Dorma Kaba Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| DOKA Stock | CHF 51.00 1.05 2.10% |
This page provides Simple Moving Average reference data for Dorma Kaba Holding, calculated from historical daily prices. The model output shown here is derived from Dorma Kaba's historical price series and is provided for informational purposes. Projected values and accuracy measures are included for reference.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Dorma Kaba Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 51.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 60.75.The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Dorma Kaba Holding price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Dorma Kaba. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future The Simple Moving Average reference information for Dorma Kaba is based on available price data and is intended for informational purposes. Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 28th of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Dorma Kaba Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 51.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.01 , mean absolute percentage error of 1.53 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 60.75 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Dorma Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Dorma Kaba's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Dorma Kaba | Dorma Kaba Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
This next-day forecast for Dorma Kaba Holding uses model performance to estimate practical downside and upside boundaries rather than a single point target alone. At the moment, the model places downside around 49.16 and upside around 52.84 for the forecasting period.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Dorma Kaba stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Dorma Kaba stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.6982 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.3325 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.0125 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0177 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 60.75 |
Other Forecasting Options for Dorma Kaba
The autocorrelation structure of Dorma Kaba's daily returns reveals whether Dorma exhibits momentum, mean-reversion, or random-walk behavior. Separating these elements helps distinguish persistent directional moves from temporary noise in Dorma Stock price data. Stochastic oscillator analysis compares Dorma Kaba's closing price to its range over a given period.Dorma Kaba Related Equities
The stocks listed below are peers of Dorma Kaba within the Information Technology space and offer context for ranking and strength. Checking cash flow across this peer set helps gauge Dorma Kaba's relative financial strength. Sector-wide trends across this peer group can help split company-level factors from broader forces.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Dorma Kaba Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators applied to Dorma Kaba stock help assess momentum and resilience across environments. These indicators support informed market timing decisions when analyzing Dorma Kaba. For Dorma Kaba Holding, market strength indicators complement fundamental analysis with timing context.
Dorma Kaba Risk Indicators
Risk indicator analysis for Dorma Kaba is essential for accurately projecting its future price trajectory. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Dorma Kaba's investment and either accepting or mitigating it. Understanding the risk profile of Dorma Kaba's allows investors to make more informed decisions about position sizing.
| Mean Deviation | 1.38 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.78 | |||
| Variance | 3.16 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Dorma Kaba
Coverage intensity for Dorma Kaba Holding matters because narrative visibility can influence sentiment, participation, and volatility around the name. A disciplined read of coverage separates durable relevance from temporary noise.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Macroaxis story coverage is designed for a broad investing audience that ranges from self-directed traders to advisers, researchers, and institutional market participants. The content is intended to support people who want a more structured path from headline information to portfolio action.
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Dorma Kaba Short Properties
A short-interest review of Dorma Kaba Holding provides context for understanding whether skepticism in the market is becoming more influential. The practical goal is to identify when the balance between long and short participation may be changing the quality of the setup.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 41.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 445.1 M |
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