Electra Co Stock Forward View - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| ECP Stock | 7,591 -368.00 -4.62% |
Momentum
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
This section provides headline-driven context for Electra Co Pr alongside peer activity.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Electra Co Pr on the next trading day is expected to be 7,389 with a mean absolute deviation of 193.75 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11,625.Electra Co after-hype prediction price | ILA 7591.0 |
Hype metrics are shown as one component among forecasting, technical, analyst, and earnings context.
Electra |
Electra Co Additional Predictive Modules
Forecasting Electra Co's price movement relies on structured analysis of indicator behavior, momentum signatures, and historical volatility patterns. Time-series models tend to perform better when fed clean, stationary data with consistent periodicity.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 18th of March 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Electra Co Pr on the next trading day is expected to be 7,389 with a mean absolute deviation of 193.75 , mean absolute percentage error of 69,747 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 11,625 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Electra Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Electra Co's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Electra Co | Electra Co Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
For the next trading day, Macroaxis evaluates Electra Co's predictive range by looking for statistically meaningful downside and upside boundaries. At the moment, the model places downside around 7,387 and upside around 7,392 for the forecasting period.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Electra Co stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Electra Co stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 32.4193 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 193.751 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0195 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 11625.0621 |
The mean reversion framework for Electra Co is built on the premise that markets are not perfectly efficient and that prices periodically overshoot their intrinsic value in both directions.
After-Hype Price Density Analysis
Visualizing the full distribution of potential Electra Co outcomes discourages binary thinking about investments. Rather than asking whether Electra Co's price will go up or down, the distribution approach asks: what is the range of outcomes and how probable is each?
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
The news-based price prediction model for Electra Co is transparent: it measures how Electra Co's has historically reacted to news, not how it will theoretically behave. Electra Co's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 7,588 and 7,594, respectively. Investors should use this model as one input among many when evaluating Electra Co ahead of anticipated news.
Current Value
The next after-hype price estimate for Electra Co Pr is modeled on a 3 months horizon and is intended to show how price could normalize after sentiment pressure fades. Used correctly, the estimate adds context around potential normalization rather than promising a specific realized outcome.
Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Electra Co is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Electra Co backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Electra Co, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.69 | 2.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events | 0 Events | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
7,591 | 7,591 | 0.00 |
|
Hype Timeline
Electra Co Pr is currently traded for 7,591on Tel Aviv Stock Exchange of Israel. The company stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Electra is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.69%. %. The volatility of related hype on Electra Co is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 7,591. About 49.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Electra Co was currently reported as 30.6. Assuming the 90-day trading horizon the next projected press release will be in a few days. Historical Fundamental Analysis of Electra Co provides a cross-check on projections for Electra Co. The analysis adds historical context for the projection set.Related Hype Analysis
The peer hype analysis for Electra Co identifies which competitors tend to lead the sector in their news reactions. These leading indicators provide early signals about the direction of Electra Co's upcoming performance.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GILT | Gilat Satellite Networks | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.10 | 0.14 | 5.92 | -4.09 | 25.10 | |
| PRTC | Priortech | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.69 | 0.1 | 5.18 | -4.46 | 13.62 | |
| QLTU | Qualitau | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.28 | 0.17 | 4.13 | -4.01 | 11.72 | |
| TDRN | Tadiran Hldg | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.81 | 0.19 | 8.59 | -3.61 | 16.97 | |
| TLSY | Telsys | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | -0.01 | 3.31 | -3.15 | 7.26 | |
| MLTM | Malam Team | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | -0.10 | 6.65 | -5.93 | 24.16 | |
| CMDR | Computer Direct | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | -0.1 | 5.10 | -8.12 | 19.38 | |
| MGIC | Magic Software Enterprises | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | -0.12 | 3.61 | -4.49 | 24.82 | |
| AFHL | Afcon Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.96 | 0.16 | 5.02 | -3.56 | 12.97 | |
| ARD | Arad | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | -0.08 | 1.57 | -2.48 | 8.01 |
Other Forecasting Options for Electra Co
Price movement is the most fundamental factor that determines whether Electra is a viable investment for any investor. Electra Stock price charts are often noisy, making it difficult to identify meaningful patterns without analytical tools.Electra Co Related Equities
The following equities are related to Electra Co within the Consumer Discretionary space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing Electra Co against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Electra Co Market Strength Events
Assessing the market strength of Electra Co stock provides investors with a clearer picture of how the security reacts to evolving market dynamics. These indicators can be used to identify periods when trading Electra Co Pr is most likely to be profitable.
| Accumulation Distribution | 2038.1 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | -0.98 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.95 | |||
| Day Median Price | 7778.0 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 7715.67 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 0.0086 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | -371.00 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | -368.00 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 28.81 |
Electra Co Risk Indicators
The analysis of Electra Co's basic risk metrics provides a foundation for forecasting its future price and managing investment risk. Identifying the magnitude of risk in Electra Co's helps investors choose between accepting or hedging their exposure.
| Mean Deviation | 1.94 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.6 | |||
| Variance | 6.73 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Electra Co
The amount of media and story coverage tied to Electra Co Pr can signal where market attention is concentrating at the moment. The practical risk is that faster visibility can increase both interest and skepticism at the same time.
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Other Information on Investing in Electra Stock
Financial ratios for Electra Co provide valuation context across profits, cash flow, and enterprise value. They help compare Electra across valuation measures in a consistent way.