DSM Firmenich Stock Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing
| DSFIR Stock | 62.82 0.42 0.66% |
DSM Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast DSM Firmenich stock prices and determine the direction of DSM Firmenich AG's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of DSM Firmenich's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of DSM Firmenich's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 11.212 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.7889 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.8136 | Wall Street Target Price 102 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.034 |
Using DSM Firmenich hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of DSM Firmenich AG from the perspective of DSM Firmenich response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of DSM Firmenich AG on the next trading day is expected to be 62.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.84 and the sum of the absolute errors of 49.53. DSM Firmenich after-hype prediction price | EUR 62.88 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
DSM |
DSM Firmenich Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine DSM price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for DSM using various technical indicators. When you analyze DSM charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
DSM Firmenich Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 17th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of DSM Firmenich AG on the next trading day is expected to be 62.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.84, mean absolute percentage error of 1.67, and the sum of the absolute errors of 49.53.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict DSM Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that DSM Firmenich's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
DSM Firmenich Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest DSM Firmenich | DSM Firmenich Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
DSM Firmenich Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting DSM Firmenich's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. DSM Firmenich's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 60.98 and 64.74, respectively. We have considered DSM Firmenich's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of DSM Firmenich stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent DSM Firmenich stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.1172 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.8396 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0125 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 49.5347 |
Predictive Modules for DSM Firmenich
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as DSM Firmenich AG. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.DSM Firmenich After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of DSM Firmenich at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in DSM Firmenich or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of DSM Firmenich, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
DSM Firmenich Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting DSM Firmenich's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on DSM Firmenich's historical news coverage. DSM Firmenich's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 61.00 and 64.76, respectively. We have considered DSM Firmenich's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
DSM Firmenich is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of DSM Firmenich AG is based on 3 months time horizon.
DSM Firmenich Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as DSM Firmenich is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading DSM Firmenich backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with DSM Firmenich, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.16 | 1.88 | 0.06 | 0.01 | 6 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
62.82 | 62.88 | 0.10 |
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DSM Firmenich Hype Timeline
DSM Firmenich AG is currently traded for 62.82on Euronext Amsterdam of Netherlands. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. DSM is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 62.88 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.1%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.16%. The volatility of related hype on DSM Firmenich is about 2063.41%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 62.83. The company reported the revenue of 12.8 B. Net Income was 250 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.56 B. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of DSM Firmenich to cross-verify your projections.DSM Firmenich Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to DSM Firmenich's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict DSM Firmenich's future price movements. Getting to know how DSM Firmenich's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how DSM Firmenich may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HEIO | Heineken Holding NV | (1.15) | 3 per month | 0.92 | 0.10 | 2.31 | (1.69) | 5.93 | |
| JDEP | Jde Peets Nv | (0.04) | 1 per month | 0.09 | (0.30) | 0.26 | (0.19) | 1.45 | |
| PORF | BV Delftsch Aardewerkfabriek | (0.50) | 1 per month | 1.80 | 0.06 | 7.02 | (4.17) | 15.25 | |
| AD | Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize | 0.23 | 3 per month | 0.72 | 0.05 | 1.64 | (1.58) | 9.54 | |
| CCEP | Coca Cola Europacific Partners | 0.30 | 9 per month | 1.14 | 0.02 | 2.07 | (2.14) | 5.17 | |
| FFARM | ForFarmers NV | 0.05 | 5 per month | 0.84 | 0.21 | 3.04 | (1.53) | 7.11 | |
| ACOMO | Amsterdam Commodities NV | 0.25 | 1 per month | 0.66 | 0.07 | 2.14 | (1.46) | 5.10 | |
| HEIA | Heineken | 1.68 | 6 per month | 1.20 | 0.06 | 2.49 | (1.85) | 6.63 | |
| SLIGR | Sligro Food Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.21 | 0.31 | 4.01 | (1.83) | 9.94 |
Other Forecasting Options for DSM Firmenich
For every potential investor in DSM, whether a beginner or expert, DSM Firmenich's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. DSM Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in DSM. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying DSM Firmenich's price trends.DSM Firmenich Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with DSM Firmenich stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of DSM Firmenich could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing DSM Firmenich by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
DSM Firmenich Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how DSM Firmenich stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading DSM Firmenich shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying DSM Firmenich stock market strength indicators, traders can identify DSM Firmenich AG entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
DSM Firmenich Risk Indicators
The analysis of DSM Firmenich's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in DSM Firmenich's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting dsm stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.22 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.86 | |||
| Variance | 3.46 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for DSM Firmenich
The number of cover stories for DSM Firmenich depends on current market conditions and DSM Firmenich's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that DSM Firmenich is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about DSM Firmenich's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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DSM Firmenich Short Properties
DSM Firmenich's future price predictability will typically decrease when DSM Firmenich's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of DSM Firmenich AG often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential DSM Firmenich's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. DSM Firmenich's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 264.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.7 B |
Other Information on Investing in DSM Stock
DSM Firmenich financial ratios help investors to determine whether DSM Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in DSM with respect to the benefits of owning DSM Firmenich security.