EVIO Pink Sheet Forward View

EVIO Stock  USD 0.0001  0.00  0.00%   
EVIO Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today, The relative strength index (RSI) of EVIO's share price is at 52 suggesting that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling EVIO, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 52

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of EVIO's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with EVIO Inc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using EVIO hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of EVIO Inc from the perspective of EVIO response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of EVIO Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.000012 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.0007.

EVIO after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 9.7E-5  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of EVIO to cross-verify your projections.

EVIO Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine EVIO price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for EVIO using various technical indicators. When you analyze EVIO charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for EVIO is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of EVIO Inc value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

EVIO Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 31st of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of EVIO Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.000012, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.0007.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict EVIO Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that EVIO's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

EVIO Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest EVIO  EVIO Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

EVIO Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting EVIO's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. EVIO's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.000001 and 182.54, respectively. We have considered EVIO's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.0001
0.000001
Downside
0.0001
Expected Value
182.54
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of EVIO pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent EVIO pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria96.5619
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error9.223372036854776E14
SAESum of the absolute errors7.0E-4
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of EVIO Inc. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict EVIO. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for EVIO

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as EVIO Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.00009750.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.00007450.01
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
0.0000830.0000830.000083
Details

EVIO After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of EVIO at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in EVIO or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of EVIO, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

EVIO Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting EVIO's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on EVIO's historical news coverage. EVIO's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 50.01, respectively. We have considered EVIO's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.0001
0.000097
After-hype Price
50.01
Upside
EVIO is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of EVIO Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.

EVIO Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as EVIO is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading EVIO backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with EVIO, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  30.00 
182.54
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.0001
0.000097
3.28 
0.00  
Notes

EVIO Hype Timeline

EVIO Inc is currently traded for 0.0001. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. EVIO is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 9.7E-5. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -3.28%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 30.0%. The volatility of related hype on EVIO is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.0. EVIO Inc last dividend was issued on the 6th of September 2017. The entity had 1:100 split on the 6th of September 2017. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in a few days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of EVIO to cross-verify your projections.

EVIO Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to EVIO's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict EVIO's future price movements. Getting to know how EVIO's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how EVIO may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for EVIO

For every potential investor in EVIO, whether a beginner or expert, EVIO's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. EVIO Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in EVIO. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying EVIO's price trends.

EVIO Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with EVIO pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of EVIO could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing EVIO by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

EVIO Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how EVIO pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading EVIO shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying EVIO pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify EVIO Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Story Coverage note for EVIO

The number of cover stories for EVIO depends on current market conditions and EVIO's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that EVIO is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about EVIO's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Other Information on Investing in EVIO Pink Sheet

EVIO financial ratios help investors to determine whether EVIO Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in EVIO with respect to the benefits of owning EVIO security.