Centuri Holdings Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| CTRI Stock | USD 27.93 0.55 1.93% |
Centuri Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Centuri Holdings' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength momentum indicator of Centuri Holdings' stock price is under 62 suggesting that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 29th of January 2026. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Centuri, making its price go up or down. Momentum 62
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.35) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.2263 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.4466 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.7713 | Wall Street Target Price 26.7143 |
Using Centuri Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Centuri Holdings from the perspective of Centuri Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Centuri Holdings using Centuri Holdings' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Centuri using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Centuri Holdings' stock price.
Centuri Holdings Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Centuri Holdings' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Centuri. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Centuri Holdings stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 21.6937 | Short Percent 0.1379 | Short Ratio 1.97 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.7 M | 50 Day MA 24.969 |
Centuri Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Centuri Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 29.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.82 and the sum of the absolute errors of 49.97.Centuri Holdings Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Centuri Holdings' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Centuri. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Centuri can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Centuri Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Centuri Holdings' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Centuri Holdings.
Centuri Holdings Implied Volatility | 0.67 |
Centuri Holdings' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Centuri Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Centuri Holdings' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Centuri Holdings stock will not fluctuate a lot when Centuri Holdings' options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Centuri Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 29.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.82 and the sum of the absolute errors of 49.97. Centuri Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 28.07 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Centuri Holdings to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Centuri contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Centuri Holdings will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0419% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Centuri Holdings trading at USD 27.93, that is roughly USD 0.0117 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Centuri Holdings' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Centuri Holdings options at the current volatility level of 0.67%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Centuri Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Centuri Holdings' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Centuri Holdings' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Centuri Holdings stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Centuri Holdings' open interest, investors have to compare it to Centuri Holdings' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Centuri Holdings is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Centuri. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Centuri Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Centuri price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Centuri using various technical indicators. When you analyze Centuri charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Centuri Holdings Cash Forecast
Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Centuri Holdings' financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
Cash | First Reported 2010-12-31 | Previous Quarter 44.1 M | Current Value 52.2 M | Quarterly Volatility 31.6 M |
Centuri Holdings Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 30th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Centuri Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 29.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.82, mean absolute percentage error of 0.97, and the sum of the absolute errors of 49.97.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Centuri Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Centuri Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Centuri Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Centuri Holdings | Centuri Holdings Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Centuri Holdings Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Centuri Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Centuri Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 26.51 and 32.13, respectively. We have considered Centuri Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Centuri Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Centuri Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.0777 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.8193 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0352 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 49.9745 |
Predictive Modules for Centuri Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Centuri Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Centuri Holdings After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Centuri Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Centuri Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Centuri Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Centuri Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Centuri Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Centuri Holdings' historical news coverage. Centuri Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 25.26 and 30.88, respectively. We have considered Centuri Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Centuri Holdings is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Centuri Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Centuri Holdings Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Centuri Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Centuri Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Centuri Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.57 | 2.81 | 0.14 | 0.07 | 4 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
27.93 | 28.07 | 0.50 |
|
Centuri Holdings Hype Timeline
Centuri Holdings is currently traded for 27.93. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.14, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.07. Centuri is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 28.07 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.5%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.57%. The volatility of related hype on Centuri Holdings is about 2284.55%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 28.00. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.64 B. Net Loss for the year was (6.82 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 237.18 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Centuri Holdings to cross-verify your projections.Centuri Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Centuri Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Centuri Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Centuri Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Centuri Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NWN | Northwest Natural Gas | (0.46) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 1.19 | (1.98) | 5.12 | |
| HTO | H2O America | 0.36 | 9 per month | 1.65 | (0.02) | 2.40 | (2.76) | 6.26 | |
| ELPC | Companhia Paranaense de | 0.19 | 9 per month | 2.82 | 0.07 | 4.74 | (4.17) | 13.36 | |
| EDN | Empresa Distribuidora y | 1.63 | 5 per month | 3.02 | 0.17 | 10.26 | (5.43) | 43.13 | |
| SPH | Suburban Propane Partners | 0.01 | 10 per month | 1.22 | 0.04 | 1.78 | (2.51) | 5.44 | |
| HE | Hawaiian Electric Industries | 0.33 | 10 per month | 1.96 | 0.17 | 4.47 | (3.43) | 12.14 | |
| WTTR | Select Energy Services | 0.24 | 9 per month | 2.18 | (0.02) | 4.68 | (3.19) | 12.71 | |
| ETI | BNP Paribas Easy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CEPU | Central Puerto SA | (1.17) | 10 per month | 1.88 | 0.17 | 7.75 | (4.23) | 44.62 | |
| EAI | Entergy Arkansas LLC | 0.10 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 0.71 | (0.81) | 2.15 |
Other Forecasting Options for Centuri Holdings
For every potential investor in Centuri, whether a beginner or expert, Centuri Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Centuri Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Centuri. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Centuri Holdings' price trends.Centuri Holdings Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Centuri Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Centuri Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Centuri Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Centuri Holdings Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Centuri Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Centuri Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Centuri Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Centuri Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 27.93 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 27.93 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.28) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.55) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 62.95 |
Centuri Holdings Risk Indicators
The analysis of Centuri Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Centuri Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting centuri stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.0 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.64 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.8 | |||
| Variance | 7.85 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.19 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.68 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.40) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Centuri Holdings
The number of cover stories for Centuri Holdings depends on current market conditions and Centuri Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Centuri Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Centuri Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Centuri Holdings Short Properties
Centuri Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when Centuri Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Centuri Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Centuri Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Centuri Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 83.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 49 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Centuri Holdings to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Centuri Stock please use our How to Invest in Centuri Holdings guide.You can also try the Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..
Is there potential for Construction & Engineering market expansion? Will Centuri introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Centuri Holdings. Projected growth potential of Centuri fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Centuri Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.35) | Earnings Share 0.04 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.181 | Return On Assets |
Understanding Centuri Holdings requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Centuri's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Centuri Holdings' is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Centuri Holdings' price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Centuri Holdings' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Centuri Holdings should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Centuri Holdings' trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.