US Financial Preferred Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| FTU-PB Preferred Stock | CAD 8.16 0.44 5.12% |
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of US Financial 15 on the next trading day is expected to be 8.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.32. FTU-PB Preferred Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast US Financial stock prices and determine the direction of US Financial 15's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of US Financial's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of today, the value of RSI of US Financial's share price is approaching 48. This usually indicates that the preferred stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling US Financial, making its price go up or down. Momentum 48
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using US Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of US Financial 15 from the perspective of US Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of US Financial 15 on the next trading day is expected to be 8.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.32. US Financial after-hype prediction price | CAD 8.16 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as preferred stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
FTU-PB |
US Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine FTU-PB price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for FTU-PB using various technical indicators. When you analyze FTU-PB charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
US Financial Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 23rd of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of US Financial 15 on the next trading day is expected to be 8.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.32.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict FTU-PB Preferred Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that US Financial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
US Financial Preferred Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest US Financial | US Financial Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
US Financial Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting US Financial's Preferred Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. US Financial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 6.62 and 9.94, respectively. We have considered US Financial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of US Financial preferred stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent US Financial preferred stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0212 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0732 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0088 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 4.3217 |
Predictive Modules for US Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as US Financial 15. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.US Financial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of US Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in US Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Preferred Stock prices, such as prices of US Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
US Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting US Financial's preferred stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on US Financial's historical news coverage. US Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 6.50 and 9.82, respectively. We have considered US Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
US Financial is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of US Financial 15 is based on 3 months time horizon.
US Financial Preferred Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as US Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading US Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Preferred Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with US Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.15 | 1.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
8.16 | 8.16 | 0.00 |
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US Financial Hype Timeline
US Financial 15 is currently traded for 8.16on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. FTU-PB is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.15%. %. The volatility of related hype on US Financial is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 8.16. The company last dividend was issued on the 10th of October 2024. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of US Financial to cross-verify your projections.US Financial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to US Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict US Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how US Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how US Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FFN-PA | North American Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.22 | (0.43) | 0.28 | (0.46) | 0.93 | |
| FTN-PA | Financial 15 Split | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.32 | (0.17) | 0.66 | (0.38) | 2.75 | |
| FTU | US Financial 15 | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.07 | 3.57 | (3.33) | 14.56 | |
| PDV | Prime Dividend Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.60 | 0.13 | 2.62 | (1.26) | 6.20 | |
| YCM | Commerce Split Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.50 | 0.19 | 3.92 | (1.32) | 9.60 |
Other Forecasting Options for US Financial
For every potential investor in FTU-PB, whether a beginner or expert, US Financial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. FTU-PB Preferred Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in FTU-PB. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying US Financial's price trends.US Financial Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with US Financial preferred stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of US Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing US Financial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
US Financial Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how US Financial preferred stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading US Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying US Financial preferred stock market strength indicators, traders can identify US Financial 15 entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
US Financial Risk Indicators
The analysis of US Financial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in US Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ftu-pb preferred stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.901 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.14 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.66 | |||
| Variance | 2.75 | |||
| Downside Variance | 6.48 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.31 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.29) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for US Financial
The number of cover stories for US Financial depends on current market conditions and US Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that US Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about US Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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US Financial Short Properties
US Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when US Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of US Financial 15 often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential US Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. US Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.9 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 1.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 878.9 K |
Other Information on Investing in FTU-PB Preferred Stock
US Financial financial ratios help investors to determine whether FTU-PB Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in FTU-PB with respect to the benefits of owning US Financial security.