DocuSign Stock Forward View - Polynomial Regression
| DOCU Stock | USD 47.05 0.57 1.23% |
Momentum
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.333 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.7831 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.1157 | Wall Street Target Price 78.2756 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.9157 |
This section relates DocuSign headline activity to recent price behavior and peer context. Options positioning and short interest are used here to outline sentiment for DocuSign.
DocuSign Short Interest Summary
DocuSign's short interest measures the total number of shares sold short but not yet covered. Rising short interest can signal growing bearish sentiment among institutional and retail investors.
200 Day MA 68.9557 | Short Percent 0.0972 | Short Ratio 2.56 | Shares Short Prior Month 14.1 M | 50 Day MA 52.8857 |
DocuSign RSI Snapshot
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of DocuSign on the next trading day is expected to be 53.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.70 and the sum of the absolute errors of 105.31.DocuSign Hype vs Price Pattern
Public perception of DocuSign - captured through news and social media signals - can drive DocuSign's stock price away from intrinsic value for extended periods. Analyzing these biases provides an edge for contrarian investors.
When DocuSign's market sentiment is overly bullish relative to its actual financial performance, the stock may be overvalued. Excessively negative sentiment can create buying opportunities for patient investors.
DocuSign Implied Volatility | 0.82 |
High implied volatility in DocuSign's options signals that the market anticipates large price swings in DocuSign stock. Conversely, low implied volatility indicates that investors expect relatively stable price action.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of DocuSign on the next trading day is expected to be 53.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.70 and the sum of the absolute errors of 105.31.DocuSign after-hype prediction price | $ 50.47 |
Hype signals are presented as complementary context to forecasting, technicals, analyst estimates, earnings, and momentum.
Use Historical Fundamental Analysis of DocuSign to cross-verify projections for DocuSign. The historical view provides additional context.Rule 16 for the current DocuSign contract - Pricing Context
Using the Rule 16 heuristic, the current implied volatility suggests an average daily move of about 0.0513% for the 2026-06-18 options. This estimate is a volatility reference; at $ 47.05, it implies a move of about $ 0.0241 per day.
DocuSign Options Open Interest - 2026-06-18
Open interest on DocuSign summarizes how many option contracts remain open and helps frame liquidity and positioning.
DocuSign Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine DocuSign price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for DocuSign using various technical indicators. When you analyze DocuSign charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 15th of March 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of DocuSign on the next trading day is expected to be 53.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.70 , mean absolute percentage error of 4.79 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 105.31 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict DocuSign Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that DocuSign's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest DocuSign | DocuSign Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
This next-day forecast for DocuSign uses model performance to estimate practical downside and upside boundaries rather than a single point target alone. Investors should still remember that no empirical framework consistently proves that one family of forecasting models will outperform all other approaches in live markets.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of DocuSign stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent DocuSign stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 121.5157 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.6985 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0318 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 105.3066 |
The concept of mean reversion suggests that DocuSign's price will eventually return toward its long-run average. High prices may deter value investors, while unusually low prices often attract buyers who anticipate a recovery.
After-Hype Price Density Analysis
The price distribution graph for DocuSign visualizes the statistical uncertainty around our prediction model's output. Investors should interpret the full distribution of DocuSign's outcomes, not just the central tendency, when making decisions.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
The downside and upside margins for DocuSign after major news events are estimated from historical precedent. DocuSign's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 42.35 and 53.48, respectively. This approach captures the empirical distribution of DocuSign's short-term price reactions without assuming any particular model of future behavior.
Current Value
The after-hype framework applied to DocuSign assumes a 3 months review window and focuses on post-sentiment normalization rather than raw momentum. This view is most useful when investors want to compare sentiment-driven price extension with a more measured post-news scenario.
Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as DocuSign is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading DocuSign backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with DocuSign, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.56 | 3.01 | 3.42 | 0.37 | 3 Events | 7 Events | In 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
47.05 | 50.47 | 7.27 |
|
Hype Timeline
DocuSign is currently traded for 47.05. The company has historical hype elasticity of 3.42, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.37. DocuSign is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 50.47 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 49.34%. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 7.27%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.56%. The volatility of related hype on DocuSign is about 461.66%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 47.42. The company has Profit Margin (PM) of 10.0 %, which may suggest that it has competitive advantages supporting its margins. This is in the upper range for the industry. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 10.0 %, which means that it is generating $10.0 of operating income per $100 of sales. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in 3 days. Use Historical Fundamental Analysis of DocuSign to cross-verify projections for DocuSign. The historical view provides additional context.Related Hype Analysis
The relationship between DocuSign and its sector peers means that news affecting one company often reverberates across DocuSign's competitive landscape. Tracking peer hype helps investors anticipate DocuSign's likely short-term price behavior.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BSY | Bentley Systems | 0.45 | 8 per month | 0.00 | -0.04 | 3.63 | -3.66 | 17.00 | |
| DT | Dynatrace Holdings LLC | -1.70 | 37 per month | 0.00 | -0.07 | 3.44 | -3.61 | 13.36 | |
| U | Unity Software | 6.10 | 3 per month | 0.00 | -0.20 | 6.77 | -8.22 | 35.96 | |
| FFIV | F5 Networks | 2.46 | 12 per month | 1.91 | 0.13 | 3.94 | -3.18 | 15.39 | |
| GTM | ZoomInfo Technologies | -0.02 | 11 per month | 0.00 | -0.21 | 4.40 | -6.51 | 17.95 | |
| MANH | Manhattan Associates | -4.18 | 10 per month | 0.00 | -0.09 | 3.35 | -4.64 | 14.73 | |
| KSPI | Joint Stock | -0.71 | 8 per month | 0.00 | -0.03 | 3.48 | -2.80 | 14.72 | |
| OKTA | Okta Inc | 0.18 | 17 per month | 0.00 | -0.02 | 4.32 | -5.57 | 14.77 | |
| DUOL | Duolingo | 1.81 | 9 per month | 0.00 | -0.28 | 4.69 | -8.45 | 19.20 | |
| PEGA | Pegasystems | 2.13 | 10 per month | 0.00 | -0.12 | 5.03 | -7.45 | 16.88 |
Other Forecasting Options for DocuSign
Whether a novice or experienced investor, anyone considering DocuSign needs to understand the dynamics of DocuSign's price movement. Price charts for DocuSign Stock contain a significant amount of noise that can distort investment decisions.DocuSign Related Equities
The following equities are related to DocuSign within the Information Technology space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing DocuSign against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
DocuSign Market Strength Events
Analyzing market strength indicators for DocuSign enables investors to understand how the stock performs relative to overall market momentum. These indicators are valuable tools for identifying when to enter or exit positions in DocuSign.
| Accumulation Distribution | 118278.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.3476 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 46.52 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 46.7 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.81 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.57 |
DocuSign Risk Indicators
Identifying and analyzing DocuSign's key risk indicators is a foundational step in projecting how its price may evolve. This process helps investors quantify the risk associated with DocuSign's and decide how to manage it.
| Mean Deviation | 2.21 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.03 | |||
| Variance | 9.19 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for DocuSign
Coverage intensity for DocuSign matters because narrative visibility can influence sentiment, participation, and volatility around the name. The stronger process compares story flow with performance, theme classification, and the level of short-term market interest.
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DocuSign Short Properties
Short sentiment tied to DocuSign matters because heavier bearish pressure can change how quickly future price expectations become unstable. Used correctly, these measures can help investors decide when hedging or timing discipline may matter more than conviction alone.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 210.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 963.5 M |
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