Smart Share Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| EM Stock | USD 1.17 0.01 0.86% |
Smart Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Smart Share's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Smart Share's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Smart Share fundamentals over time.
As of now, the relative strength indicator of Smart Share's share price is approaching 38 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Smart Share, making its price go up or down. Momentum 38
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.91) | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.7619 | Wall Street Target Price 1.0023 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.117 |
Using Smart Share hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Smart Share Global from the perspective of Smart Share response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Smart Share Global on the next trading day is expected to be 1.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.81. Smart Share after-hype prediction price | USD 1.17 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Smart Share to cross-verify your projections. Smart Share Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Smart price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Smart using various technical indicators. When you analyze Smart charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Smart Share Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 30th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Smart Share Global on the next trading day is expected to be 1.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0004, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.81.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Smart Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Smart Share's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Smart Share Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Smart Share | Smart Share Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Smart Share Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Smart Share's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Smart Share's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 2.70, respectively. We have considered Smart Share's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Smart Share stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Smart Share stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0029 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0135 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0106 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.8082 |
Predictive Modules for Smart Share
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Smart Share Global. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Smart Share After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Smart Share at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Smart Share or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Smart Share, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Smart Share Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Smart Share's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Smart Share's historical news coverage. Smart Share's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.06 and 2.69, respectively. We have considered Smart Share's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Smart Share is risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Smart Share Global is based on 3 months time horizon.
Smart Share Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Smart Share is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Smart Share backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Smart Share, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.25 | 1.54 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 6 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1.17 | 1.17 | 0.00 |
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Smart Share Hype Timeline
As of January 29, 2026 Smart Share Global is listed for 1.17. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Smart is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.25%. %. The volatility of related hype on Smart Share is about 1604.17%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.19. About 26.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.78. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Smart Share Global recorded a loss per share of 0.01. The entity last dividend was issued on the 30th of May 2024. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Smart Share to cross-verify your projections.Smart Share Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Smart Share's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Smart Share's future price movements. Getting to know how Smart Share's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Smart Share may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CALI | iShares Short Term California | (0.02) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (1.79) | 0.06 | (0.06) | 0.16 | |
| JILL | JJill Inc | (0.12) | 14 per month | 3.11 | (0.02) | 5.40 | (4.01) | 19.92 | |
| MSC | Studio City International | (0.02) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 7.67 | (7.93) | 25.28 | |
| DOGZ | Dogness International Corp | 0.04 | 27 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 4.47 | (11.83) | 85.55 | |
| FLXS | Flexsteel Industries | 0.82 | 8 per month | 1.81 | 0.02 | 5.22 | (3.18) | 9.20 | |
| HBB | Hamilton Beach Brands | 0.82 | 6 per month | 1.92 | 0.11 | 5.68 | (3.74) | 17.33 | |
| FNKO | Funko Inc | (0.04) | 10 per month | 3.04 | 0.10 | 10.69 | (5.35) | 20.38 | |
| MED | MEDIFAST INC | 0.16 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 3.54 | (4.32) | 9.79 | |
| CRMT | Americas Car Mart | (0.58) | 9 per month | 3.36 | 0.01 | 7.71 | (5.55) | 18.39 | |
| DBI | Designer Brands | (0.1) | 10 per month | 3.51 | 0.14 | 10.60 | (6.37) | 57.50 |
Other Forecasting Options for Smart Share
For every potential investor in Smart, whether a beginner or expert, Smart Share's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Smart Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Smart. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Smart Share's price trends.Smart Share Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Smart Share stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Smart Share could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Smart Share by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Smart Share Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Smart Share stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Smart Share shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Smart Share stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Smart Share Global entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 296.7 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 1.0 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1.17 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1.17 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.01 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 38.01 |
Smart Share Risk Indicators
The analysis of Smart Share's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Smart Share's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting smart stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9565 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.51 | |||
| Variance | 2.27 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Smart Share
The number of cover stories for Smart Share depends on current market conditions and Smart Share's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Smart Share is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Smart Share's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Smart Share Short Properties
Smart Share's future price predictability will typically decrease when Smart Share's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Smart Share Global often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Smart Share's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Smart Share's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 127.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.9 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Smart Share to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets.
Will Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure sector continue expanding? Could Smart diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Smart Share. Projected growth potential of Smart fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Smart Share data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.91) | Earnings Share (0.01) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.117 | Return On Assets |
Smart Share Global's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Smart's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Smart Share's intrinsic value—its true economic worth—which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since Smart Share's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Smart Share's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Smart Share should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, Smart Share's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.