Flughafen Zurich Stock Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing
| FHZN Stock | CHF 246.20 1.80 0.74% |
Flughafen Zurich's Double Exponential Smoothing reference data is presented on this page, derived from the application of the forecasting model to historical closing prices. Projected values and accuracy measures are included for reference.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Flughafen Zurich on the next trading day is expected to be 245.94 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.70 and the sum of the absolute errors of 162.19.When Flughafen Zurich prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Flughafen Zurich trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Flughafen Zurich observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations. The Double Exponential Smoothing reference information for Flughafen Zurich is based on available price data and is intended for informational purposes. Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 19th of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Flughafen Zurich on the next trading day is expected to be 245.94 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.70 , mean absolute percentage error of 11.16 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 162.19 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Flughafen Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Flughafen Zurich's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Flughafen Zurich | Flughafen Zurich Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
The next-day forecast for Flughafen Zurich focuses on identifying predictive downside and upside bands that can frame a realistic trading range. At the moment, the model places downside around 244.64 and upside around 247.23 for the forecasting period.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Flughafen Zurich stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Flughafen Zurich stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.3725 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.7031 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0108 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 162.1881 |
Other Forecasting Options for Flughafen Zurich
For any investor considering Flughafen, Flughafen Zurich's price movement is the central factor in determining investment viability. The noise present in Flughafen Stock price charts can distort investment decisions if not properly addressed.Flughafen Zurich Related Equities
The following equities are related to Flughafen Zurich within the Industrials space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing Flughafen Zurich against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Flughafen Zurich Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators for Flughafen Zurich stock help investors evaluate the security's behavior relative to ongoing market conditions. These tools support better market timing and help identify entry and exit signals for Flughafen Zurich.
Flughafen Zurich Risk Indicators
The analysis of Flughafen Zurich's basic risk indicators is a key input for accurate price forecasting and sound investment decisions. Understanding the risk in Flughafen Zurich's investment allows investors to make informed choices about accepting or mitigating that exposure.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9553 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.29 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.24 | |||
| Variance | 1.53 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.76 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.66 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -0.94 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Flughafen Zurich
A coverage review of Flughafen Zurich helps investors see when the security is attracting above-average attention from contributors and market observers. A disciplined read of coverage helps investors separate durable relevance from temporary noise.
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Flughafen Zurich Short Properties
Short-interest signals around Flughafen Zurich can help investors judge whether skeptical positioning is starting to pressure price predictability and market tone. Used correctly, these measures can help investors decide when hedging or timing discipline may matter more than conviction alone.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 30.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 422.2 M |
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