Krispy Kreme Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| DNUT Stock | USD 3.46 0.04 1.17% |
When consensus views on Krispy Kreme shift rapidly due to news or events, the market often over- or under-corrects. This module attempts to capture that dynamic and convert it into a structured near-term price forecast.
As measured in the latest period, Krispy Kreme posts the RSI oscillator reading of 47, reflecting mild downside bias. This range suggests moderated price movement without extreme directional pressure.Momentum 47
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter -0.03 | EPS Estimate Current Year -0.08 | EPS Estimate Next Year -0.08 | Wall Street Target Price 4.1667 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.0366 |
The summary pairs Krispy Kreme's headline activity with price response context. Options positioning and short interest are summarized to frame sentiment for Krispy Kreme.
Short Interest Coverage - Krispy Kreme
Changes in Krispy Kreme's short interest between reporting periods can be as informative as the absolute level. A rapid increase warrants caution; a rapid decrease may signal an emerging change in sentiment toward Krispy Kreme.
200 Day MA 3.5296 | Short Percent 0.2314 | Short Ratio 9.93 | Shares Short Prior Month 21.9 M | 50 Day MA 3.5324 |
Relative Strength Index: Krispy
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Krispy Kreme on the next trading day is expected to be 3.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.86.News Attention and Price Pattern for Krispy Kreme
Public headlines and social commentary around Krispy Kreme influence how investors perceive risk and opportunity. Quantifying Krispy Kreme's sentiment makes these subjective biases actionable within a systematic trading framework.
Investor sentiment toward Krispy Kreme acts as a feedback loop: positive news drives price up, which generates more positive sentiment, attracting more buyers. Understanding where this cycle stands helps investors avoid chasing stocks near peaks.
Krispy Kreme Implied Volatility | 2.19 |
The term structure of Krispy Kreme's implied volatility - how it varies across option expiration dates - reveals whether the options market views near-term or longer-term risks as more significant for Krispy Kreme.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Krispy Kreme on the next trading day is expected to be 3.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.86.Krispy Kreme after-hype prediction price | USD 3.51 |
Sentiment indicators are framed alongside forecasting, technical analysis, analyst estimates, and momentum.
Historical Fundamental Analysis of Krispy Kreme provides a cross-check on projections for Krispy Kreme. The historical view provides additional context.Rule 16 Summary for current Krispy contract - Pricing Context
Rule 16 converts implied volatility into an estimated daily move of about 0.14% for 2026-03-20 options. This estimate is a volatility reference; at USD 3.46, it implies a move of about USD 0.004736 per day.
Open Interest Summary - Krispy 2026-03-20 Options
Open interest summarizes open contracts on Krispy Kreme and offers neutral context on positioning.
Krispy Kreme Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Krispy price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Krispy using various technical indicators. When you analyze Krispy charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Krispy Kreme Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 11th of March 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Krispy Kreme on the next trading day is expected to be 3.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.03 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.86 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Krispy Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Krispy Kreme's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Krispy Kreme Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Krispy Kreme | Krispy Kreme Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Krispy Kreme Forecasted Value
This next-day forecast for Krispy Kreme uses model performance to estimate practical downside and upside boundaries rather than a single point target alone. Investors should still remember that no empirical framework consistently proves that one family of forecasting models will outperform all other approaches in live markets.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Krispy Kreme stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Krispy Kreme stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 111.0214 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0273 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1163 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0312 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 6.86 |
Mean reversion in Krispy Kreme's is distinct from trend following. Where trend followers ride price momentum, mean reversion investors bet that extended moves will reverse once the underlying driver runs out of fuel.
Krispy Kreme After-Hype Price Density Analysis
Probability distribution analysis for Krispy Kreme provides an objective framework for evaluating risk/reward tradeoffs. By comparing the width of Krispy Kreme's upside distribution against the downside, investors can make more calibrated position sizing decisions.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Krispy Kreme Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
The empirical analysis of Krispy Kreme's news impact provides an evidence-based estimate of potential price movement around upcoming announcements. Krispy Kreme's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.18 and 8.14, respectively. This estimate is conditional on the type and significance of the news event and should be interpreted in that context for Krispy Kreme.
Current Value
The after-hype framework applied to Krispy Kreme assumes a 3 months review window and focuses on post-sentiment normalization rather than raw momentum. This view is most useful when investors want to compare sentiment-driven price extension with a more measured post-news scenario.
Krispy Kreme Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Krispy Kreme is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Krispy Kreme backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Krispy Kreme, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.39 | 4.66 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 9 Events | 8 Events | In 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
3.46 | 3.51 | 0.00 |
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Krispy Kreme Hype Timeline
Krispy Kreme is currently traded for 3.46. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.02. Krispy is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.39%. %. The volatility of related hype on Krispy Kreme is about 7639.34%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.44. About 54.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.9. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Krispy Kreme recorded a loss per share of 3.02. The entity last dividend was issued on the 23rd of April 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in 9 days. Historical Fundamental Analysis of Krispy Kreme provides a cross-check on projections for Krispy Kreme. The historical view provides additional context.Krispy Kreme Related Hype Analysis
By analyzing how Krispy Kreme's sector peers have historically reacted to different types of news, investors can build a mental model of the sentiment dynamics that typically precede changes in Krispy Kreme's own price.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| VLGEA | Village Super Market | 0.50 | 9 per month | 1.40 | 0.13 | 3.55 | -2.47 | 7.71 | |
| HELE | Helen of Troy | -0.47 | 9 per month | 0.00 | -0.07 | 5.85 | -4.37 | 13.83 | |
| DDL | Dingdong Limited ADR | -0.03 | 8 per month | 3.66 | 0.15 | 8.19 | -6.94 | 38.06 | |
| NUS | Nu Skin Enterprises | -0.31 | 7 per month | 0.00 | -0.11 | 3.60 | -5.64 | 24.07 | |
| KLC | KinderCare Learning Companies | 0.1 | 5 per month | 0.00 | -0.03 | 5.25 | -6.18 | 18.05 | |
| STKL | SunOpta | 0.01 | 8 per month | 0.94 | 0.20 | 4.95 | -2.70 | 32.97 | |
| MGPI | MGP Ingredients | 0.37 | 7 per month | 0.00 | -0.09 | 3.56 | -3.94 | 29.23 | |
| LINC | Lincoln Educational Services | 1.17 | 7 per month | 1.39 | 0.29 | 6.25 | -3.00 | 13.06 | |
| OTLY | Oatly Group AB | -1.30 | 7 per month | 0.00 | -0.02 | 6.17 | -5.31 | 20.33 | |
| APEI | American Public Education | -0.65 | 11 per month | 1.24 | 0.21 | 4.22 | -1.92 | 8.71 |
Other Forecasting Options for Krispy Kreme
Investors evaluating Krispy at any level need to understand the significance of Krispy Kreme's price movement for their investment outcomes. The presence of noise in Krispy Stock price charts demands careful analysis to avoid misinterpreting short-term fluctuations as trends.Krispy Kreme Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Krispy Kreme stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Krispy Kreme could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Krispy Kreme by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Krispy Kreme Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators applied to Krispy Kreme help investors evaluate how the stock tracks overall market momentum and conditions. These signals are used to determine optimal timing for entering or exiting Krispy Kreme positions.
Krispy Kreme Risk Indicators
The assessment of Krispy Kreme's risk indicators plays a key role in forecasting its future price and managing investment exposure. Investors who measure Krispy Kreme's risk profile carefully are better equipped to decide how to manage their positions.
| Mean Deviation | 2.7 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.62 | |||
| Variance | 21.39 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Krispy Kreme
Coverage intensity for Krispy Kreme matters because narrative visibility can influence sentiment, participation, and volatility around the name. The stronger process compares story flow with performance, theme classification, and the level of short-term market interest.
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Krispy Kreme Short Properties
Short sentiment tied to Krispy Kreme matters because heavier bearish pressure can change how quickly future price expectations become unstable. Used correctly, these measures can help investors decide when hedging or timing discipline may matter more than conviction alone.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 170.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | -42.4 M |
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