Global IBO Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| GIBO Stock | 1.55 0.05 3.33% |
Global Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Global IBO's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Global IBO's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Global IBO fundamentals over time.
As of today, the relative strength index (RSI) of Global IBO's share price is approaching 39. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Global IBO, making its price go up or down. Momentum 39
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Global IBO hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Global IBO Group from the perspective of Global IBO response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Global IBO Group on the next trading day is expected to be 1.55 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.1 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.84. Global IBO after-hype prediction price | USD 1.58 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Global IBO to cross-verify your projections. Global IBO Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Global price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Global using various technical indicators. When you analyze Global charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Global IBO Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 2nd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Global IBO Group on the next trading day is expected to be 1.55 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.1, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.84.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Global Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Global IBO's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Global IBO Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Global IBO | Global IBO Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Global IBO Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Global IBO's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Global IBO's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 7.47, respectively. We have considered Global IBO's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Global IBO stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Global IBO stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.1599 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0077 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0973 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0462 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 5.84 |
Predictive Modules for Global IBO
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Global IBO Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Global IBO After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Global IBO at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Global IBO or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Global IBO, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Global IBO Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Global IBO's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Global IBO's historical news coverage. Global IBO's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.08 and 7.50, respectively. We have considered Global IBO's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Global IBO is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Global IBO Group is based on 3 months time horizon.
Global IBO Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Global IBO is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Global IBO backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Global IBO, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.36 | 5.92 | 0.03 | 0.01 | 5 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 5 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1.55 | 1.58 | 1.94 |
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Global IBO Hype Timeline
Global IBO Group is currently traded for 1.55. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Global is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 1.58 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 1.94%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.36%. The volatility of related hype on Global IBO is about 16444.44%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.54. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 30 M. Net Loss for the year was (24.85 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 5 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Global IBO to cross-verify your projections.Global IBO Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Global IBO's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Global IBO's future price movements. Getting to know how Global IBO's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Global IBO may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MOMO | Hello Group | 0.18 | 9 per month | 1.61 | (0.01) | 2.80 | (2.36) | 9.42 | |
| TBLA | Taboola | 0.14 | 9 per month | 1.77 | 0.07 | 3.85 | (3.70) | 15.48 | |
| OPRA | Opera | 0.04 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 4.11 | (4.94) | 11.94 | |
| MNTN | MNTN Inc | 0.16 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.38) | 2.79 | (6.57) | 13.61 | |
| FUBO | Fubotv Inc | 0.02 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 4.41 | (6.93) | 19.34 | |
| GRPN | Groupon | (0.07) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 5.05 | (6.87) | 18.61 | |
| MAX | MediaAlpha | (0.12) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 4.25 | (3.46) | 17.70 | |
| FVRR | Fiverr International | (1.26) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 3.22 | (4.82) | 11.60 | |
| SSTK | Shutterstock | 0.54 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 4.72 | (4.09) | 12.18 | |
| GETY | Getty Images Holdings | 0.01 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 5.51 | (6.63) | 18.86 |
Other Forecasting Options for Global IBO
For every potential investor in Global, whether a beginner or expert, Global IBO's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Global Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Global. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Global IBO's price trends.Global IBO Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Global IBO stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Global IBO could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Global IBO by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Global IBO Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Global IBO stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Global IBO shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Global IBO stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Global IBO Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Global IBO Risk Indicators
The analysis of Global IBO's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Global IBO's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting global stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.46 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.82 | |||
| Variance | 33.84 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Global IBO
The number of cover stories for Global IBO depends on current market conditions and Global IBO's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Global IBO is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Global IBO's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
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Global IBO Short Properties
Global IBO's future price predictability will typically decrease when Global IBO's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Global IBO Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Global IBO's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Global IBO's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 26.1 K | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 86.8 K |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Global IBO to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.
Will Interactive Media & Services sector continue expanding? Could Global diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Global IBO. Market participants price Global higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Global IBO data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Earnings Share (0.03) |
Global IBO Group's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Global's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Global IBO's intrinsic value—its true economic worth—which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since Global IBO's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Global IBO's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Global IBO is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Global IBO's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.