Evercore Partners Stock Forward View - Simple Regression

EVR Stock  USD 286.87  8.44  3.03%   
This reference view applies Simple Regression to Evercore Partners's historical closing prices. Evercore Partners's Simple Regression reference page summarizes the forecasted price and model accuracy metrics from daily trading data.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Evercore Partners on the next trading day is expected to be 275.23 with a mean absolute deviation of 12.29 and the sum of the absolute errors of 762.23.In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Evercore Partners historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data. All forecast values on this page for Evercore Partners are Simple Regression reference data derived from historical price series.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Evercore Partners price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 27th of March

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Evercore Partners on the next trading day is expected to be 275.23 with a mean absolute deviation of 12.29 , mean absolute percentage error of 240.75 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 762.23 .
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Evercore Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Evercore Partners' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Evercore Partners  Evercore Partners Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Forecasted Value

This next-day forecast for Evercore Partners uses model performance to estimate practical downside and upside boundaries rather than a single point target alone. No forecasting approach has been shown to beat all others over time. Investors should treat any model output as a guide, not a guarantee.
Market Value
286.87
272.51
Downside
275.23
Expected Value
277.96
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Evercore Partners stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Evercore Partners stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria125.4321
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation12.2941
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0373
SAESum of the absolute errors762.2338
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Evercore Partners historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Other Forecasting Options for Evercore Partners

Volume-weighted price analysis for Evercore Stock gives heavier weight to price levels where trading activity was highest. Crossovers in the MACD line and signal line can identify shifts in Evercore momentum before they appear in raw price.

Evercore Partners Related Equities

These stocks are related to Evercore Partners within the Financials space and can be used for peer review, pricing, or spreading risk. Key comparison metrics include price-to-earnings, profit margin, and revenue growth across Evercore Partners' peer group. Falling behind peers on key ratios may signal headwinds or execution issues worth looking into. These checks provide a starting point for deeper study of Evercore Partners' strengths and weak spots.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Evercore Partners Market Strength Events

Evaluating the market strength of Evercore Partners stock allows investors to gauge shifts in market momentum. Monitoring these indicators highlights periods where Evercore Partners trading conditions shift meaningfully.

Evercore Partners Risk Indicators

Understanding Evercore Partners' risk indicators is essential for any investor seeking to forecast its future price accurately. By identifying how much risk is embedded in Evercore Partners' investment, investors can decide how to position their exposure.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Evercore Partners

Coverage intensity for Evercore Partners matters because narrative visibility can influence sentiment, participation, and volatility around the name. A disciplined read of coverage separates durable relevance from temporary noise.

Evercore Partners Short Properties

Reviewing short-oriented indicators for Evercore Partners is useful because long and short participants often create very different signals for timing and volatility. Used correctly, these measures can help investors decide when hedging or timing discipline may matter more than conviction alone.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding44.4 M
Cash And Short Term InvestmentsB

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