Fragbite Group Stock Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing
| FRAG Stock | 6.40 0.78 10.86% |
Fragbite Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the value of rsi of Fragbite Group's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Fragbite Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Fragbite Group AB from the perspective of Fragbite Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Fragbite Group AB on the next trading day is expected to be 6.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.38 and the sum of the absolute errors of 22.58. Fragbite Group after-hype prediction price | SEK 6.4 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Fragbite |
Fragbite Group Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Fragbite price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Fragbite using various technical indicators. When you analyze Fragbite charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Fragbite Group Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 7th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Fragbite Group AB on the next trading day is expected to be 6.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.38, mean absolute percentage error of 0.33, and the sum of the absolute errors of 22.58.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Fragbite Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Fragbite Group's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Fragbite Group Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Fragbite Group | Fragbite Group Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Fragbite Group Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Fragbite Group's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Fragbite Group's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.06 and 14.14, respectively. We have considered Fragbite Group's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Fragbite Group stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Fragbite Group stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0825 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3763 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0497 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 22.5789 |
Predictive Modules for Fragbite Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fragbite Group AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Fragbite Group After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Fragbite Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Fragbite Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Fragbite Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Fragbite Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Fragbite Group's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Fragbite Group's historical news coverage. Fragbite Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.32 and 14.19, respectively. We have considered Fragbite Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Fragbite Group is risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Fragbite Group AB is based on 3 months time horizon.
Fragbite Group Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Fragbite Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Fragbite Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Fragbite Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.49 | 7.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
6.40 | 6.40 | 0.00 |
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Fragbite Group Hype Timeline
Fragbite Group AB is currently traded for 6.40on Stockholm Exchange of Sweden. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Fragbite is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.49%. %. The volatility of related hype on Fragbite Group is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.40. About 60.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.92. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Fragbite Group AB recorded a loss per share of 0.84. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 500:1 split on the 5th of December 2024. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Fragbite Group to cross-verify your projections.Fragbite Group Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Fragbite Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Fragbite Group's future price movements. Getting to know how Fragbite Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Fragbite Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TSEC | Tempest Security AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 4.49 | (3.90) | 20.36 | |
| IMPC | Impact Coatings publ | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 5.03 | (5.81) | 15.31 | |
| LEVEL | Nordic LEVEL Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.06 | 0 | 5.36 | (5.17) | 15.93 | |
| AXOLOT | Axolot Solutions Holding | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 6.45 | (6.25) | 19.12 | |
| NEPA | Nepa AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.13 | 0 | 4.23 | (3.76) | 13.38 | |
| WISE | Wise Group AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.52 | (0) | 5.26 | (4.66) | 51.85 | |
| GGEO | Guideline Geo AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.91 | 0.05 | 4.50 | (5.19) | 14.59 | |
| BIOEX | Bioextrax AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.33 | 0.03 | 6.72 | (8.11) | 42.67 | |
| HEXI | Hexicon AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 6.21 | 0.02 | 8.33 | (11.11) | 119.48 | |
| SAXG | Saxlund Group AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.02 | (0.01) | 4.95 | (3.63) | 15.51 |
Other Forecasting Options for Fragbite Group
For every potential investor in Fragbite, whether a beginner or expert, Fragbite Group's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Fragbite Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Fragbite. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Fragbite Group's price trends.Fragbite Group Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Fragbite Group stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Fragbite Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Fragbite Group by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Fragbite Group Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Fragbite Group stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Fragbite Group shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Fragbite Group stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Fragbite Group AB entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 2315.77 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.97) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.89 | |||
| Day Median Price | 6.6 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 6.53 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.59) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.78) |
Fragbite Group Risk Indicators
The analysis of Fragbite Group's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Fragbite Group's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting fragbite stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.6 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 7.44 | |||
| Variance | 55.32 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Fragbite Group
The number of cover stories for Fragbite Group depends on current market conditions and Fragbite Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Fragbite Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Fragbite Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Fragbite Group Short Properties
Fragbite Group's future price predictability will typically decrease when Fragbite Group's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Fragbite Group AB often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Fragbite Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fragbite Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 107.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 87.5 M |
Additional Tools for Fragbite Stock Analysis
When running Fragbite Group's price analysis, check to measure Fragbite Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fragbite Group is operating at the current time. Most of Fragbite Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fragbite Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fragbite Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fragbite Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.