Ellsworth Convertible Stock Forward View
| ECF Stock | USD 11.96 0.26 2.13% |
Ellsworth Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Ellsworth Convertible's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 5th of February 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Ellsworth Convertible's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.52) | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.06) |
Using Ellsworth Convertible hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ellsworth Convertible Growth from the perspective of Ellsworth Convertible response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Ellsworth Convertible Growth on the next trading day is expected to be 11.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.06. Ellsworth Convertible after-hype prediction price | USD 12.2 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Ellsworth | Build AI portfolio with Ellsworth Stock |
Ellsworth Convertible Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Ellsworth price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ellsworth using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ellsworth charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Ellsworth Convertible Cash Forecast
Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Ellsworth Convertible's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
Cash | First Reported 1987-09-30 | Previous Quarter 4.4 K | Current Value 883.9 K | Quarterly Volatility 1.8 M |
Ellsworth Convertible Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 6th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Ellsworth Convertible Growth on the next trading day is expected to be 11.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.06.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Ellsworth Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Ellsworth Convertible's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Ellsworth Convertible Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Ellsworth Convertible | Ellsworth Convertible Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Ellsworth Convertible Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Ellsworth Convertible's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Ellsworth Convertible's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 10.55 and 12.70, respectively. We have considered Ellsworth Convertible's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Ellsworth Convertible stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Ellsworth Convertible stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.293 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1157 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0098 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 7.0598 |
Predictive Modules for Ellsworth Convertible
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ellsworth Convertible. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ellsworth Convertible's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Ellsworth Convertible After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Ellsworth Convertible at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Ellsworth Convertible or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Ellsworth Convertible, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Ellsworth Convertible Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Ellsworth Convertible's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Ellsworth Convertible's historical news coverage. Ellsworth Convertible's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.12 and 13.28, respectively. We have considered Ellsworth Convertible's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Ellsworth Convertible is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Ellsworth Convertible is based on 3 months time horizon.
Ellsworth Convertible Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Ellsworth Convertible is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ellsworth Convertible backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Ellsworth Convertible, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.08 | 1.08 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 4 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
11.96 | 12.20 | 0.16 |
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Ellsworth Convertible Hype Timeline
On the 5th of February Ellsworth Convertible is traded for 11.96. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Ellsworth is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 12.2. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.16%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.08%. The volatility of related hype on Ellsworth Convertible is about 2700.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 11.96. About 50.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.94. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Ellsworth Convertible last dividend was issued on the 24th of November 2025. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ellsworth Convertible to cross-verify your projections.Ellsworth Convertible Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Ellsworth Convertible's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Ellsworth Convertible's future price movements. Getting to know how Ellsworth Convertible's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Ellsworth Convertible may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NRO | Neuberger Berman Re | (0.02) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 1.34 | (1.29) | 2.69 | |
| BCV | Bancroft Fund Limited | 0.30 | 7 per month | 1.18 | (0.04) | 2.16 | (2.11) | 6.32 | |
| PIM | Putnam Master Intermediate | (0.01) | 3 per month | 0.65 | (0.06) | 1.54 | (1.19) | 4.32 | |
| PFD | Flaherty Crumrine Preferredome | 0.02 | 8 per month | 0.54 | (0.03) | 1.11 | (0.86) | 2.88 | |
| PNI | Pimco New York | 0.10 | 3 per month | 0.26 | (0.09) | 0.72 | (0.58) | 1.73 | |
| EHI | Western Asset Global | (0.01) | 1 per month | 0.33 | 0.02 | 1.14 | (0.79) | 3.36 | |
| ALSRX | Alger Smallcap Growth | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.48 | (0.04) | 2.13 | (2.35) | 5.75 | |
| FLC | Flaherty Crumrine Total | 0.02 | 6 per month | 0.32 | (0.04) | 0.63 | (0.69) | 1.62 | |
| GGT | Gabelli MultiMedia Mutual | 0.00 | 5 per month | 0.83 | 0.08 | 1.71 | (1.94) | 5.19 | |
| NCBVX | Prudential Qma Mid Cap | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.51 | 0.09 | 1.57 | (1.26) | 3.36 |
Other Forecasting Options for Ellsworth Convertible
For every potential investor in Ellsworth, whether a beginner or expert, Ellsworth Convertible's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Ellsworth Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Ellsworth. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Ellsworth Convertible's price trends.Ellsworth Convertible Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Ellsworth Convertible stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Ellsworth Convertible could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ellsworth Convertible by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Ellsworth Convertible Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Ellsworth Convertible stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Ellsworth Convertible shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Ellsworth Convertible stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Ellsworth Convertible Growth entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 11.96 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 11.96 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.13) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.26) |
Ellsworth Convertible Risk Indicators
The analysis of Ellsworth Convertible's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Ellsworth Convertible's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ellsworth stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.8709 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.12 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.09 | |||
| Variance | 1.18 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.44 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.25 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.90) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Ellsworth Convertible
The number of cover stories for Ellsworth Convertible depends on current market conditions and Ellsworth Convertible's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Ellsworth Convertible is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Ellsworth Convertible's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Ellsworth Convertible Short Properties
Ellsworth Convertible's future price predictability will typically decrease when Ellsworth Convertible's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Ellsworth Convertible Growth often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Ellsworth Convertible's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ellsworth Convertible's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 13.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 883.9 K |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ellsworth Convertible to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Equity Search module to search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets.
Can Asset Management & Custody Banks industry sustain growth momentum? Does Ellsworth have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ellsworth Convertible. Projected growth potential of Ellsworth fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating Ellsworth Convertible demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.52) | Dividend Share 0.53 | Earnings Share 1.88 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.06) |
Understanding Ellsworth Convertible requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Ellsworth's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Ellsworth Convertible's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Ellsworth Convertible's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Ellsworth Convertible's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Ellsworth Convertible should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Ellsworth Convertible's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.