Fair Isaac Stock Forward View - Polynomial Regression
| FICO Stock | USD 1,165 -0.62 -0.05% |
Momentum
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.077 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 10.5781 | EPS Estimate Current Year 41.8545 | EPS Estimate Next Year 53.3598 | Wall Street Target Price 2 K |
This section relates Fair Isaac headline activity to recent price behavior and peer context. Options positioning and short interest are used here to outline sentiment for Fair Isaac.
Fair Isaac Short Interest Summary
Fair Isaac's short interest measures the total number of shares sold short but not yet covered. Rising short interest can signal growing bearish sentiment among institutional and retail investors.
200 Day MA 1.6 K | Short Percent 0.0675 | Short Ratio 3.9 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.3 M | 50 Day MA 1.5 K |
Fair RSI Snapshot
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Fair Isaac on the next trading day is expected to be 1,350 with a mean absolute deviation of 46.76 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2,852.Fair Isaac Hype vs Price Pattern
Public perception of Fair Isaac - captured through news and social media signals - can drive Fair Isaac's stock price away from intrinsic value for extended periods. Analyzing these biases provides an edge for contrarian investors.
When Fair Isaac's market sentiment is overly bullish relative to its actual financial performance, the stock may be overvalued. Excessively negative sentiment can create buying opportunities for patient investors.
Fair Isaac Implied Volatility | 0.63 |
High implied volatility in Fair Isaac's options signals that the market anticipates large price swings in Fair Isaac stock. Conversely, low implied volatility indicates that investors expect relatively stable price action.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Fair Isaac on the next trading day is expected to be 1,350 with a mean absolute deviation of 46.76 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2,852.Fair Isaac after-hype prediction price | $ 1183.79 |
Hype signals are presented as complementary context to forecasting, technicals, analyst estimates, earnings, and momentum.
Use Historical Fundamental Analysis of Fair Isaac to cross-verify projections for Fair Isaac. The historical view provides additional context.Rule 16 for the current Fair contract - Pricing Context
Using the Rule 16 heuristic, the current implied volatility suggests an average daily move of about 0.0394% for the 2026-06-18 options. This estimate is a volatility reference; at $ 1164.61, it implies a move of about $ 0.46 per day.
Fair Options Open Interest - 2026-06-18
Open interest on Fair Isaac summarizes how many option contracts remain open and helps frame liquidity and positioning.
Fair Isaac Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Fair price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Fair using various technical indicators. When you analyze Fair charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Fair Isaac Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 13th of March 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Fair Isaac on the next trading day is expected to be 1,350 with a mean absolute deviation of 46.76 , mean absolute percentage error of 3,979 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 2,852 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Fair Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Fair Isaac's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Fair Isaac Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Fair Isaac | Fair Isaac Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Fair Isaac Forecasted Value
This next-day forecast for Fair Isaac uses model performance to estimate practical downside and upside boundaries rather than a single point target alone. Investors should still remember that no empirical framework consistently proves that one family of forecasting models will outperform all other approaches in live markets.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Fair Isaac stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Fair Isaac stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 126.3992 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 46.7593 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0329 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2852.3149 |
The concept of mean reversion suggests that Fair Isaac's price will eventually return toward its long-run average. High prices may deter value investors, while unusually low prices often attract buyers who anticipate a recovery.
Fair Isaac After-Hype Price Density Analysis
The price distribution graph for Fair Isaac visualizes the statistical uncertainty around our prediction model's output. Investors should interpret the full distribution of Fair Isaac's outcomes, not just the central tendency, when making decisions.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Fair Isaac Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
The downside and upside margins for Fair Isaac after major news events are estimated from historical precedent. Fair Isaac's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1,048 and 1,187, respectively. This approach captures the empirical distribution of Fair Isaac's short-term price reactions without assuming any particular model of future behavior.
Current Value
The after-hype framework applied to Fair Isaac assumes a 3 months review window and focuses on post-sentiment normalization rather than raw momentum. This view is most useful when investors want to compare sentiment-driven price extension with a more measured post-news scenario.
Fair Isaac Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Fair Isaac is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Fair Isaac backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Fair Isaac, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.70 | 3.04 | 19.18 | 2.42 | 9 Events | 7 Events | In 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1,165 | 1,184 | 1.65 |
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Fair Isaac Hype Timeline
Fair Isaac is currently traded for 1,165. The company has historical hype elasticity of 19.18, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 2.42. Fair is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 1183.79 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 11.09%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 1.65%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.7%. The volatility of related hype on Fair Isaac is about 88.04%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1,167. The company reported previous year's revenue of 1.99 B. Net Income was 651.95 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.71 B. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in 9 days. Use Historical Fundamental Analysis of Fair Isaac to cross-verify projections for Fair Isaac. The historical view provides additional context.Fair Isaac Related Hype Analysis
The relationship between Fair Isaac and its sector peers means that news affecting one company often reverberates across Fair Isaac's competitive landscape. Tracking peer hype helps investors anticipate Fair Isaac's likely short-term price behavior.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CLS | Celestica | 0.64 | 10 per month | 0.00 | -0.04 | 6.90 | -7.07 | 21.19 | |
| GRMN | Garmin | -0.84 | 7 per month | 1.53 | 0.13 | 3.79 | -2.75 | 13.82 | |
| NOK | Nokia Corp ADR | -0.09 | 6 per month | 2.34 | 0.18 | 3.84 | -3.68 | 12.63 | |
| TEAM | Atlassian Corp Plc | 4.73 | 7 per month | 0.00 | -0.26 | 5.08 | -7.65 | 15.75 | |
| TTD | Trade Desk | 0.12 | 8 per month | 0.00 | -0.14 | 4.03 | -4.81 | 21.51 | |
| ZM | Zoom Video Communications | -0.03 | 10 per month | 0.00 | -0.05 | 3.85 | -4.27 | 22.86 | |
| XYZ | Block Inc | 1.99 | 6 per month | 3.10 | 0.04 | 4.99 | -5.98 | 19.22 | |
| PTC | PTC Inc | -3.02 | 11 per month | 0.00 | -0.08 | 2.24 | -3.38 | 7.45 | |
| CTSH | Cognizant Technology Solutions | 0.34 | 12 per month | 0.00 | -0.14 | 2.97 | -4.91 | 13.80 | |
| UI | Ubiquiti Networks | 30.69 | 9 per month | 2.04 | 0.16 | 4.73 | -3.68 | 18.99 |
Other Forecasting Options for Fair Isaac
Whether a novice or experienced investor, anyone considering Fair needs to understand the dynamics of Fair Isaac's price movement. Price charts for Fair Stock contain a significant amount of noise that can distort investment decisions.Fair Isaac Related Equities
The following equities are related to Fair Isaac within the Information Technology space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing Fair Isaac against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Fair Isaac Market Strength Events
Analyzing market strength indicators for Fair Isaac enables investors to understand how the stock performs relative to overall market momentum. These indicators are valuable tools for identifying when to enter or exit positions in Fair Isaac.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1164.61 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1164.61 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | -0.31 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | -0.62 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 31.26 |
Fair Isaac Risk Indicators
Identifying and analyzing Fair Isaac's key risk indicators is a foundational step in projecting how its price may evolve. This process helps investors quantify the risk associated with Fair Isaac's and decide how to manage it.
| Mean Deviation | 2.03 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.0 | |||
| Variance | 9.03 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Fair Isaac
Coverage intensity for Fair Isaac matters because narrative visibility can influence sentiment, participation, and volatility around the name. The stronger process compares story flow with performance, theme classification, and the level of short-term market interest.
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Fair Isaac Short Properties
Short sentiment tied to Fair Isaac matters because heavier bearish pressure can change how quickly future price expectations become unstable. Used correctly, these measures can help investors decide when hedging or timing discipline may matter more than conviction alone.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 24.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 134.1 M |
More Resources for Fair Stock Analysis
A structured review of Fair Isaac often starts with core financial statements and trend context. Financial ratios provide context for profitability, efficiency, and growth trends. Below are reports that help frame Fair Isaac Stock in context:Use Historical Fundamental Analysis of Fair Isaac to cross-verify projections for Fair Isaac. The historical view provides additional context. For more information on how to buy Fair Stock please use our How to Buy Fair Stock guide.Analysis related to Fair Isaac should be read together with other portfolio and risk tools before capital is reallocated. That is especially important when the goal is to improve the overall mix of instruments already held. You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.077 | Earnings Share 24.47 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.164 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Fair Isaac is measured differently than book value, which reflects Fair accounting equity. Fair Isaac's market capitalization is 27.64 B. With a P/B ratio of 82.33, the market values Fair Isaac well above its book equity. Enterprise value stands at 33.54 B. The intrinsic value concept focuses on underlying worth, which can diverge from market price and book value. Valuation work aligns these measures into a single context.
Note that Fair Isaac's intrinsic value and market price are different measures derived from different inputs. For Fair Isaac, key inputs include a P/E ratio of 65.6, a P/B ratio of 82.33, a profit margin of 31.89%, and ROE of 35.62%. Trading price represents the transaction level agreed by market participants.