Crunchfish Stock Forward View - Polynomial Regression
| CFISH Stock | SEK 2.74 0.07 2.62% |
The Polynomial Regression forecast shown here for Crunchfish is reference data produced from its historical price series. The projected value and error measures below serve as reference information.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Crunchfish AB on the next trading day is expected to be 3.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.17 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.50.A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Crunchfish historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm This Polynomial Regression reference page for Crunchfish presents model-generated projections from historical price data for informational purposes. Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 25th of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Crunchfish AB on the next trading day is expected to be 3.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.17 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.05 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.50 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Crunchfish Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Crunchfish's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Crunchfish | Crunchfish Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
For the next trading day, Macroaxis evaluates Crunchfish's predictive range by looking for statistically meaningful downside and upside boundaries. The current forecast range spans downside near 0.03 and upside near 10.02.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Crunchfish stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Crunchfish stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.8594 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1693 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0628 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 10.4983 |
Other Forecasting Options for Crunchfish
The distribution of Crunchfish's daily returns is typically non-normal, with fatter tails than a Gaussian model predicts. This can reveal hidden support and resistance zones in Crunchfish's chart that simple price charts miss.Crunchfish Related Equities
These stocks are related to Crunchfish within the Software - Application space and can be used for peer review, pricing, or spreading risk. Checking Crunchfish against peers on P/E, margins, and return on equity helps put its position in context. Sector-wide trends across this peer group can help split company-level factors from broader forces. The peer review below gives a clear framework for judging Crunchfish's standing among rivals.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Crunchfish Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators for Crunchfish give insight into the stock's responsiveness to broader forces. These indicators are useful for traders seeking optimal timing for positions in Crunchfish AB.
Crunchfish Risk Indicators
A thorough review of Crunchfish's risk indicators is an important first step in forecasting its price. Quantifying the risk involved in Crunchfish's allows investors to make better decisions about entry, sizing, and hedging.
| Mean Deviation | 4.06 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.13 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.55 | |||
| Variance | 42.94 | |||
| Downside Variance | 21.93 | |||
| Semi Variance | 17.07 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -4.90 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Crunchfish
A coverage review of Crunchfish AB shows when the security is attracting above-average attention from contributors and market observers. This is most useful when investors want to understand why a security is suddenly drawing more public discussion.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Macroaxis story coverage is designed for a broad investing audience that ranges from self-directed traders to advisers, researchers, and institutional market participants. The content is intended to support people who want a more structured path from headline information to portfolio action.
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Crunchfish Short Properties
Short sentiment tied to Crunchfish AB matters because heavier bearish pressure can change how quickly future price expectations become unstable. The stronger read compares short sentiment with trend behavior, volume, and the broader market narrative.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 107.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 32.8 M |
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