Curaleaf Holdings OTC Stock Forward View - 4 Period Moving Average
| CURLF Stock | USD 2.30 -0.06 -2.54% |
The 4 Period Moving Average reference data for Curaleaf Holdings is derived from the equity's published trading history. Forecast values and accuracy indicators are summarized on this page for reference.
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Curaleaf Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 2.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.17.The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Curaleaf Holdings. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Curaleaf Holdings and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions All forecast values on this page for Curaleaf Holdings are 4 Period Moving Average reference data derived from historical price series. 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 19th of March
Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Curaleaf Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 2.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.02 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.17 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Curaleaf OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Curaleaf Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
OTC Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Curaleaf Holdings | Curaleaf Holdings Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
Forecasting Curaleaf Holdings for the next session involves measuring the model's historical ability to define credible downside and upside scenarios. The projected forecast band currently runs from roughly 0.02 on the downside to about 7.12 on the upside.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Curaleaf Holdings otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Curaleaf Holdings otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 106.9361 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0357 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1082 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.044 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 6.17 |
Other Forecasting Options for Curaleaf Holdings
For both new and experienced investors in Curaleaf, the ability to analyze Curaleaf Holdings' price movement is a fundamental investment skill. Price chart noise in Curaleaf OTC Stock can create false signals and mislead investment decisions.Curaleaf Holdings Related Equities
The following equities are related to Curaleaf Holdings within the Drug Manufacturers—Specialty & Generic space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing Curaleaf Holdings against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Curaleaf Holdings Market Strength Events
Tracking market strength indicators for Curaleaf Holdings helps investors understand the momentum dynamics of the otc stock in real time. These signals support informed decisions about when to enter or exit positions in Curaleaf Holdings for maximum return potential.
Curaleaf Holdings Risk Indicators
Properly assessing Curaleaf Holdings' risk indicators is a prerequisite for building reliable price forecasts. Identifying and quantifying the risks associated with Curaleaf Holdings' allows investors to make better-informed decisions about accepting or hedging their exposure.
| Mean Deviation | 5.04 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 6.97 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 8.21 | |||
| Variance | 67.47 | |||
| Downside Variance | 51.5 | |||
| Semi Variance | 48.55 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -5.82 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Curaleaf Holdings
A coverage review of Curaleaf Holdings helps investors see when the security is attracting above-average attention from contributors and market observers. A disciplined read of coverage helps investors separate durable relevance from temporary noise.
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Curaleaf Holdings financial ratios provide valuation context across profits, cash flow, and enterprise value. They help compare Curaleaf across measures in a consistent way.