Falcon Gold OTC Stock Forward View - Polynomial Regression
| FGLDF Stock | USD 0.01 0.0005 5.88% |
The Polynomial Regression forecast reference data for Falcon Gold Corp is based on the equity's recent trading history. This page summarizes the model output and key accuracy metrics for reference.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Falcon Gold Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0013 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.08.A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Falcon Gold historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm All Polynomial Regression forecast figures shown for Falcon Gold Corp are reference data reflecting model output based on available historical prices. Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 20th of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Falcon Gold Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0013 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000257 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.08 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Falcon OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Falcon Gold's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
OTC Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Falcon Gold | Falcon Gold Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
The next-day forecast for Falcon Gold Corp focuses on identifying predictive downside and upside bands that can frame a realistic trading range. The current forecast range spans downside near 0.00009 and upside near 13.47.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Falcon Gold otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Falcon Gold otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 107.0784 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0013 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.1125 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0833 |
Other Forecasting Options for Falcon Gold
Whether a novice or experienced investor, anyone considering Falcon needs to understand the dynamics of Falcon Gold's price movement. Price charts for Falcon OTC Stock contain a significant amount of noise that can distort investment decisions.Falcon Gold Related Equities
The following equities are related to Falcon Gold within the Gold space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing Falcon Gold against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Falcon Gold Market Strength Events
Analyzing market strength indicators for Falcon Gold enables investors to understand how the otc stock performs relative to overall market momentum. These indicators are valuable tools for identifying when to enter or exit positions in Falcon Gold Corp.
| Accumulation Distribution | 7000.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.5556 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.06 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.0086 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.0087 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 7.0E-4 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 5.0E-4 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 45.17 |
Falcon Gold Risk Indicators
Identifying and analyzing Falcon Gold's key risk indicators is a foundational step in projecting how its price may evolve. This process helps investors quantify the risk associated with Falcon Gold's and decide how to manage it.
| Mean Deviation | 9.31 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 11.6 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 13.03 | |||
| Variance | 169.77 | |||
| Downside Variance | 192.03 | |||
| Semi Variance | 134.65 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -11.25 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Falcon Gold
The amount of media and story coverage tied to Falcon Gold Corp can signal where market attention is concentrating at the moment. The practical risk is that faster visibility can increase both interest and skepticism at the same time.
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Falcon Gold financial ratios provide valuation context across profits, cash flow, and enterprise value. They help compare Falcon to other measures in a consistent way.