CATALYST EXCEED Mutual Fund Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| CLPFX Fund | USD 13.40 -0.11 -0.81% |
This page provides Simple Moving Average reference data for Catalyst Exceed Defined, calculated from historical daily prices. The forecast output and associated deviation metrics are shown for informational use.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Catalyst Exceed Defined on the next trading day is expected to be 13.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.1 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.86.The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Catalyst Exceed Defined price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of CATALYST EXCEED. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future CATALYST EXCEED's Simple Moving Average reference data is provided for informational and analytical purposes and does not constitute a trading recommendation. Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 20th of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Catalyst Exceed Defined on the next trading day is expected to be 13.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.1 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.01 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.86 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CATALYST Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CATALYST EXCEED's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern
| Backtest CATALYST EXCEED | CATALYST EXCEED Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
Forecasting Catalyst Exceed Defined for the next session involves measuring the model's historical ability to define credible downside and upside scenarios. At the moment, the model places downside around 12.65 and upside around 14.15 for the forecasting period.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CATALYST EXCEED mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CATALYST EXCEED mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.0039 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0113 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0977 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0071 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 5.86 |
Other Forecasting Options for CATALYST EXCEED
The price movement of CATALYST is a central concern for all potential investors, regardless of their level of expertise. CATALYST Mutual Fund price charts can be difficult to interpret due to the noise present in the data.CATALYST EXCEED Related Equities
The following equities are related to CATALYST EXCEED within the Options Trading space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing CATALYST EXCEED against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
CATALYST EXCEED Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators applied to CATALYST EXCEED mutual fund help investors assess the relative momentum and resilience of the security in different market environments. By using these indicators, traders can make more informed decisions about when to buy or sell Catalyst Exceed Defined.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 13.4 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 13.4 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | -0.06 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | -0.11 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 43.45 |
CATALYST EXCEED Risk Indicators
Risk indicator analysis for CATALYST EXCEED is essential for accurately projecting its future price trajectory. By identifying the level of risk embedded in CATALYST EXCEED's investment, investors can make informed decisions about position sizing and risk mitigation.
| Mean Deviation | 0.6551 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.8165 | |||
| Variance | 0.6666 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for CATALYST EXCEED
Story coverage around Catalyst Exceed Defined often expands when market conditions, narrative momentum, or risk-adjusted performance make the security more visible to investors. Used properly, this context can help investors judge whether visibility is reinforcing the thesis or attracting more speculative pressure.
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