Franklin Covey Stock Forward View - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| FC Stock | USD 11.99 0.45 3.90% |
Momentum
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth -0.61 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.11 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.32 | Wall Street Target Price 27.3333 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.13 |
This section frames Franklin Covey response to recent headlines in a peer context. The sentiment layer reflects Franklin Covey's options activity and short interest context.
For additional insight, see Dividend Yield and Price To Sales Ratio.
Franklin Covey Implied Volatility | 1.09 |
High implied volatility in Franklin Covey's options signals that the market anticipates large price swings in Franklin Covey stock. Conversely, low implied volatility indicates that investors expect relatively stable price action.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Franklin Covey on the next trading day is expected to be 11.94 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.34 and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.24.Franklin Covey after-hype prediction price | $ 11.54 |
The hype panel supports comparisons with forecasting models, technical signals, analyst consensus, and earnings.
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Rule 16 Summary for current Franklin contract
Rule 16 converts implied volatility into an estimated daily move of about 6.81% for 2026-04-17 options. This estimate is a volatility reference; at $ 11.99, it implies a move of about $ 0.82 per day.
Open Interest Context: Franklin 2026-04-17 Options
Open interest summarizes open contracts on Franklin Covey and offers neutral context on positioning.
Franklin Covey Additional Predictive Modules
Predictive models for Franklin Covey combine technical indicators with statistical methods to estimate probable price trajectories. Forward estimates should be treated as probability-weighted scenarios rather than point predictions.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
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| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 18th of March 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Franklin Covey on the next trading day is expected to be 11.94 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.34 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.19 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.24 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Franklin Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Franklin Covey's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Franklin Covey | Franklin Covey Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
This next-day forecast for Franklin Covey uses model performance to estimate practical downside and upside boundaries rather than a single point target alone. Used properly, these levels provide context around forecast dispersion rather than certainty about the next closing print.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Franklin Covey stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Franklin Covey stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0232 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3431 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0202 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 20.2413 |
The concept of mean reversion suggests that Franklin Covey's price will eventually return toward its long-run average. High prices may deter value investors, while unusually low prices often attract buyers who anticipate a recovery.
After-Hype Price Density Analysis
The price distribution graph for Franklin Covey visualizes the statistical uncertainty around our prediction model's output. Investors should interpret the full distribution of Franklin Covey's outcomes, not just the central tendency, when making decisions.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
The downside and upside margins for Franklin Covey after major news events are estimated from historical precedent. Franklin Covey's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 8.90 and 14.18, respectively. This approach captures the empirical distribution of Franklin Covey's short-term price reactions without assuming any particular model of future behavior.
Current Value
This after-hype projection for Franklin Covey uses a 3 months horizon to examine how price may behave after short-term sentiment effects dissipate. Franklin Covey is Low at this time.
Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Franklin Covey is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Franklin Covey backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Franklin Covey, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.58 | 2.63 | 0.06 | 0.07 | 8 Events | 5 Events | In 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
11.99 | 11.54 | 0.00 |
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Hype Timeline
As of March 17, 2026 Franklin Covey is listed for 11.99. The company has historical hype elasticity of -0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.07. Franklin is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.58%. %. The volatility of related hype on Franklin Covey is about 2070.87%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 12.06. About 18.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Franklin Covey was currently reported as 4.5. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.57. Franklin Covey recorded a loss per share of 0.12. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 8 days. Historical Fundamental Analysis of Franklin Covey can be used to cross-verify projections for Franklin Covey. The historical series provides projection context.Related Hype Analysis
The relationship between Franklin Covey and its sector peers means that news affecting one company often reverberates across Franklin Covey's competitive landscape. Tracking peer hype helps investors anticipate Franklin Covey's likely short-term price behavior.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PPIH | Perma Pipe International Holdings | 0.81 | 6 per month | 2.82 | 0.02 | 4.44 | -4.50 | 19.04 | |
| GENC | Gencor Industries | 1.10 | 10 per month | 1.75 | 0.11 | 4.78 | -3.20 | 15.38 | |
| DSX | Diana Shipping | 0.04 | 8 per month | 2.41 | 0.12 | 4.68 | -4.00 | 16.80 | |
| SPCE | Virgin Galactic Holdings | -0.16 | 26 per month | 0.00 | -0.15 | 6.00 | -6.04 | 15.27 | |
| PAMT | PAMT P | 0.82 | 5 per month | 0.00 | -0.04 | 7.44 | -6.07 | 21.69 | |
| SHMD | SCHMID Group NV | -0.45 | 8 per month | 6.64 | 0.1 | 16.73 | -11.48 | 48.50 | |
| ROMA | Roma Green Finance | -1.32 | 9 per month | 10.93 | 0.14 | 29.71 | -14.36 | 105.24 | |
| ALTG | Alta Equipment Group | 0.47 | 6 per month | 2.84 | 0.09 | 8.38 | -4.76 | 15.59 | |
| RGP | Resources Connection | -0.17 | 10 per month | 0.00 | -0.12 | 3.41 | -4.19 | 18.23 | |
| FORR | Forrester Research | 0.13 | 10 per month | 0.00 | -0.03 | 4.42 | -5.88 | 18.20 |
Other Forecasting Options for Franklin Covey
Whether a novice or experienced investor, anyone considering Franklin needs to understand the dynamics of Franklin Covey's price movement. Price charts for Franklin Stock contain a significant amount of noise that can distort investment decisions.Franklin Covey Related Equities
The following equities are related to Franklin Covey within the Industrials space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing Franklin Covey against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Franklin Covey Market Strength Events
Analyzing market strength indicators for Franklin Covey enables investors to understand how the stock performs relative to overall market momentum. These indicators are valuable tools for identifying when to enter or exit positions in Franklin Covey.
Franklin Covey Risk Indicators
Identifying and analyzing Franklin Covey's key risk indicators is a foundational step in projecting how its price may evolve. This process helps investors quantify the risk associated with Franklin Covey's and decide how to manage it.
| Mean Deviation | 1.89 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.59 | |||
| Variance | 6.7 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Franklin Covey
The amount of media and story coverage tied to Franklin Covey can signal where market attention is concentrating at the moment. The practical risk is that faster visibility can increase both interest and skepticism at the same time.
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Franklin Covey Short Properties
Reviewing short-oriented indicators for Franklin Covey is useful because long and short participants often create very different signals for timing and volatility. A disciplined short-interest review can make timing decisions more informed under rising skepticism.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 13.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 31.7 M |
More Resources for Franklin Stock Analysis
Historical Fundamental Analysis of Franklin Covey can be used to cross-verify projections for Franklin Covey. The historical series provides projection context. For more information on how to buy Franklin Stock please use our How to Buy Franklin Stock guide.At P/E 55.22 and ROE -2.08%, Franklin Covey analysis should be read alongside other portfolio and risk tools before adjusting capital allocation. That valuation within Industrials invites comparison with Consulting Services peers using the tools below to judge whether the multiple is justified. You can also try the Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.
Quarterly Earnings Growth -0.61 | Earnings Share -0.12 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth -0.07 | Return On Assets |
Market capitalization and book value offer complementary views of Franklin Covey - the first driven by investor sentiment, the second by accounting standards. Franklin Covey's market capitalization is 143.76 M. Franklin Covey P/B of 2.47 shows the market assigns a modest premium over accounting equity. Enterprise value stands at 116.62 M. The intrinsic value concept focuses on underlying worth, which can diverge from market price and book value. Valuation work aligns these measures into a single context.
The concept of value for Franklin Covey differs from its quoted price, since each reflects a different lens. For Franklin Covey, key inputs include a P/E ratio of 55.22, a P/B ratio of 2.47, a profit margin of -0.54%, and ROE of -2.08%. Where Franklin Covey trades at any moment depends on the balance of buying and selling pressure.