EOG Resources Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| EOG Stock | USD 106.32 1.73 1.60% |
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of EOG Resources on the next trading day is expected to be 106.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.28 and the sum of the absolute errors of 75.62. EOG Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of EOG Resources' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 23rd of January 2026 the value of relative strength index of EOG Resources' share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.09) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 2.312 | EPS Estimate Current Year 10.1591 | EPS Estimate Next Year 9.8174 | Wall Street Target Price 133.941 |
Using EOG Resources hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of EOG Resources from the perspective of EOG Resources response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards EOG Resources using EOG Resources' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards EOG using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of EOG Resources' stock price.
EOG Resources Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in EOG Resources' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards EOG. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of EOG Resources stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 112.9815 | Short Percent 0.0269 | Short Ratio 3.87 | Shares Short Prior Month 13.9 M | 50 Day MA 106.9794 |
EOG Resources Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to EOG Resources' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in EOG. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding EOG can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around EOG Resources. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
EOG Resources Implied Volatility | 0.35 |
EOG Resources' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of EOG Resources stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if EOG Resources' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that EOG Resources stock will not fluctuate a lot when EOG Resources' options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of EOG Resources on the next trading day is expected to be 106.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.28 and the sum of the absolute errors of 75.62. EOG Resources after-hype prediction price | USD 106.3 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of EOG Resources to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current EOG contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that EOG Resources will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0219% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With EOG Resources trading at USD 106.32, that is roughly USD 0.0233 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating EOG Resources' daily price movement you should consider acquiring EOG Resources options at the current volatility level of 0.35%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 EOG Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast EOG Resources' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in EOG Resources' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for EOG Resources stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current EOG Resources' open interest, investors have to compare it to EOG Resources' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of EOG Resources is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in EOG. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
EOG Resources Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine EOG price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for EOG using various technical indicators. When you analyze EOG charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
EOG Resources Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of EOG Resources on the next trading day is expected to be 106.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.28, mean absolute percentage error of 2.87, and the sum of the absolute errors of 75.62.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict EOG Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that EOG Resources' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
EOG Resources Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest EOG Resources | EOG Resources Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
EOG Resources Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting EOG Resources' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. EOG Resources' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 104.86 and 107.78, respectively. We have considered EOG Resources' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of EOG Resources stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent EOG Resources stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.4897 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0287 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.2816 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0121 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 75.615 |
Predictive Modules for EOG Resources
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as EOG Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.EOG Resources After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of EOG Resources at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in EOG Resources or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of EOG Resources, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
EOG Resources Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting EOG Resources' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on EOG Resources' historical news coverage. EOG Resources' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 104.82 and 107.78, respectively. We have considered EOG Resources' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
EOG Resources is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of EOG Resources is based on 3 months time horizon.
EOG Resources Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as EOG Resources is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading EOG Resources backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with EOG Resources, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 1.46 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 7 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
106.32 | 106.30 | 0.02 |
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EOG Resources Hype Timeline
On the 23rd of January EOG Resources is traded for 106.32. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. EOG is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 106.3. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 146.0%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.02%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.02%. The volatility of related hype on EOG Resources is about 608.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 106.32. About 96.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.94. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. EOG Resources has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.41. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 10.07. The firm last dividend was issued on the 16th of January 2026. EOG Resources had 2:1 split on the 1st of April 2014. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of EOG Resources to cross-verify your projections.EOG Resources Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to EOG Resources' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict EOG Resources' future price movements. Getting to know how EOG Resources' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how EOG Resources may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CNQ | Canadian Natural Resources | (0.59) | 10 per month | 1.62 | 0.1 | 3.14 | (1.99) | 9.23 | |
| ET | Energy Transfer LP | 0.20 | 11 per month | 0.64 | 0.07 | 2.22 | (1.33) | 3.94 | |
| EQNR | Equinor ASA ADR | 0.15 | 9 per month | 1.50 | 0.02 | 3.28 | (3.01) | 8.31 | |
| KMI | Kinder Morgan | 0.27 | 8 per month | 1.35 | 0.03 | 2.01 | (1.73) | 6.34 | |
| E | Eni SpA ADR | (0.01) | 7 per month | 1.12 | 0.07 | 2.04 | (2.26) | 6.47 | |
| SLB | Schlumberger NV | 0.16 | 8 per month | 1.21 | 0.25 | 4.46 | (2.89) | 11.84 | |
| FANG | Diamondback Energy | 1.33 | 9 per month | 1.61 | 0.03 | 3.34 | (2.78) | 8.02 | |
| MPLX | MPLX LP | 0.09 | 9 per month | 0.82 | 0.12 | 1.73 | (1.73) | 4.74 | |
| TRP | TC Energy Corp | 0.52 | 8 per month | 0.84 | 0.02 | 2.09 | (1.48) | 5.93 | |
| EPD | Enterprise Products Partners | 0.28 | 6 per month | 0.54 | 0.09 | 1.50 | (1.34) | 3.38 |
Other Forecasting Options for EOG Resources
For every potential investor in EOG, whether a beginner or expert, EOG Resources' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. EOG Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in EOG. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying EOG Resources' price trends.EOG Resources Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with EOG Resources stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of EOG Resources could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing EOG Resources by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
EOG Resources Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how EOG Resources stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading EOG Resources shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying EOG Resources stock market strength indicators, traders can identify EOG Resources entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 106.32 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 106.32 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.87) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (1.73) |
EOG Resources Risk Indicators
The analysis of EOG Resources' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in EOG Resources' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting eog stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.13 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.36 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.44 | |||
| Variance | 2.07 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.99 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.84 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.20) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for EOG Resources
The number of cover stories for EOG Resources depends on current market conditions and EOG Resources' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that EOG Resources is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about EOG Resources' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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EOG Resources Short Properties
EOG Resources' future price predictability will typically decrease when EOG Resources' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of EOG Resources often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential EOG Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. EOG Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 569 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 7.1 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of EOG Resources to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in EOG Stock please use our How to Invest in EOG Resources guide.You can also try the Commodity Channel module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.
Is Oil & Gas Exploration & Production space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of EOG Resources. If investors know EOG will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about EOG Resources listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.09) | Dividend Share 3.945 | Earnings Share 10.07 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.02) |
The market value of EOG Resources is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of EOG that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of EOG Resources' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is EOG Resources' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because EOG Resources' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect EOG Resources' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between EOG Resources' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if EOG Resources is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, EOG Resources' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.