Roundhill Generative Etf Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| CHAT Etf | 61.57 0.28 0.45% |
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Roundhill Generative AI on the next trading day is expected to be 61.67 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.81 and the sum of the absolute errors of 47.56. Roundhill Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength momentum indicator of Roundhill Generative's share price is below 20 suggesting that the etf is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Roundhill Generative hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Roundhill Generative AI from the perspective of Roundhill Generative response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Roundhill Generative using Roundhill Generative's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Roundhill using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Roundhill Generative's stock price.
Roundhill Generative Implied Volatility | 0.4 |
Roundhill Generative's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Roundhill Generative AI stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Roundhill Generative's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Roundhill Generative stock will not fluctuate a lot when Roundhill Generative's options are near their expiration.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Roundhill Generative AI on the next trading day is expected to be 61.67 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.81 and the sum of the absolute errors of 47.56. Roundhill Generative after-hype prediction price | USD 61.6 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Roundhill contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Roundhill Generative AI will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.025% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Roundhill Generative trading at USD 61.57, that is roughly USD 0.0154 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Roundhill Generative's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Roundhill Generative AI options at the current volatility level of 0.4%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Roundhill Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Roundhill Generative's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Roundhill Generative's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Roundhill Generative stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Roundhill Generative's open interest, investors have to compare it to Roundhill Generative's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Roundhill Generative is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Roundhill. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Roundhill Generative Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Roundhill price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Roundhill using various technical indicators. When you analyze Roundhill charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Roundhill Generative Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 26th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Roundhill Generative AI on the next trading day is expected to be 61.67 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.81, mean absolute percentage error of 1.27, and the sum of the absolute errors of 47.56.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Roundhill Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Roundhill Generative's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Roundhill Generative Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Roundhill Generative | Roundhill Generative Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Roundhill Generative Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Roundhill Generative's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Roundhill Generative's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 59.97 and 63.37, respectively. We have considered Roundhill Generative's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Roundhill Generative etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Roundhill Generative etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.097 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.806 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0135 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 47.556 |
Predictive Modules for Roundhill Generative
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Roundhill Generative. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Roundhill Generative After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Roundhill Generative at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Roundhill Generative or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of Roundhill Generative, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Roundhill Generative Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Roundhill Generative's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Roundhill Generative's historical news coverage. Roundhill Generative's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 59.90 and 63.30, respectively. We have considered Roundhill Generative's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Roundhill Generative is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Roundhill Generative is based on 3 months time horizon.
Roundhill Generative Etf Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as Roundhill Generative is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Roundhill Generative backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Roundhill Generative, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.07 | 1.70 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 8 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
61.57 | 61.60 | 0.05 |
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Roundhill Generative Hype Timeline
Roundhill Generative is currently traded for 61.57. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Roundhill is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 61.6 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 0.05%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.07%. The volatility of related hype on Roundhill Generative is about 3400.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 61.57. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Roundhill Generative to cross-verify your projections.Roundhill Generative Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Roundhill Generative's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Roundhill Generative's future price movements. Getting to know how Roundhill Generative's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Roundhill Generative may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| IVES | Dan IVES Wedbush | 0.57 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.24 | (3.26) | 7.31 | |
| TOUS | T Rowe Price | 0.03 | 4 per month | 0.50 | 0.07 | 1.13 | (1.18) | 2.72 | |
| REMX | VanEck Rare EarthStrategic | 0.16 | 3 per month | 2.30 | 0.17 | 4.54 | (3.99) | 10.66 | |
| XLSR | SPDR SSGA Sector | (0.02) | 2 per month | 0.71 | (0.05) | 1.21 | (1.31) | 4.16 | |
| SMIN | iShares MSCI India | (0.27) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.27) | 1.29 | (1.98) | 5.33 | |
| FAPR | FT Cboe Vest | (0.05) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 0.35 | (0.25) | 0.93 | |
| BUYW | Main Buywrite ETF | (0.01) | 2 per month | 0.19 | (0.12) | 0.50 | (0.50) | 1.35 | |
| FMAR | FT Cboe Vest | 0.02 | 5 per month | 0.08 | (0.19) | 0.36 | (0.34) | 1.04 | |
| TGRT | T Rowe Price | 0.03 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 1.49 | (1.76) | 4.71 | |
| PCEF | Invesco CEF Income | 0.04 | 2 per month | 0.37 | (0.05) | 0.82 | (0.87) | 1.96 |
Other Forecasting Options for Roundhill Generative
For every potential investor in Roundhill, whether a beginner or expert, Roundhill Generative's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Roundhill Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Roundhill. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Roundhill Generative's price trends.Roundhill Generative Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Roundhill Generative etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Roundhill Generative could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Roundhill Generative by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Roundhill Generative Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Roundhill Generative etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Roundhill Generative shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Roundhill Generative etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Roundhill Generative AI entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Roundhill Generative Risk Indicators
The analysis of Roundhill Generative's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Roundhill Generative's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting roundhill etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.31 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.95 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.74 | |||
| Variance | 3.02 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.95 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.81 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.20) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Roundhill Generative
The number of cover stories for Roundhill Generative depends on current market conditions and Roundhill Generative's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Roundhill Generative is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Roundhill Generative's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Roundhill Generative to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.
The market value of Roundhill Generative is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Roundhill that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Roundhill Generative's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Roundhill Generative's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Roundhill Generative's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Roundhill Generative's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Roundhill Generative's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Roundhill Generative is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Roundhill Generative's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.