GDI Integrated Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| GDI Stock | CAD 36.30 0.02 0.06% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of GDI Integrated on the next trading day is expected to be 34.43 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.90 and the sum of the absolute errors of 55.66. GDI Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although GDI Integrated's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of GDI Integrated's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of GDI Integrated fundamentals over time.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of GDI Integrated's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.071 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.445 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.4033 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.7267 | Wall Street Target Price 35.0667 |
Using GDI Integrated hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of GDI Integrated from the perspective of GDI Integrated response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of GDI Integrated on the next trading day is expected to be 34.43 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.90 and the sum of the absolute errors of 55.66. GDI Integrated after-hype prediction price | CAD 36.3 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
GDI |
GDI Integrated Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine GDI price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for GDI using various technical indicators. When you analyze GDI charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
GDI Integrated Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 25th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of GDI Integrated on the next trading day is expected to be 34.43 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.90, mean absolute percentage error of 1.44, and the sum of the absolute errors of 55.66.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict GDI Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that GDI Integrated's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
GDI Integrated Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest GDI Integrated | GDI Integrated Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
GDI Integrated Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting GDI Integrated's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. GDI Integrated's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 31.07 and 37.79, respectively. We have considered GDI Integrated's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of GDI Integrated stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent GDI Integrated stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.3134 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.8977 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0285 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 55.6568 |
Predictive Modules for GDI Integrated
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GDI Integrated. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.GDI Integrated After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of GDI Integrated at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in GDI Integrated or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of GDI Integrated, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
GDI Integrated Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting GDI Integrated's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on GDI Integrated's historical news coverage. GDI Integrated's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 32.94 and 39.66, respectively. We have considered GDI Integrated's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
GDI Integrated is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of GDI Integrated is based on 3 months time horizon.
GDI Integrated Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as GDI Integrated is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading GDI Integrated backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with GDI Integrated, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.48 | 3.36 | 0.10 | 0.03 | 6 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
36.30 | 36.30 | 0.00 |
|
GDI Integrated Hype Timeline
GDI Integrated is currently traded for 36.30on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.1, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. GDI is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.48%. %. The volatility of related hype on GDI Integrated is about 5793.1%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 36.33. About 13.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.67. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. GDI Integrated last dividend was issued on the 2nd of January 2015. The entity had 5:52 split on the 14th of May 2015. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of GDI Integrated to cross-verify your projections.GDI Integrated Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to GDI Integrated's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict GDI Integrated's future price movements. Getting to know how GDI Integrated's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how GDI Integrated may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DXT | Dexterra Group | 0.05 | 8 per month | 0.78 | 0.24 | 2.49 | (2.02) | 7.41 | |
| KBL | K Bro Linen | 0.65 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 1.70 | (1.54) | 4.39 | |
| CGY | Calian Technologies | (0.78) | 8 per month | 1.66 | 0.11 | 3.17 | (3.12) | 15.15 | |
| ALC | Algoma Central | (0.19) | 7 per month | 0.80 | 0.07 | 2.19 | (1.29) | 5.96 | |
| AFN | Ag Growth International | 0.52 | 8 per month | 7.55 | 0 | 5.56 | (4.87) | 42.95 | |
| DIV | Diversified Royalty Corp | 0.02 | 8 per month | 0.84 | 0.11 | 1.47 | (1.17) | 8.51 | |
| CHR | Chorus Aviation | (0.29) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.20 | (1.74) | 11.55 | |
| ZDC | Zedcor Energy | 0.31 | 2 per month | 4.23 | (0.0009) | 4.94 | (4.31) | 23.80 | |
| WJX | Wajax | 0.33 | 5 per month | 0.66 | 0.15 | 2.08 | (1.50) | 10.71 | |
| ADEN | ADENTRA | (0.04) | 2 per month | 1.41 | 0.09 | 3.03 | (2.54) | 9.95 |
Other Forecasting Options for GDI Integrated
For every potential investor in GDI, whether a beginner or expert, GDI Integrated's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. GDI Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in GDI. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying GDI Integrated's price trends.GDI Integrated Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with GDI Integrated stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of GDI Integrated could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing GDI Integrated by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
GDI Integrated Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how GDI Integrated stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading GDI Integrated shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying GDI Integrated stock market strength indicators, traders can identify GDI Integrated entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 196.37 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.2857 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 36.32 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 36.31 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.01) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.02 |
GDI Integrated Risk Indicators
The analysis of GDI Integrated's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in GDI Integrated's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting gdi stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.36 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.6398 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.26 | |||
| Variance | 10.63 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.44 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.4093 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.75) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for GDI Integrated
The number of cover stories for GDI Integrated depends on current market conditions and GDI Integrated's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that GDI Integrated is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about GDI Integrated's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
GDI Integrated Short Properties
GDI Integrated's future price predictability will typically decrease when GDI Integrated's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of GDI Integrated often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential GDI Integrated's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. GDI Integrated's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 23.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 29 M |
Other Information on Investing in GDI Stock
GDI Integrated financial ratios help investors to determine whether GDI Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in GDI with respect to the benefits of owning GDI Integrated security.