ForFarmers Stock Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing
| FFARM Stock | EUR 6.64 -0.15 -2.21% |
Momentum
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.044 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.64 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.71 | Wall Street Target Price 7.75 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.137 |
The summary frames ForFarmers' price response to attention shifts and peer coverage.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of ForFarmers NV on the next trading day is expected to be 6.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.38.ForFarmers after-hype prediction price | € 6.64 |
Sentiment indicators are framed alongside forecasting, technical analysis, analyst estimates, and momentum.
ForFarmers |
ForFarmers Additional Predictive Modules
Forecasting ForFarmers's price movement relies on structured analysis of indicator behavior, momentum signatures, and historical volatility patterns. Non-stationary data - where mean and variance shift over time - is the norm for ForFarmers, making adaptive models preferable.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 17th of March 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of ForFarmers NV on the next trading day is expected to be 6.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.02 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.38 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ForFarmers Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ForFarmers' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest ForFarmers | ForFarmers Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
This next-day forecast for ForFarmers NV uses model performance to estimate practical downside and upside boundaries rather than a single point target alone. Investors should still remember that no empirical framework consistently proves that one family of forecasting models will outperform all other approaches in live markets.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ForFarmers stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ForFarmers stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0193 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0912 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0157 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 5.38 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ForFarmers' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion.
After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of ForFarmers at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting ForFarmers' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on ForFarmers' historical news coverage.
Current Value
Macroaxis estimates the after-hype price of ForFarmers NV across a 3 months horizon to evaluate where the instrument could settle once headline distortion subsides. Used correctly, the estimate adds context around potential normalization rather than promising a specific realized outcome.
Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as ForFarmers is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ForFarmers backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with ForFarmers, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.73 | 2.23 | 0.03 | 1.19 | 5 Events | 1 Events | In 5 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
6.64 | 6.64 | 0.00 |
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Hype Timeline
ForFarmers NV is currently traded for 6.64on Euronext Amsterdam of Netherlands. The company has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 1.19. ForFarmers is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.73%. %. The volatility of related hype on ForFarmers is about 136.64%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 7.83. About 77.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.68. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. ForFarmers NV had its last dividend issued on the 20th of April 2026. Assuming the 90-day trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 days. Cross-verify projections for ForFarmers using Historical Fundamental Analysis of ForFarmers. The analysis adds historical context for the projection set.Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to ForFarmers' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict ForFarmers' future price movements. Getting to know how ForFarmers' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HEIJM | Koninklijke Heijmans NV | 7.45 | 1 per month | 1.79 | 0.12 | 4.65 | -3.99 | 20.29 | |
| ACOMO | Amsterdam Commodities NV | 0.50 | 1 per month | 0.98 | 0.13 | 2.16 | -1.57 | 7.42 | |
| FLOW | Flow Traders BV | 0.38 | 4 per month | 1.47 | 0.16 | 3.05 | -2.44 | 7.91 | |
| BAMNB | Koninklijke BAM Groep | -0.19 | 2 per month | 0.00 | -0.0047 | 3.97 | -3.28 | 9.07 | |
| PNL | PostNL NV | 0.02 | 1 per month | 1.74 | 0.09 | 3.96 | -3.57 | 13.38 |
Other Forecasting Options for ForFarmers
For every potential investor in ForFarmers, whether a beginner or expert, ForFarmers' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better.ForFarmers Related Equities
The following equities are related to ForFarmers within the Consumer Staples space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing ForFarmers against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
ForFarmers Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ForFarmers stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ForFarmers shares will generate the highest return on.
ForFarmers Risk Indicators
The analysis of ForFarmers' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ForFarmers' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it.
| Mean Deviation | 1.52 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.8906 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.17 | |||
| Variance | 4.72 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.35 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.7932 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -1.95 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for ForFarmers
A coverage review of ForFarmers NV helps investors see when the security is attracting above-average attention from contributors and market observers. Used properly, this context can help investors judge whether visibility is reinforcing the thesis or attracting more speculative pressure.
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ForFarmers Short Properties
A short-interest review of ForFarmers NV helps investors understand whether skepticism in the market is becoming more influential. The stronger read compares short sentiment with trend behavior, volume, and the broader market narrative.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 88.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 109.7 M |
More Resources for ForFarmers Stock Analysis
Other Information on Investing in ForFarmers Stock
Financial ratios for ForFarmers help frame valuation context across profits, cash flow, and enterprise value. They help compare ForFarmers across measures in a consistent way.