INTERNATIONAL CORE Mutual Fund Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| DFIEX Fund | USD 20.67 -0.07 -0.34% |
This page provides Simple Moving Average reference data for International E Equity, calculated from historical daily prices. The forecast output and associated deviation metrics are shown for informational use.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of International E Equity on the next trading day is expected to be 20.67 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.17 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.02.The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of International E Equity price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of INTERNATIONAL CORE. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future INTERNATIONAL CORE's Simple Moving Average reference data is provided for informational and analytical purposes and does not constitute a trading recommendation. Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 21st of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of International E Equity on the next trading day is expected to be 20.67 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.17 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.05 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.02 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict INTERNATIONAL Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that INTERNATIONAL CORE's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern
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Forecasted Value
The next-day forecast for International E Equity focuses on identifying predictive downside and upside bands that can frame a realistic trading range. Investors should still remember that no empirical framework consistently proves that one family of forecasting models will outperform all other approaches in live markets.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of INTERNATIONAL CORE mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent INTERNATIONAL CORE mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.3013 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0118 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1671 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0078 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 10.025 |
Other Forecasting Options for INTERNATIONAL CORE
The price movement of INTERNATIONAL is a central concern for all potential investors, regardless of their level of expertise. INTERNATIONAL Mutual Fund price charts can be difficult to interpret due to the noise present in the data.INTERNATIONAL CORE Related Equities
The following equities are related to INTERNATIONAL CORE within the Foreign Large Blend space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing INTERNATIONAL CORE against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
INTERNATIONAL CORE Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators applied to INTERNATIONAL CORE mutual fund help investors assess the relative momentum and resilience of the security in different market environments. By using these indicators, traders can make more informed decisions about when to buy or sell International E Equity.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 20.67 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 20.67 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | -0.04 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | -0.07 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 42.17 |
INTERNATIONAL CORE Risk Indicators
Risk indicator analysis for INTERNATIONAL CORE is essential for accurately projecting its future price trajectory. By identifying the level of risk embedded in INTERNATIONAL CORE's investment, investors can make informed decisions about position sizing and risk mitigation.
| Mean Deviation | 0.6696 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.04 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.8947 | |||
| Variance | 0.8004 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.3 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.09 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -0.60 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for INTERNATIONAL CORE
Story coverage around International E Equity often expands when market conditions, narrative momentum, or risk-adjusted performance make the security more visible to investors. The stronger process compares story flow with performance, theme classification, and the level of short-term market interest.
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