Feintool International Stock Forward View - Polynomial Regression
| FTON Stock | CHF 8.80 -0.10 -1.12% |
This page provides Polynomial Regression reference data for Feintool International Holding, calculated from historical daily prices. The model output shown here is derived from Feintool International's historical price series and is provided for informational purposes. Projected values and accuracy measures are included for reference.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Feintool International Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 9.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.60.A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Feintool International historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm The Polynomial Regression reference information for Feintool International is based on available price data and is intended for informational purposes. Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Feintool International Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 9.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.06 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.60 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Feintool Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Feintool International's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Feintool International | Feintool International Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
This next-day forecast for Feintool International Holding uses model performance to estimate practical downside and upside boundaries rather than a single point target alone. No forecasting approach has been shown to beat all others over time. Investors should treat any model output as a guide, not a guarantee.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Feintool International stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Feintool International stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.2108 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1901 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0188 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 11.599 |
Other Forecasting Options for Feintool International
The autocorrelation structure of Feintool International's daily returns reveals whether Feintool exhibits momentum, mean-reversion, or random-walk behavior. Separating these elements helps distinguish persistent directional moves from temporary noise in Feintool Stock price data. Stochastic oscillator analysis compares Feintool International's closing price to its range over a given period.Feintool International Related Equities
These related stocks within the Industrials space give benchmarks for judging Feintool International's results, margins, and growth trend. Checking cash flow across this peer set helps gauge Feintool International's relative financial strength. Peer review is most useful when paired with absolute pricing and trend checks. These links can also guide portfolio spreading choices within the sector.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Feintool International Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators applied to Feintool International stock help assess momentum and resilience across environments. These indicators support informed market timing decisions when analyzing Feintool International. For Feintool International Holding, market strength indicators complement fundamental analysis with timing context.
Feintool International Risk Indicators
Risk indicator analysis for Feintool International is essential for accurately projecting its future price trajectory. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Feintool International's investment and either accepting or mitigating it. Understanding the risk profile of Feintool International's allows investors to make more informed decisions about position sizing.
| Mean Deviation | 2.29 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.98 | |||
| Variance | 8.89 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Feintool International
Coverage intensity for Feintool International Holding matters because narrative visibility can influence sentiment, participation, and volatility around the name. This is most useful when investors want to understand why a security is suddenly drawing more public discussion.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Macroaxis story coverage is designed for a broad investing audience that ranges from self-directed traders to advisers, researchers, and institutional market participants. The content is intended to support people who want a more structured path from headline information to portfolio action.
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Feintool International Short Properties
Reviewing short-oriented indicators for Feintool International Holding is useful because long and short participants often create very different signals for timing and volatility. The stronger read compares short sentiment with trend behavior, volume, and the broader market narrative.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 14.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 82.6 M |
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