Eidesvik Offshore Stock Forward View - Triple Exponential Smoothing

EIOF Stock  NOK 15.30  -0.25  -1.61%   
This reference view applies Triple Exponential Smoothing to Eidesvik Offshore ASA's historical closing prices. Eidesvik Offshore ASA's Triple Exponential Smoothing reference page summarizes the forecasted price and model accuracy metrics from daily trading data. Eidesvik Offshore ASA's forecast reference data is generated from the equity's historical trading prices. Mean absolute deviation and related metrics help quantify forecast uncertainty for Eidesvik Offshore ASA.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Eidesvik Offshore ASA on the next trading day is expected to be 15.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.17 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.39.As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Eidesvik Offshore observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Eidesvik Offshore ASA observations. All forecast values on this page for Eidesvik Offshore ASA are Triple Exponential Smoothing reference data derived from historical price series.
Triple exponential smoothing for Eidesvik Offshore - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Eidesvik Offshore prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Eidesvik Offshore price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Eidesvik Offshore ASA.

Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 25th of March

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Eidesvik Offshore ASA on the next trading day is expected to be 15.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.17 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.05 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.39 .
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Eidesvik Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Eidesvik Offshore's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Eidesvik Offshore  Eidesvik Offshore Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Forecasted Value

For the next trading day, Macroaxis evaluates Eidesvik Offshore's predictive range by looking for statistically meaningful downside and upside boundaries. Used properly, these levels provide context around forecast dispersion rather than certainty about the next closing print.
Market Value
15.30
15.46
Expected Value
17.10
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Eidesvik Offshore stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Eidesvik Offshore stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0199
MADMean absolute deviation0.1732
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0129
SAESum of the absolute errors10.3913
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Eidesvik Offshore observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Eidesvik Offshore ASA observations.

Other Forecasting Options for Eidesvik Offshore

Volume-weighted price analysis for Eidesvik Stock gives heavier weight to price levels where trading activity was highest. Crossovers in the MACD line and signal line can identify shifts in Eidesvik momentum before they appear in raw price. Comparing Eidesvik Offshore's realized volatility to implied volatility reveals whether the options market expects larger or smaller moves. Readings above 80 or below 20 highlight potential reversal zones in Eidesvik Stock price action.

Eidesvik Offshore Related Equities

These firms work in a similar space as Eidesvik Offshore within the Energy space and serve as useful points for comparison. Market cap and total value checks frame Eidesvik Offshore's size within the competitive field.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Eidesvik Offshore Market Strength Events

Evaluating the market strength of Eidesvik Offshore stock allows investors to gauge shifts in market momentum. Monitoring these indicators highlights periods where Eidesvik Offshore ASA trading conditions shift meaningfully. These metrics are particularly useful when Eidesvik Offshore stock shows divergence from broader market trends. Regularly reviewing Eidesvik Offshore ASA strength signals helps maintain a structured approach to position management.

Eidesvik Offshore Risk Indicators

Understanding Eidesvik Offshore's risk indicators is essential for any investor seeking to forecast its future price accurately. By identifying how much risk is embedded in Eidesvik Offshore's investment, investors can decide how to position their exposure. Reviewing Eidesvik Offshore's basic risk indicators is essential for managing investment risk effectively. The risk-return trade-off for eidesvik stock becomes clearer when Eidesvik Offshore's risk indicators are properly assessed.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Eidesvik Offshore

A coverage review of Eidesvik Offshore ASA shows when the security is attracting above-average attention from contributors and market observers. This is most useful when investors want to understand why a security is suddenly drawing more public discussion.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Macroaxis story coverage is designed for a broad investing audience that ranges from self-directed traders to advisers, researchers, and institutional market participants. The content is intended to support people who want a more structured path from headline information to portfolio action.

Eidesvik Offshore Short Properties

Short sentiment tied to Eidesvik Offshore ASA matters because heavier bearish pressure can change how quickly future price expectations become unstable. The stronger read compares short sentiment with trend behavior, volume, and the broader market narrative.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding107.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments303.1 M

More Resources for Eidesvik Stock Analysis

Other Information on Investing in Eidesvik Stock

At Eidesvik Offshore, financial ratios outline links between core financial data. It keeps financial comparisons aligned across time frames.