Fabrinet Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| FN Stock | USD 466.29 35.60 7.09% |
Fabrinet Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of Fabrinet's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Fabrinet hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Fabrinet from the perspective of Fabrinet response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Fabrinet on the next trading day is expected to be 493.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 20.43 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,246. Fabrinet after-hype prediction price | USD 482.05 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Fabrinet to cross-verify your projections. Fabrinet Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Fabrinet price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Fabrinet using various technical indicators. When you analyze Fabrinet charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Fabrinet Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 11th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Fabrinet on the next trading day is expected to be 493.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 20.43, mean absolute percentage error of 683.89, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,246.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Fabrinet Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Fabrinet's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Fabrinet Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Fabrinet | Fabrinet Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Fabrinet Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Fabrinet's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Fabrinet's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 488.57 and 497.51, respectively. We have considered Fabrinet's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Fabrinet stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Fabrinet stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 124.6383 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 20.4291 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0448 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1246.173 |
Predictive Modules for Fabrinet
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fabrinet. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Fabrinet After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Fabrinet at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Fabrinet or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Fabrinet, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Fabrinet Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Fabrinet's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Fabrinet's historical news coverage. Fabrinet's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 477.66 and 486.44, respectively. We have considered Fabrinet's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Fabrinet is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Fabrinet is based on 3 months time horizon.
Fabrinet Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Fabrinet is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Fabrinet backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Fabrinet, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.17 | 4.47 | 0.05 | 0.10 | 16 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 16 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
466.29 | 482.05 | 0.12 |
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Fabrinet Hype Timeline
As of February 10, 2026 Fabrinet is listed for 466.29. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.1. Fabrinet is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 482.05. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.12%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.17%. The volatility of related hype on Fabrinet is about 751.26%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 466.19. About 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.19. Fabrinet recorded earning per share (EPS) of 10.44. The entity last dividend was issued on the 29th of October 2010. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 16 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Fabrinet to cross-verify your projections.Fabrinet Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Fabrinet's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Fabrinet's future price movements. Getting to know how Fabrinet's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Fabrinet may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FTV | Fortive Corp | (0.27) | 11 per month | 1.14 | 0.13 | 3.05 | (2.36) | 10.77 | |
| TRMB | Trimble | 0.40 | 13 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 2.88 | (4.80) | 8.91 | |
| MKSI | MKS Instruments | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.14 | 0.26 | 5.36 | (4.17) | 12.03 | |
| DT | Dynatrace Holdings LLC | (0.33) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 2.62 | (3.61) | 13.36 | |
| GEN | Gen Digital | (0.27) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.32 | (3.59) | 9.21 | |
| ENTG | Entegris | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.37 | 0.20 | 8.09 | (3.78) | 13.92 | |
| DOCU | DocuSign | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 3.08 | (5.19) | 18.12 | |
| BSY | Bentley Systems | (5.48) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 3.02 | (3.09) | 10.70 | |
| LITE | Lumentum Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 5.57 | 0.23 | 10.17 | (10.62) | 29.96 | |
| ZBRA | Zebra Technologies | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.16 | (0.03) | 3.11 | (3.66) | 10.47 |
Other Forecasting Options for Fabrinet
For every potential investor in Fabrinet, whether a beginner or expert, Fabrinet's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Fabrinet Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Fabrinet. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Fabrinet's price trends.Fabrinet Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Fabrinet stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Fabrinet could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Fabrinet by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Fabrinet Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Fabrinet stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Fabrinet shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Fabrinet stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Fabrinet entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 34474.04 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (1.01) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.93 | |||
| Day Median Price | 482.16 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 476.87 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 1.0E-4 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (33.66) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (35.60) |
Fabrinet Risk Indicators
The analysis of Fabrinet's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Fabrinet's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting fabrinet stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.37 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.68 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.47 | |||
| Variance | 19.98 | |||
| Downside Variance | 23.76 | |||
| Semi Variance | 21.89 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.38) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Fabrinet
The number of cover stories for Fabrinet depends on current market conditions and Fabrinet's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Fabrinet is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Fabrinet's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Fabrinet Short Properties
Fabrinet's future price predictability will typically decrease when Fabrinet's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Fabrinet often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Fabrinet's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fabrinet's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 36.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 934.2 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Fabrinet to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Fabrinet Stock, please use our How to Invest in Fabrinet guide.You can also try the Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.
Will Electronic Equipment, Instruments & Components sector continue expanding? Could Fabrinet diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Fabrinet. Market participants price Fabrinet higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Fabrinet data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Understanding Fabrinet requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Fabrinet's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Fabrinet's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Fabrinet's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Fabrinet's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fabrinet is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, Fabrinet's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.