Dassault Systemes Pink Sheet Forward View - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| DASTF Stock | USD 21.14 0.24 1.15% |
Momentum
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
The summary frames Dassault Systemes' price response to attention shifts and peer coverage.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Dassault Systemes SE on the next trading day is expected to be 21.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.42 and the sum of the absolute errors of 24.92.Dassault Systemes after-hype prediction price | $ 21.14 |
This hype view sits alongside price forecasting, technical analysis, analyst consensus, earnings estimates, and momentum indicators.
Dassault |
Dassault Systemes Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Dassault price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Dassault using various technical indicators. When you analyze Dassault charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 16th of March 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Dassault Systemes SE on the next trading day is expected to be 21.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.42 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.79 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 24.92 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Dassault Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Dassault Systemes' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Dassault Systemes | Dassault Systemes Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
Forecasting Dassault Systemes SE for the next session involves measuring the model's historical ability to define credible downside and upside scenarios. The current forecast range spans downside near 17.84 and upside near 24.44.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Dassault Systemes pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Dassault Systemes pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.1051 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4224 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0175 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 24.92 |
The degree to which Dassault Systemes' exhibits mean reversion depends on how efficiently the market prices new information. In highly covered equities, the mean reversion window tends to be shorter.
After-Hype Price Density Analysis
The after-hype price distribution for Dassault Systemes helps investors understand how much of Dassault Systemes' predicted return comes from the central scenario versus tail outcomes. Strategies that rely on tail events for Dassault Systemes are inherently more speculative.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
Historical news patterns for Dassault Systemes reveal how the market has historically digested different types of information about Dassault Systemes' business and market environment. Dassault Systemes' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 17.84 and 24.44, respectively. The model extrapolates these patterns to estimate likely price boundaries following the next significant.
Current Value
This after-hype projection for Dassault Systemes SE uses a 3 months horizon to examine how price may behave after short-term sentiment effects dissipate. This view is most useful when investors want to compare sentiment-driven price extension with a more measured post-news scenario.
Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Dassault Systemes is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Dassault Systemes backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Dassault Systemes, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.33 | 3.30 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0 Events | 1 Events | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
21.14 | 21.14 | 0.00 |
|
Hype Timeline
Dassault Systemes is currently traded for 21.14. The company stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. Dassault is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.33%. %. The volatility of related hype on Dassault Systemes is about 10312.5%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 21.13. About 49.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.94. Dassault Systemes had its last dividend issued on the 23rd of May 2022. The company completed a 2:1 stock split on 17th of July 2014. Assuming a 90-day horizon the next anticipated press release will be in a few days. Historical Fundamental Analysis of Dassault Systemes provides a cross-check on projections for Dassault Systemes. The historical view provides additional context.Related Hype Analysis
Peer hype analysis helps investors build a more complete picture of Dassault Systemes' competitive environment by quantifying the market's sensitivity to news across all major players in Dassault Systemes's sector.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MRAAF | Murata Manufacturing Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.68 | 0.06 | 7.79 | -8.21 | 24.74 | |
| DSCSY | Disco Corp ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.83 | 0.18 | 6.71 | -4.67 | 19.03 | |
| NOKBF | Nokia | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.30 | 0.18 | 5.20 | -3.93 | 15.53 | |
| DISPF | Disco | -0.32 | 26 per month | 2.43 | 0.16 | 10.25 | -4.58 | 23.07 | |
| TTDKY | TDK Corp ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | -0.05 | 5.08 | -5.14 | 20.82 | |
| MRAAY | Murata Manufacturing | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.48 | 0.07 | 4.09 | -4.30 | 20.30 | |
| HXGBY | Hexagon AB ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | -0.06 | 2.19 | -2.28 | 8.36 | |
| NTDTY | NTT Data Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.95 | 0.05 | 13.10 | -10.42 | 32.19 | |
| ASMXF | ASM International NV | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.78 | 0.20 | 5.23 | -4.11 | 17.49 | |
| TTDKF | TDK Corporation | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | -0.03 | 7.27 | -10.24 | 27.41 |
Other Forecasting Options for Dassault Systemes
The price trajectory of Dassault is the primary concern for any investor assessing it as an opportunity. Dassault Pink Sheet price charts are filled with noise that can easily mislead uninformed investment decisions.Dassault Systemes Related Equities
The following equities are related to Dassault Systemes within the Software—Application space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing Dassault Systemes against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Dassault Systemes Market Strength Events
Understanding the market strength of Dassault Systemes pink sheet enables investors to assess the security's momentum and responsiveness to broader market forces. These indicators are essential tools for timing trades in Dassault Systemes SE with greater precision.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 21.14 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 21.14 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.12 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.24 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 37.5 |
Dassault Systemes Risk Indicators
Reviewing Dassault Systemes' basic risk indicators is essential for investors who want to forecast its price and manage their investment risk effectively. This analysis helps identify the amount of risk involved in holding Dassault Systemes' and informs decisions about hedging and position.
| Mean Deviation | 1.7 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.3 | |||
| Variance | 10.91 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Dassault Systemes
Story coverage around Dassault Systemes SE often expands when market conditions, narrative momentum, or risk-adjusted performance make the security more visible to investors. The practical risk is that faster visibility can increase both interest and skepticism at the same time.
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Dassault Systemes financial ratios provide valuation context across profits, cash flow, and enterprise value. They help compare Dassault across valuation measures in a consistent way.