Gilat Satellite Networks can signal where market attention is concentrating at the moment. This is most useful when investors want to understand why a security is suddenly drawing more public discussion.
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Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Gilat Satellite Short Properties
Short-interest signals around Gilat Satellite Networks can help investors judge whether skeptical positioning is starting to pressure price predictability and market tone. Used correctly, these measures can help investors decide when hedging or timing discipline may matter more than conviction alone.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 60.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 185.4 M |
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