Floor Decor Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

FND Stock  USD 65.79  1.93  3.02%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Floor Decor Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 64.19 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.37 and the sum of the absolute errors of 144.28. Floor Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Floor Decor stock prices and determine the direction of Floor Decor Holdings's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Floor Decor's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, The value of RSI of Floor Decor's share price is at 54. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Floor Decor, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 54

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Floor Decor's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Floor Decor and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Floor Decor's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Floor Decor Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Floor Decor's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.104
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.3201
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.9042
EPS Estimate Next Year
2.1079
Wall Street Target Price
77.8182
Using Floor Decor hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Floor Decor Holdings from the perspective of Floor Decor response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Floor Decor using Floor Decor's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Floor using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Floor Decor's stock price.

Floor Decor Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Floor Decor's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Floor. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Floor Decor stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
74.0412
Short Percent
0.0964
Short Ratio
3.7
Shares Short Prior Month
8.6 M
50 Day MA
62.8974

Floor Decor Holdings Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Floor Decor's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Floor. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Floor can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Floor Decor Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Floor Decor's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Floor Decor.

Floor Decor Implied Volatility

    
  0.51  
Floor Decor's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Floor Decor Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Floor Decor's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Floor Decor stock will not fluctuate a lot when Floor Decor's options are near their expiration.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Floor Decor Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 64.19 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.37 and the sum of the absolute errors of 144.28.

Floor Decor after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 66.03  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Floor Decor to cross-verify your projections.
As of January 6, 2026, Inventory Turnover is expected to decline to 1.59. In addition to that, Payables Turnover is expected to decline to 3.93. As of January 6, 2026, Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to decline to about 112.3 M. In addition to that, Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is expected to decline to about 168.3 M.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Floor Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Floor Decor's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Floor Decor's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Floor Decor stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Floor Decor's open interest, investors have to compare it to Floor Decor's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Floor Decor is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Floor. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Floor Decor Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Floor price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Floor using various technical indicators. When you analyze Floor charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Floor Decor polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Floor Decor Holdings as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Floor Decor Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 7th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Floor Decor Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 64.19 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.37, mean absolute percentage error of 8.70, and the sum of the absolute errors of 144.28.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Floor Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Floor Decor's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Floor Decor Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Floor DecorFloor Decor Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Floor Decor Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Floor Decor's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Floor Decor's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 61.71 and 66.67, respectively. We have considered Floor Decor's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
65.79
64.19
Expected Value
66.67
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Floor Decor stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Floor Decor stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.2734
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation2.3653
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0367
SAESum of the absolute errors144.281
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Floor Decor historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Floor Decor

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Floor Decor Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
63.5666.0368.50
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
59.2171.5674.03
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
61.8564.2166.56
Details
24 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
70.8177.8286.38
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Floor Decor

For every potential investor in Floor, whether a beginner or expert, Floor Decor's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Floor Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Floor. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Floor Decor's price trends.

Floor Decor Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Floor Decor stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Floor Decor could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Floor Decor by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Floor Decor Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Floor Decor's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Floor Decor's current price.

Floor Decor Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Floor Decor stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Floor Decor shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Floor Decor stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Floor Decor Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Floor Decor Risk Indicators

The analysis of Floor Decor's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Floor Decor's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting floor stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Floor Decor Holdings is a strong investment it is important to analyze Floor Decor's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Floor Decor's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Floor Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Floor Decor to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
Is Home Improvement Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Floor Decor. If investors know Floor will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Floor Decor listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.104
Earnings Share
2
Revenue Per Share
43.357
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.055
Return On Assets
0.0322
The market value of Floor Decor Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Floor that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Floor Decor's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Floor Decor's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Floor Decor's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Floor Decor's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Floor Decor's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Floor Decor is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Floor Decor's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.