CHRISTIAN DIOR Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| DIO0 Stock | EUR 112.00 -3.00 -2.61% |
The forecast reference data for CHRISTIAN DIOR on this page is generated using Simple Regression applied to historical price observations. Projected values and error measures are included as reference material.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of CHRISTIAN DIOR ADR14EO2 on the next trading day is expected to be 113.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 249.31.In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as CHRISTIAN DIOR ADR14EO2 historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data. The Simple Regression reference values for CHRISTIAN DIOR are derived from publicly available price data and should be used for informational purposes only. Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 19th of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of CHRISTIAN DIOR ADR14EO2 on the next trading day is expected to be 113.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.09 , mean absolute percentage error of 25.22 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 249.31 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CHRISTIAN Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CHRISTIAN DIOR's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest CHRISTIAN DIOR | CHRISTIAN DIOR Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
Forecasting CHRISTIAN DIOR ADR14EO2 for the next session involves measuring the model's historical ability to define credible downside and upside scenarios. The projected forecast band currently runs from roughly 109.53 on the downside to about 116.96 on the upside.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CHRISTIAN DIOR stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CHRISTIAN DIOR stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 121.3381 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 4.0871 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0309 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 249.3125 |
Other Forecasting Options for CHRISTIAN DIOR
Investors at all stages of experience who consider CHRISTIAN must develop an understanding of CHRISTIAN DIOR's price dynamics. The noise embedded in CHRISTIAN Stock price charts can create misleading signals and skew investment decisions.CHRISTIAN DIOR Related Equities
The following equities are related to CHRISTIAN DIOR within the Consumer Discretionary space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing CHRISTIAN DIOR against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
CHRISTIAN DIOR Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators applied to CHRISTIAN DIOR stock give investors a structured view of the security's momentum relative to the overall market. Using these indicators, traders can refine their timing when entering or exiting positions in CHRISTIAN DIOR ADR14EO2.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.97 | |||
| Day Median Price | 112.0 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 112.0 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | -1.50 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | -3.00 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 38.95 |
CHRISTIAN DIOR Risk Indicators
Evaluating CHRISTIAN DIOR's risk indicators is an important step in accurately forecasting its price and assessing the suitability of an investment. Understanding the risk profile of CHRISTIAN DIOR's allows investors to make more informed decisions about position sizing and risk.
| Mean Deviation | 2.25 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.57 | |||
| Variance | 12.77 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for CHRISTIAN DIOR
The amount of media and story coverage tied to CHRISTIAN DIOR ADR14EO2 can signal where market attention is concentrating at the moment. A disciplined read of coverage helps investors separate durable relevance from temporary noise.
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CHRISTIAN DIOR Short Properties
Short sentiment tied to CHRISTIAN DIOR ADR14EO2 matters because heavier bearish pressure can change how quickly future price expectations become unstable. Used correctly, these measures can help investors decide when hedging or timing discipline may matter more than conviction alone.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 180.4 M | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 4.11 | |
| Shares Float | 3.4 M |
More Resources for CHRISTIAN Stock Analysis
Other Information on Investing in CHRISTIAN Stock
Financial ratios for CHRISTIAN DIOR provide valuation context across profits, cash flow, and enterprise value. They help compare CHRISTIAN across valuation measures and peers.