DXC Technology Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| DXC Stock | USD 15.00 0.24 1.57% |
DXC Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast DXC Technology stock prices and determine the direction of DXC Technology Co's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of DXC Technology's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, The relative strength index (RSI) of DXC Technology's share price is at 53 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling DXC Technology, making its price go up or down. Momentum 53
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.13) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.8664 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.1305 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.1427 | Wall Street Target Price 14.625 |
Using DXC Technology hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of DXC Technology Co from the perspective of DXC Technology response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards DXC Technology using DXC Technology's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards DXC using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of DXC Technology's stock price.
DXC Technology Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in DXC Technology's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards DXC. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of DXC Technology stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 14.4229 | Short Percent 0.0872 | Short Ratio 5.07 | Shares Short Prior Month 10.7 M | 50 Day MA 14.3022 |
DXC Relative Strength Index
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of DXC Technology Co on the next trading day is expected to be 15.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.27 and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.96.DXC Technology Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to DXC Technology's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in DXC. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding DXC can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around DXC Technology Co. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of DXC Technology's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about DXC Technology.
DXC Technology Implied Volatility | 0.64 |
DXC Technology's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of DXC Technology Co stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if DXC Technology's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that DXC Technology stock will not fluctuate a lot when DXC Technology's options are near their expiration.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of DXC Technology Co on the next trading day is expected to be 15.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.27 and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.96. DXC Technology after-hype prediction price | USD 14.97 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of DXC Technology to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current DXC contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that DXC Technology Co will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.04% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With DXC Technology trading at USD 15.0, that is roughly USD 0.006 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating DXC Technology's daily price movement you should consider acquiring DXC Technology Co options at the current volatility level of 0.64%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 DXC Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast DXC Technology's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in DXC Technology's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for DXC Technology stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current DXC Technology's open interest, investors have to compare it to DXC Technology's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of DXC Technology is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in DXC. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
DXC Technology Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine DXC price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for DXC using various technical indicators. When you analyze DXC charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
DXC Technology Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of DXC Technology Co on the next trading day is expected to be 15.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.27, mean absolute percentage error of 0.13, and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.96.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict DXC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that DXC Technology's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
DXC Technology Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest DXC Technology | DXC Technology Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
DXC Technology Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting DXC Technology's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. DXC Technology's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 12.54 and 17.48, respectively. We have considered DXC Technology's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of DXC Technology stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent DXC Technology stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0469 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2705 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0192 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 15.9616 |
Predictive Modules for DXC Technology
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as DXC Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of DXC Technology's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
DXC Technology After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of DXC Technology at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in DXC Technology or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of DXC Technology, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
DXC Technology Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting DXC Technology's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on DXC Technology's historical news coverage. DXC Technology's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 12.48 and 17.46, respectively. We have considered DXC Technology's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
DXC Technology is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of DXC Technology is based on 3 months time horizon.
DXC Technology Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as DXC Technology is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading DXC Technology backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with DXC Technology, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.22 | 2.47 | 0.03 | 0.08 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
15.00 | 14.97 | 0.20 |
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DXC Technology Hype Timeline
On the 26th of January DXC Technology is traded for 15.00. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.08. DXC is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 14.97. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.2%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.22%. The volatility of related hype on DXC Technology is about 650.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 15.08. About 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.85. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. DXC Technology has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.28. The entity last dividend was issued on the 24th of March 2020. The firm had 1156:1000 split on the 1st of June 2018. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of DXC Technology to cross-verify your projections.DXC Technology Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to DXC Technology's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict DXC Technology's future price movements. Getting to know how DXC Technology's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how DXC Technology may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CLVT | CLARIVATE PLC | (0.13) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 4.12 | (5.95) | 13.67 | |
| INOD | Innodata | (0.14) | 13 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 7.34 | (7.73) | 25.81 | |
| AI | C3 Ai Inc | (0.36) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 4.45 | (4.92) | 11.16 | |
| FORTY | Formula Systems 1985 | 2.72 | 4 per month | 4.72 | 0.09 | 7.00 | (7.91) | 23.60 | |
| VNET | VNET Group DRC | (0.02) | 8 per month | 3.82 | 0.05 | 7.68 | (8.09) | 21.08 | |
| ASGN | ASGN Inc | 0.34 | 11 per month | 2.08 | 0.04 | 4.36 | (3.13) | 11.39 | |
| GLOB | Globant SA | 4.00 | 9 per month | 2.32 | 0.08 | 5.74 | (3.42) | 14.86 | |
| CNXC | Concentrix | (3.35) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 4.06 | (5.11) | 14.93 | |
| PAGS | PagSeguro Digital | 0.03 | 8 per month | 2.53 | 0.09 | 4.76 | (4.93) | 11.71 | |
| VICR | Vicor | 0.71 | 9 per month | 2.24 | 0.29 | 8.42 | (5.35) | 36.51 |
Other Forecasting Options for DXC Technology
For every potential investor in DXC, whether a beginner or expert, DXC Technology's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. DXC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in DXC. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying DXC Technology's price trends.DXC Technology Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with DXC Technology stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of DXC Technology could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing DXC Technology by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
DXC Technology Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how DXC Technology stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading DXC Technology shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying DXC Technology stock market strength indicators, traders can identify DXC Technology Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
DXC Technology Risk Indicators
The analysis of DXC Technology's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in DXC Technology's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting dxc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.8 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.19 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.42 | |||
| Variance | 5.83 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5.81 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.78 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.94) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for DXC Technology
The number of cover stories for DXC Technology depends on current market conditions and DXC Technology's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that DXC Technology is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about DXC Technology's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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DXC Technology Short Properties
DXC Technology's future price predictability will typically decrease when DXC Technology's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of DXC Technology Co often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential DXC Technology's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. DXC Technology's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 184.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.8 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of DXC Technology to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.
Is IT Consulting & Other Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of DXC Technology. If investors know DXC will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about DXC Technology listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.13) | Earnings Share 2.02 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.03) | Return On Assets |
The market value of DXC Technology is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of DXC that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of DXC Technology's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is DXC Technology's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because DXC Technology's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect DXC Technology's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between DXC Technology's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if DXC Technology is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, DXC Technology's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.