Enerpac Tool Stock Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing
| EPAC Stock | USD 36.23 0.36 1.00% |
Momentum
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth -0.10 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.9175 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.1775 | Wall Street Target Price 51 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.37 |
This view frames how Enerpac Tool Group responds to recent headlines and peer activity within its market context. Sentiment context here is built from Enerpac Tool's options activity and short interest data.
Short Interest Panel - Enerpac Tool
A significant increase or decrease in Enerpac Tool's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Enerpac. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Enerpac Tool stock and how bullish or bearish investors.
200 Day MA 40.4159 | Short Percent 0.0219 | Short Ratio 2.54 | Shares Short Prior Month 1 M | 50 Day MA 40.4466 |
RSI Oscillator - Enerpac
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Enerpac Tool Group on the next trading day is expected to be 36.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.65 and the sum of the absolute errors of 38.45.Enerpac Tool Group News-to-Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Enerpac Tool's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Enerpac. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Enerpac can time the market purely based on public headlines and social.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Enerpac Tool's market sentiment to its price can help traders make decisions based on the overall investor consensus about Enerpac Tool.
Enerpac Tool Implied Volatility | 1.11 |
Enerpac Tool's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Enerpac Tool Group stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Enerpac Tool's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Enerpac Tool Group on the next trading day is expected to be 36.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.65 and the sum of the absolute errors of 38.45.Enerpac Tool after-hype prediction price | $ 36.23 |
The sentiment view is a companion to forecasting, technical studies, analyst estimates, and earnings trends.
Cross-verify projections for Enerpac Tool using Historical Fundamental Analysis of Enerpac Tool. The historical view provides additional context.Rule 16 Summary for current Enerpac contract
Using the Rule 16 heuristic, the current implied volatility suggests an average daily move of about 6.94% for the 2026-05-15 options. At a recent price around $ 36.23, the implied daily move is approximately $ 2.51 , which is informational only.
Open Interest for Enerpac Options Expiring 2026-05-15
Open interest for Enerpac Tool describes outstanding contracts and gives a view of market engagement.
Enerpac Tool Additional Predictive Modules
Predictive models for Enerpac Tool combine technical indicators with statistical methods to estimate probable price trajectories. Predictive accuracy varies by market regime - trending markets and range-bound markets favor different model types.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 17th of March 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Enerpac Tool Group on the next trading day is expected to be 36.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.65 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.78 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 38.45 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Enerpac Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Enerpac Tool's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Enerpac Tool | Enerpac Tool Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
This next-day forecast for Enerpac Tool Group uses model performance to estimate practical downside and upside boundaries rather than a single point target alone. The current forecast range spans downside near 33.89 and upside near 38.29.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Enerpac Tool stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Enerpac Tool stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0886 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.6517 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0164 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 38.45 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Enerpac Tool's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion.
After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Enerpac Tool at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Enerpac Tool's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Enerpac Tool's historical news coverage.
Current Value
The after-hype framework applied to Enerpac Tool Group assumes a 3 months review window and focuses on post-sentiment normalization rather than raw momentum. This view is most useful when investors want to compare sentiment-driven price extension with a more measured post-news scenario.
Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Enerpac Tool is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Enerpac Tool backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Enerpac Tool, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.11 | 2.20 | 0.05 | 0.18 | 3 Events | 8 Events | In 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
36.23 | 36.23 | 0.00 |
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Hype Timeline
Enerpac Tool Group is currently traded for 36.23. The company has historical hype elasticity of -0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.18. Enerpac is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.11%. %. The volatility of related hype on Enerpac Tool is about 135.22%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 36.05. About 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Enerpac Tool was currently reported as 8.17. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.34. Enerpac Tool Group had its last dividend issued on the 7th of October 2025. The company completed a 2:1 stock split on 9th of November 2007. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in 3 days. Cross-verify projections for Enerpac Tool using Historical Fundamental Analysis of Enerpac Tool. The historical view provides additional context.Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Enerpac Tool's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Enerpac Tool's future price movements. Getting to know how Enerpac Tool's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PSIX | Power Solutions International | 1.18 | 6 per month | 6.69 | 0.02 | 9.14 | -9.31 | 48.13 | |
| HI | Hillenbrand | 0.00 | 8 per month | 0.00 | 0.32 | 0.25 | -0.19 | 0.89 | |
| ALG | Alamo Group | -18.98 | 10 per month | 3.26 | 0.05 | 3.58 | -2.89 | 22.29 | |
| XMTR | Xometry | -0.43 | 12 per month | 0.00 | -0.11 | 8.23 | -9.37 | 31.63 | |
| TRN | Trinity Industries | 0.01 | 9 per month | 1.58 | 0.08 | 2.93 | -3.15 | 14.03 | |
| HLIO | Helios Technologies | -0.43 | 25 per month | 1.85 | 0.15 | 4.29 | -3.41 | 10.15 | |
| HUBG | Hub Group | -0.32 | 12 per month | 0.00 | -0.07 | 4.23 | -5.51 | 22.67 | |
| ATKR | Atkore International Group | 1.65 | 16 per month | 0.00 | -0.07 | 2.92 | -4.57 | 8.85 | |
| REVG | Rev Group | 1.48 | 2 per month | 2.49 | 0.04 | 3.47 | -3.10 | 10.23 | |
| DXPE | DXP Enterprises | -0.43 | 18 per month | 2.33 | 0.16 | 4.42 | -3.76 | 13.86 |
Other Forecasting Options for Enerpac Tool
For every potential investor in Enerpac, whether a beginner or expert, Enerpac Tool's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better.Enerpac Tool Related Equities
The following equities are related to Enerpac Tool within the Industrials space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing Enerpac Tool against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Enerpac Tool Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Enerpac Tool stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Enerpac Tool shares will generate the highest return on.
Enerpac Tool Risk Indicators
The analysis of Enerpac Tool's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Enerpac Tool's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it.
| Mean Deviation | 1.61 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.22 | |||
| Variance | 4.92 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Enerpac Tool
A coverage review of Enerpac Tool Group helps investors see when the security is attracting above-average attention from contributors and market observers. The stronger process compares story flow with performance, theme classification, and the level of short-term market interest.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Enerpac Tool Short Properties
A short-interest review of Enerpac Tool Group helps investors understand whether skepticism in the market is becoming more influential. This is most valuable when investors want to know whether bearish pressure is starting to shape the market's reaction function.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 54.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 151.6 M |
More Resources for Enerpac Stock Analysis
Understanding Enerpac Tool Group typically begins with financial statements and long-term trend review. Enerpac Tool's financial ratios translate raw accounting data into comparable profitability and efficiency signals. Selected reports below provide context for Enerpac Stock:Cross-verify projections for Enerpac Tool using Historical Fundamental Analysis of Enerpac Tool. The historical view provides additional context. Enerpac Tool P/E of 41.2 alongside ROE at 21.75% frames the starting point - the resources below add portfolio-level context that single-security analysis cannot provide alone. The market appears to be paying up for strong returns - checking whether growth justifies that premium matters. You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.
Quarterly Earnings Growth -0.10 | Dividend Share 0.04 | Earnings Share 1.66 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth -0.01 |
Investors evaluate Enerpac Tool Group using market value and book value, each describing different facets of the business. Enerpac Tool's market capitalization is 1.9 B. With a P/B ratio of 4.39, the market values Enerpac Tool well above its book equity. Enterprise value stands at 1.94 B. The intrinsic value concept focuses on underlying worth, which can diverge from market price and book value. Valuation work aligns these measures into a single context.
It is useful to distinguish Enerpac Tool's value from its trading price, which are computed with different methods. For Enerpac Tool, key inputs include a P/E ratio of 41.2, a P/B ratio of 4.39, a profit margin of 14.64%, and ROE of 21.75%. Enerpac Tool's trading price represents the transaction level agreed by market participants.