FatPipe Common Stock Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing
| FATN Stock | 1.65 -0.20 -10.81% |
FatPipe Common Stock's Double Exponential Smoothing forecast reference data is generated from the equity's historical trading prices. This page presents the model output and associated accuracy measures as reference information.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of FatPipe Common Stock on the next trading day is expected to be 1.61 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.85.When FatPipe Common Stock prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any FatPipe Common Stock trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent FatPipe Common observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations. The Double Exponential Smoothing projections for FatPipe Common Stock are reference data based on historical daily prices and are provided as informational context. Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 20th of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of FatPipe Common Stock on the next trading day is expected to be 1.61 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.05 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.85 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict FatPipe Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that FatPipe Common's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest FatPipe Common | FatPipe Common Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
This next-day forecast for FatPipe Common Stock uses model performance to estimate practical downside and upside boundaries rather than a single point target alone. The projected forecast band currently runs from roughly 0.02 on the downside to about 10.24 on the upside.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of FatPipe Common stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent FatPipe Common stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0324 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1308 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0646 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 7.8491 |
Other Forecasting Options for FatPipe Common
The price trajectory of FatPipe is the primary concern for any investor assessing it as an opportunity. FatPipe Stock price charts are filled with noise that can easily mislead uninformed investment decisions.FatPipe Common Related Equities
The following equities are related to FatPipe Common within the Information Technology space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing FatPipe Common against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
FatPipe Common Market Strength Events
Understanding the market strength of FatPipe Common stock enables investors to assess the security's momentum and responsiveness to broader market forces. These indicators are essential tools for timing trades in FatPipe Common Stock with greater precision.
| Accumulation Distribution | 16613.92 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | -0.59 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.89 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1.8 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1.75 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | -0.25 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | -0.20 |
FatPipe Common Risk Indicators
Reviewing FatPipe Common's basic risk indicators is essential for investors who want to forecast its price and manage their investment risk effectively. This analysis helps identify the amount of risk involved in holding FatPipe Common's and informs decisions about hedging and position.
| Mean Deviation | 5.01 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 8.72 | |||
| Variance | 76.09 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for FatPipe Common
The amount of media and story coverage tied to FatPipe Common Stock can signal where market attention is concentrating at the moment. The practical risk is that faster visibility can increase both interest and skepticism at the same time.
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FatPipe Common Short Properties
Reviewing short-oriented indicators for FatPipe Common Stock is useful because long and short participants often create very different signals for timing and volatility. This is most valuable when investors want to know whether bearish pressure is starting to shape the market's reaction function.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 12.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.9 M |