CLARKSTON FOUNDERS Mutual Fund Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| CIMDX Fund | USD 15.73 -0.20 -1.26% |
The Simple Moving Average forecast reference data for Clarkston Founders Fund is based on the equity's recent trading history. This page summarizes the model output and key accuracy metrics for reference.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Clarkston Founders Fund on the next trading day is expected to be 15.73 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.71.The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Clarkston Founders Fund price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of CLARKSTON FOUNDERS. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future All Simple Moving Average forecast figures shown for Clarkston Founders Fund are reference data reflecting model output based on available historical prices. Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 20th of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Clarkston Founders Fund on the next trading day is expected to be 15.73 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.03 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.71 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CLARKSTON Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CLARKSTON FOUNDERS's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern
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Forecasted Value
This next-day forecast for Clarkston Founders Fund uses model performance to estimate practical downside and upside boundaries rather than a single point target alone. Used properly, these levels provide context around forecast dispersion rather than certainty about the next closing print.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CLARKSTON FOUNDERS mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CLARKSTON FOUNDERS mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.8444 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0237 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1452 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0088 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 8.71 |
Other Forecasting Options for CLARKSTON FOUNDERS
Whether a novice or experienced investor, anyone considering CLARKSTON needs to understand the dynamics of CLARKSTON FOUNDERS's price movement. Price charts for CLARKSTON Mutual Fund contain a significant amount of noise that can distort investment decisions.CLARKSTON FOUNDERS Related Equities
The following equities are related to CLARKSTON FOUNDERS within the Mid-Cap Value space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing CLARKSTON FOUNDERS against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
CLARKSTON FOUNDERS Market Strength Events
Analyzing market strength indicators for CLARKSTON FOUNDERS enables investors to understand how the mutual fund performs relative to overall market momentum. These indicators are valuable tools for identifying when to enter or exit positions in Clarkston Founders Fund.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 15.73 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 15.73 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | -0.10 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | -0.20 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 39.5 |
CLARKSTON FOUNDERS Risk Indicators
Identifying and analyzing CLARKSTON FOUNDERS's key risk indicators is a foundational step in projecting how its price may evolve. This process helps investors quantify the risk associated with CLARKSTON FOUNDERS's and decide how to manage it.
| Mean Deviation | 0.7761 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.07 | |||
| Variance | 1.13 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for CLARKSTON FOUNDERS
Story coverage around Clarkston Founders Fund often expands when market conditions, narrative momentum, or risk-adjusted performance make the security more visible to investors. This is most useful when investors want to understand why a security is suddenly drawing more public discussion.
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