First Solar Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| F3A Stock | EUR 166.16 -4.98 -2.91% |
First Solar's Simple Moving Average reference page summarizes the forecasted price and model accuracy metrics derived from daily trading data. This reference information is provided for analytical context.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of First Solar on the next trading day is expected to be 166.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.83 and the sum of the absolute errors of 343.93.The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of First Solar price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of First Solar. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future This Simple Moving Average forecast data for First Solar is sourced from the most recent available trading data and is intended solely as reference information. Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 23rd of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of First Solar on the next trading day is expected to be 166.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.83 , mean absolute percentage error of 69.66 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 343.93 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict First Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that First Solar's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest First Solar | First Solar Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
Forecasting First Solar for the next session involves measuring the model's historical ability to define credible downside and upside scenarios. The current forecast range spans downside near 162.41 and upside near 169.91.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of First Solar stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent First Solar stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.6783 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 1.7002 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 5.8293 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0305 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 343.93 |
Other Forecasting Options for First Solar
The movement of First price is the central consideration for investors deciding whether to enter or hold a position. Noise in First Stock price charts can make it difficult to distinguish meaningful trends from random fluctuations.First Solar Related Equities
The following equities are related to First Solar within the Information Technology space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing First Solar against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
First Solar Market Strength Events
Investors use market strength indicators for First Solar to evaluate how the stock performs relative to broader market trends. These indicators support more precise timing of First Solar positions, helping investors maximize return and minimize poorly-timed trades.
First Solar Risk Indicators
A careful analysis of First Solar's basic risk indicators provides context for understanding the risk environment surrounding first stock. This understanding is an essential input for forecasting First Solar's future price and for deciding how to manage the associated investment risk.
| Mean Deviation | 2.48 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.75 | |||
| Variance | 14.1 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for First Solar
Coverage intensity for First Solar matters because narrative visibility can influence sentiment, participation, and volatility around the name. The stronger process compares story flow with performance, theme classification, and the level of short-term market interest.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Macroaxis publishes story content for a diverse readership that includes finance students, independent investors, money managers, and market-focused operating teams. What connects that audience is a focus on building stronger portfolios through better research, risk awareness, and comparative analysis.
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
More Resources for First Stock Analysis
The foundation for reviewing First Solar is its financial reporting and trend data. Financial ratios help explain how results are produced and sustained. The dataset reflects First Solar's financial reporting across available periods. Outlined below are key reports that provide context for First Solar Stock:The Historical Fundamental Analysis of First Solar module adds a historical reference layer for First Solar's projections. The historical context helps assess whether current projections align with past patterns. Past fundamental performance for First Solar establishes a baseline for projection analysis.For a detailed overview of how to trade First Stock, see our How to Trade First Stock guide.With First Solar showing P/E 236.64 and ROE 17.45%, investors get more value when this analysis is combined with the diversification and construction tools below. Solid capital efficiency at a reasonable valuation - the tools below help confirm that read. You can also try the Portfolio Center module to all portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios.