Carlisle Companies Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

CSL Stock  USD 319.86  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Carlisle Companies Incorporated on the next trading day is expected to be 319.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.95 and the sum of the absolute errors of 232.82. Carlisle Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Carlisle Companies' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Carlisle Companies' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Carlisle Companies fundamentals over time.
As of now the relative strength index (rsi) of Carlisle Companies' share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Carlisle Companies' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Carlisle Companies and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Carlisle Companies' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Carlisle Companies Incorporated, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Carlisle Companies' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.05)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
4.2414
EPS Estimate Current Year
19.1074
EPS Estimate Next Year
20.783
Wall Street Target Price
369.5
Using Carlisle Companies hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Carlisle Companies Incorporated from the perspective of Carlisle Companies response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Carlisle Companies using Carlisle Companies' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Carlisle using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Carlisle Companies' stock price.

Carlisle Companies Short Interest

An investor who is long Carlisle Companies may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Carlisle Companies and may potentially protect profits, hedge Carlisle Companies with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
358.0081
Short Percent
0.0807
Short Ratio
5.75
Shares Short Prior Month
2.4 M
50 Day MA
323.2302

Carlisle Companies Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Carlisle Companies' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Carlisle. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Carlisle can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Carlisle Companies Incorporated. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Carlisle Companies' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Carlisle Companies.

Carlisle Companies Implied Volatility

    
  0.42  
Carlisle Companies' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Carlisle Companies Incorporated stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Carlisle Companies' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Carlisle Companies stock will not fluctuate a lot when Carlisle Companies' options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Carlisle Companies Incorporated on the next trading day is expected to be 319.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.95 and the sum of the absolute errors of 232.82.

Carlisle Companies after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 319.81  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Carlisle Companies to cross-verify your projections.
Asset Turnover is expected to rise to 1.32 this year, although the value of Inventory Turnover will most likely fall to 4.66. . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to rise to about 49.3 M this year. Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is expected to rise to about 1.6 B this year.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Carlisle Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Carlisle Companies' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Carlisle Companies' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Carlisle Companies stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Carlisle Companies' open interest, investors have to compare it to Carlisle Companies' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Carlisle Companies is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Carlisle. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Carlisle Companies Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Carlisle price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Carlisle using various technical indicators. When you analyze Carlisle charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for Carlisle Companies is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Carlisle Companies Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 3rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Carlisle Companies Incorporated on the next trading day is expected to be 319.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.95, mean absolute percentage error of 27.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 232.82.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Carlisle Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Carlisle Companies' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Carlisle Companies Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Carlisle CompaniesCarlisle Companies Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Carlisle Companies Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Carlisle Companies' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Carlisle Companies' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 318.28 and 321.44, respectively. We have considered Carlisle Companies' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
319.86
318.28
Downside
319.86
Expected Value
321.44
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Carlisle Companies stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Carlisle Companies stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.7328
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.1
MADMean absolute deviation3.9461
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0123
SAESum of the absolute errors232.82
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Carlisle Companies Incorporated price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Carlisle Companies. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Carlisle Companies

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Carlisle Companies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Carlisle Companies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
318.23319.81321.39
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
287.87344.05345.63
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
305.48323.11340.74
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
336.25369.50410.15
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Carlisle Companies

For every potential investor in Carlisle, whether a beginner or expert, Carlisle Companies' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Carlisle Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Carlisle. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Carlisle Companies' price trends.

Carlisle Companies Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Carlisle Companies stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Carlisle Companies could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Carlisle Companies by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Carlisle Companies Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Carlisle Companies' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Carlisle Companies' current price.

Carlisle Companies Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Carlisle Companies stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Carlisle Companies shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Carlisle Companies stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Carlisle Companies Incorporated entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Carlisle Companies Risk Indicators

The analysis of Carlisle Companies' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Carlisle Companies' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting carlisle stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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When determining whether Carlisle Companies is a strong investment it is important to analyze Carlisle Companies' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Carlisle Companies' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Carlisle Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Carlisle Companies to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.
Is Industrial Conglomerates space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Carlisle Companies. If investors know Carlisle will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Carlisle Companies listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.05)
Dividend Share
4.1
Earnings Share
17.53
Revenue Per Share
114.893
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.01
The market value of Carlisle Companies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Carlisle that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Carlisle Companies' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Carlisle Companies' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Carlisle Companies' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Carlisle Companies' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Carlisle Companies' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Carlisle Companies is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Carlisle Companies' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.