Compass Diversified Preferred Stock Forward View - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| CODI-PC Preferred Stock | USD 20.35 -0.05 -0.25% |
Momentum
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
This section relates Compass Diversified headline activity to recent price behavior and peer context.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Compass Diversified on the next trading day is expected to be 20.33 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.45.Compass Diversified after-hype prediction price | $ 20.35 |
Hype signals are presented as complementary context to forecasting, technicals, analyst estimates, earnings, and momentum.
Compass |
Compass Diversified Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Compass price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Compass using various technical indicators. When you analyze Compass charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Compass Diversified Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 12th of March 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Compass Diversified on the next trading day is expected to be 20.33 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.04 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.45 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Compass Preferred Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Compass Diversified's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Compass Diversified Preferred Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Compass Diversified | Compass Diversified Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Compass Diversified Forecasted Value
This next-day forecast for Compass Diversified uses model performance to estimate practical downside and upside boundaries rather than a single point target alone. Investors should still remember that no empirical framework consistently proves that one family of forecasting models will outperform all other approaches in live markets.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Compass Diversified preferred stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Compass Diversified preferred stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0101 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1602 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0083 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 9.4494 |
The concept of mean reversion suggests that Compass Diversified's price will eventually return toward its long-run average. High prices may deter value investors, while unusually low prices often attract buyers who anticipate a recovery.
Compass Diversified After-Hype Price Density Analysis
The price distribution graph for Compass Diversified visualizes the statistical uncertainty around our prediction model's output. Investors should interpret the full distribution of Compass Diversified's outcomes, not just the central tendency, when making decisions.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Compass Diversified Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
The downside and upside margins for Compass Diversified after major news events are estimated from historical precedent. Compass Diversified's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 19.31 and 21.39, respectively. This approach captures the empirical distribution of Compass Diversified's short-term price reactions without assuming any particular model of future behavior.
Current Value
The after-hype framework applied to Compass Diversified assumes a 3 months review window and focuses on post-sentiment normalization rather than raw momentum. This view is most useful when investors want to compare sentiment-driven price extension with a more measured post-news scenario.
Compass Diversified Preferred Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Compass Diversified is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Compass Diversified backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Preferred Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Compass Diversified, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.16 | 1.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events | 3 Events | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
20.35 | 20.35 | 0.00 |
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Compass Diversified Hype Timeline
Compass Diversified is currently traded for 20.35. The company stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Compass is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.16%. %. The volatility of related hype on Compass Diversified is about 104000.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 20.35. About 20.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company last dividend was issued on the 12th of January 2023. Assuming the 90-day trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Use Historical Fundamental Analysis of Compass Diversified to cross-verify projections for Compass Diversified. The historical view provides additional context.Compass Diversified Related Hype Analysis
The relationship between Compass Diversified and its sector peers means that news affecting one company often reverberates across Compass Diversified's competitive landscape. Tracking peer hype helps investors anticipate Compass Diversified's likely short-term price behavior.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CYD | China Yuchai International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.54 | 0.10 | 6.68 | -6.26 | 21.76 | |
| TNC | Tennant Company | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | -0.07 | 2.76 | -1.99 | 27.21 | |
| LNN | Lindsay | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.35 | 0.03 | 2.72 | -2.00 | 9.66 | |
| DCO | Ducommun Incorporated | -0.11 | 11 per month | 1.58 | 0.25 | 4.61 | -2.14 | 12.20 | |
| NSSC | NAPCO Security Technologies | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.11 | 0.01 | 3.98 | -3.36 | 15.36 | |
| GBX | Greenbrier Companies | 0.05 | 4 per month | 2.09 | 0.13 | 2.50 | -2.09 | 15.69 | |
| DAC | Danaos | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.87 | 0.27 | 2.44 | -1.71 | 5.40 | |
| ICFI | ICF International | 0.29 | 7 per month | 0.00 | -0.12 | 4.00 | -4.34 | 15.36 | |
| WERN | Werner Enterprises | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.0003 | 4.93 | -5.34 | 14.43 | |
| GIC | Global Industrial Co | -0.24 | 6 per month | 1.20 | 0.13 | 2.66 | -2.51 | 9.93 |
Other Forecasting Options for Compass Diversified
Whether a novice or experienced investor, anyone considering Compass needs to understand the dynamics of Compass Diversified's price movement. Price charts for Compass Preferred Stock contain a significant amount of noise that can distort investment decisions.Compass Diversified Related Equities
The following equities are related to Compass Diversified within the Conglomerates space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing Compass Diversified against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Compass Diversified Market Strength Events
Analyzing market strength indicators for Compass Diversified enables investors to understand how the preferred stock performs relative to overall market momentum. These indicators are valuable tools for identifying when to enter or exit positions in Compass Diversified.
| Accumulation Distribution | 100.86 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | -0.33 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 20.33 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 20.33 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | -0.05 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 54.7 |
Compass Diversified Risk Indicators
Identifying and analyzing Compass Diversified's key risk indicators is a foundational step in projecting how its price may evolve. This process helps investors quantify the risk associated with Compass Diversified's and decide how to manage it.
| Mean Deviation | 0.8123 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.8235 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.04 | |||
| Variance | 1.07 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.06 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.6781 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -0.89 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Compass Diversified
Coverage intensity for Compass Diversified matters because narrative visibility can influence sentiment, participation, and volatility around the name. The stronger process compares story flow with performance, theme classification, and the level of short-term market interest.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Story coverage on Macroaxis is built for readers who approach markets from different levels of experience but share the same need for disciplined investment context. Used well, these stories become part of a broader workflow built around idea generation, validation, and risk-adjusted portfolio design.
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Compass Diversified Short Properties
Short sentiment tied to Compass Diversified matters because heavier bearish pressure can change how quickly future price expectations become unstable. Used correctly, these measures can help investors decide when hedging or timing discipline may matter more than conviction alone.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 62.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 157.1 M |
More Resources for Compass Preferred Stock Analysis
Other Information on Investing in Compass Preferred Stock
Compass Diversified financial ratios help frame valuation context across profits, cash flow, and enterprise value. They help compare Compass across valuation measures.