Critical Elements Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

CRE Stock  CAD 0.42  0.02  5.00%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Critical Elements on the next trading day is expected to be 0.42 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.61. Critical Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength momentum indicator of Critical Elements' share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Critical Elements' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Critical Elements and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Critical Elements' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Critical Elements, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Critical Elements' stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Current Year
(0.16)
Wall Street Target Price
1.2375
Using Critical Elements hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Critical Elements from the perspective of Critical Elements response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Critical Elements on the next trading day is expected to be 0.42 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.61.

Critical Elements after-hype prediction price

    
  CAD 0.42  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Critical Elements to cross-verify your projections.
Receivables Turnover is likely to climb to 80.66 in 2026, whereas Inventory Turnover is likely to drop 0.02 in 2026. . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop to about 142 M in 2026. Net Loss is likely to climb to about (5.5 M) in 2026.

Critical Elements Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Critical price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Critical using various technical indicators. When you analyze Critical charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Triple exponential smoothing for Critical Elements - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Critical Elements prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Critical Elements price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Critical Elements.

Critical Elements Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 13th of January 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Critical Elements on the next trading day is expected to be 0.42 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0002, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.61.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Critical Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Critical Elements' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Critical Elements Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Critical ElementsCritical Elements Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Critical Elements Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Critical Elements' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Critical Elements' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 3.90, respectively. We have considered Critical Elements' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.42
0.42
Expected Value
3.90
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Critical Elements stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Critical Elements stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0015
MADMean absolute deviation0.0104
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0256
SAESum of the absolute errors0.6148
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Critical Elements observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Critical Elements observations.

Predictive Modules for Critical Elements

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Critical Elements. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.423.90
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.353.83
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Critical Elements

For every potential investor in Critical, whether a beginner or expert, Critical Elements' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Critical Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Critical. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Critical Elements' price trends.

Critical Elements Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Critical Elements stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Critical Elements could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Critical Elements by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Critical Elements Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Critical Elements' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Critical Elements' current price.

Critical Elements Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Critical Elements stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Critical Elements shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Critical Elements stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Critical Elements entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Critical Elements Risk Indicators

The analysis of Critical Elements' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Critical Elements' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting critical stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Additional Tools for Critical Stock Analysis

When running Critical Elements' price analysis, check to measure Critical Elements' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Critical Elements is operating at the current time. Most of Critical Elements' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Critical Elements' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Critical Elements' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Critical Elements to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.